Free Republic

No, just no.

DUH. Biden lost the blue wall last time but they engaged in all sorts of hanky panky .. no way with third parties back in the ballot will he carry these states. May fluke 1 but won’t hold them all not a chance

MD could be an interesting one too. Yes the GOP candidate is a RINO... but that’s all that could ever win in MD and an R.. but he’s also been a relatively popular governor.

On the Dems it looks like the likely winner is going to be a political neophyte businessman named David Trone, or a County Commissioner named Alsobrooks who is a Black Female.

Will have to wait and see how the primary turns out on the 14th... That one could be interesting, not sure what the polling has been showing... MD electing a Republican to the Senate would be mind boggling. I’d say odds are low that will be the result, but the R is the incumbent relatively popular governor, and if it winds up being the Trone, this guys a complete neophyte so certainly could wind up in GOP’s favor.. if its Alsobrooke, then he’s running against a black woman, who while never held statewide office has at least some political experience. In a heavily democratic state, I don’t know if the Dems who crossed over to vote for him as governor will do so if he’s running against a black woman or will they just decide to be “enlightened” and check a box to feel important.

Will see what the head to head polling says once a candidate is picked...

Yes, this is an outlier to be sure.

Don’t get me wrong Trump definitely has the momentum, and yes nearly 2/3 of PA voters rate the economy as BAD (or worse).. But Trump by 10 in PA? even in a 3 way I think that’s a bit of a stretch.

I do believe Trump, absolutely has momentum and should win solidly in a 3 way.. Believe last I checked RFK was polling around 7-8 in the state.

However, on election day, is Trump going to win PA by 10 points ahead of his next closes rival? Well, I could see that, but it would take RFK JR to be polling well above 7% for me to see that happening.

It certainly is possible, Ross Perot’s involvement in 92 and 96 gave Clinton a 10ish point victory in PA both elections , but Perot took 18% of the vote one time and 10% another. Biden is VERY unpopular, and the economy is craptastic... but even with RFK Jr in the race, I’m hard pressed to believe a 10 point win at this point in PA.

It certainly could get there by election day, and I hope it does, because after the 2020 hanky panky in this state, Trump has to win and win HUGE to overcome the malfeasance that will certainly go on again here... This state has done NOTHING to clean up the mess of 2020 and the GOP of PA were and still are active co conspirators to stop Trump.. so Trump needs to win PA and win huge in order to actually get the win, he has to overwhelm the system so badly that they just can’t create enough fraud to counter it. So Trump really needs to be up high single to double digits to be safe to win.

If momentum stays the way it has been going Trump should be able to safely win PA... the real question is what impact will the eventual conviction have, because you know they are going to get a conviction on something and all the polling shows that’s the only thing that might cause folks to reconsider voting for trump... so when they get their conviction, even if its overturned on appeal, will see what happens with the race... but short of that, things stay the way they have been, I’d expect the 2016 map (roughly) with a few additional stated on the low end... If momentum stays the way its going and the conviction backfires, which certainly smells like it is likely to on the Dems, we may be talking about Trump winning states no one is even mentioning.

BIDEN is a disaster, only up 10 or so in DEEP DEEP blue states... if this momentum generally continues, the discussion by election day by people who aren’t trying to pretend what they want is what is actually happening, is going to be, which classically Blue states is Biden even going to be able to hold.

We shall see.

I have ZERO issue with putting down a dog that has been killing other animals and biting at humans.. ZERO.

Insane panty wastes getting upset over this are useless, and show just how weak we are.

If they had their way, Old Yeller would just maul the family to death, because how can we put a “pet” down... how cruel.

Insanity.

No wonder murderers and rapists walk free, no one is willing to stand up an do the right thing, because it hurts their feelings.

Thank you.

Well, sadly for PA at the Senate level, Casey will almost certainly win. McCormick is a better candidate than OZ, but only marginally so, and that’s a low bar to beat. McCormick is just another Wall Street/McRomBush/Establishment/County Club Republican... his ads are trying to present him as something else, but end of the day the guys a card carrying member of the WEF.... The only hope I see for him winning would be if Trump wins the state BUGE, and I do mean Huge, and drags McCormick across on his coattails... And I’m not talking Trump wins by 5 or something in a 3 way race, I mean Trump will have to almost certainly win a flat out majority, and a pretty sizeable one, for there to be any shot at beating Casey.

Casey is a lousy campaigner, and has next to no personality, but he’s also from a family name that is an institution here, and manages to keep out of the limelight especially around the more radical leftist crap that is pushed. Don’t get me wrong he’s a reliable vote for them, but he isn’t some radical in your face guy, he keeps his head down.

Casey honestly has never faced a serious threat since he won the Senate Seat and has never lost a statewide race in PA, and has pretty much won every senate race by 10 or more. Yes, it is true every election more and more people who voted for or remember his father have died, but the GOP generally doesn’t even take the field in PA when he’s on the ballot... they just find some warm body to fill the seat, then only offer lip service and/or token support, because its basically a write off.

Trump is on the ballot, is it is a presidential year, so the dynamics will definitely be different than anything Casey has faced in the past. Last time he had an election align with a presidential election was 2012, which really had no real impact on his race. Re-election of Obama and Casey outperformed Obama in the state. This time he’s facing the attempted re-election of a VERY unpopular president, and an economy that more than 2/3 of PA voters say is BAD... I don’t know if you can successfully paint Casey with Biden’s failures... though I am sure they will try.

I doubt highly that Casey will win this election by 10+, but its very very hard for me to see McCormick getting within about 5 of Casey, short of Trump winning huge and having some big coattails. Dems still have a big registration advantage, though its been improving lately, they are actually down registered voters, while I and R registrations are up, but its still a big margin.

Will see how it goes, but at this point, there is really nothing to indicate that Casey isn’t going to win comfortably... This could of course change, and I do expect that McCormick will almost certainly end the day better than any previous person to run against Casey for Senate.. I don’t see any way Casey wins by double digits, as long as McCormick doesn’t do anything massively stupid, and just runs a “good” campaign, I would think he should be within 10 of Casey... within 5? Well, Trump’s coattails would be the only way I see that as possible.

2022, the overturn of Roe gave the Dems a gift.... that and incompetence in GOP leadership, like wasting resources on unwinnable races like the PA Senate race.

OZ never stood any chance, yet they burned more than 100M trying to put lipstick on that POS... Countless competitive house races could have been won if that money had been spent elsewhere.

Abortion is still there, and dems will try to leverage it sure, but now her we are 2 years later, and the world hasn’t come to an end like the baby butchers claimed... so, I am not saying it won’t have any impact, but its impact will be limited.

I have said this elsewhere, but watch the Senate races, they are going to be NASTY... BEYOND NASTY.... Especially in red/Trump states that have a Dem Senator up for re-election. They know WV is gone, and with it the Senate is back to 50/50 so they are going to do anything in their power to keep from losing another Senate seat.... Should Biden pull out the win (which I don’t think he can, but they are going to have to act and work like he can) they can’t afford for 1 more Senate Seat to be lost... If Trump wins they get the majority without any more wins.. but if Biden wins, they lose the majority if 1 more blue senator loses, and they know damned well what that means... So expect the races in places like OH and MO etc to be NASTY....

Yes, you have to beat cheating by flooding the system.

WI, fortunately did something about a lot of the 2020 hanky panky that went on there, I know the MSM has ignored it, but WI had many many court cases that declared that yes, alot of what went on in WI as illegal.... and they also modified their laws etc as well..

I see ZERO chance at Biden in WI in 2020.

So, that means the only path they have is, holding MI and PA and winning AZ.

And I know they are trying to whip the abortion thing up in AZ to try to swing that state, but I am dubious it will work. The 1860s law that cause them to be hopeful has been repealed, and I have no doubt they will get some abortion ballot initiative on the nov ballot... but I really really don’t see it being able to swing the state to Biden on that issue... I know they are hoping it will, but I just doubt it.

But for arguments sake, with WI off the table, and while I know polling is tight, with the 3rd parties on the ballot, and much of the things they did to tip the scales in 2020 off the table, I don’t think WI has any chance of going Bidnen.

I also don’t see any way Biden can fairly win MI, but unlike WI, MI did not do anything to really clean up its issues out of 2020, however if Trump does end up 9 points in the real vote, thats too much for the fraud to counter.

PA is probably the one that fraud/malfeasance could keep in the Potato’s corner... Absolutely no way he can win the legitimate vote, but given just how much they were able to fraud in 2020, and get away with because the GOP of PA were and still are active accomplices with the Dems to keep Trump out... DO NOT KID YOURSELF... they may be able to steal PA.

Trump is up, and up solidly here no doubt, but he was in 2020 as well, and we all know what happened there. The GOP of PA has done and has no intentions of ever doing anything about the malfeasance that went on in 2020, so fully expect it again in 2024... only hope is Trump lead is so large it overwhelms their ability to fraud. Before 2020 I would have told you 5 points was more than enough, after 2020, Trump better be close to 10 up to have prayer.

Right now momentum looks good for Trump to be in a position to be able to pull that off, we will see.

Watch the Senate, those races are going to be BEYOND nasty...

The Dems know, know they are losing WV... so that puts the senate at 50/50, so they have to work to try to keep any other R from winning a current D seat, and with the current map and political climate, this is virtually impossible.. so they are going to go absolutely bonkers in these senate races... The R Senate Candidates in these red states with blue senators better be ready, because they are going to be a level of nasty you haven’t even seen yet.

I don’t see Biden holding at all, but they are going to have to work and assume he is, and under that model they can’t afford to lose a single Blue Senate seat.. no Sitting GOP seat is remotely under threat, but there are many Dem seats in Trump States that they are going to be desperate to hold.

NOt that the Presidential race will be a cakewalk, but really that’s mostly white noise, everyone knows these two... and they have thrown everything and the kitchen sink already at Trump and he’s still ticking... these Senate Candidates? They are going to face a level of ugly they have never seen .

Yep, they stole the last one.... no doubt about it.. but no covid last time.

Biden can’t hide in a basement, they can’t just release pre=recorded edited things and claim he’s great.

He’s got a record now and it sucks.. he isn’t any more feeble than he was in 2020... 4 years we’ve watched this Potato Puppet... they can’t just project crap on him and claim its true...

They are desperate for a conviction any conviction, no matter how ridiculous, because it is literally the ONLY thing their polling says may cause people to not vote for him, that don’t already intend not to.

Personally I think most that say they would not vote for him after a conviction, won’t follow through on that... At least the ones who aren’t already adamantly not going vote for him anyway.

All they are going to do is just motivate more people to Vote Trump at the end of the day IMHO, even if you aren’t fond of Trump, the clear politicalization of the Justice System to just “get Trump” doesn’t play will with middle America.

I would bet at the end of the day, the same, or more people, will be inclined to vote Trump, that are motivated away from him, if they get some garbage conviction on the nonsense they are trying to get him on.

However, the polling does show that is the only thing that may motivate people away from Trump, so the Dems really have no choice than to make that play, because its all they got.

There is no doubt Trump is absolutely winning right now, and has momentum.. why do you think these trials are happening?

Because its the ONLY thing that polling shows might cause people to be less likely to vote for him, that’s it.

That’s the ONLY thing they can poll consistently that says a portion of the voters would be less likely to support him... IF he is convicted of something, the polling shows some people would be less likely to vote for him... that’s it. NOTHING ELSE, and I do mean NOTHING else they poll or try shows that it will have any effect... so they are desperate to get a conviction, on ANYTHING, even if its overturned on appeal, they can march around for a few months saying “CONVICTED FELON” every time they say his name, and that’s all they want, period.

Rasmussen does tend to be always have Trump poll far better than the rest of the pack, but it is pretty clear, Trump has, and has had the momentum this entire year, and so far nothing is changing that.

Insane outlier.

Love Trump, but no way he’s up 15 or anything close to that in MI.

I am telling you when it comes to MCCormick, just like OZ they didn’t need to steal anything.

The only way McCOrmick can win is if Trump wins the state by such a huge margin he drags MCCormick with him. The GOP of PA will only allow the “right kind” of Republican run, and that kind is the McRomBush/Globalist/Wall Street/Country Club/Uniparty Republican.

If it was an empty seat, maybe, maybe, someone like McCOrmick could pull a W, but against Casey? Nope only way is if Trumps coattails drag him over.

The GOP of PA is stuck in the 2000s era, and have zero intent on changing they would rather a democrat win than the wrong kind of Republican.

Dems won’t need to steal to take out MCCormick, without Trump coattails he likely wont wind up within 5 by the end of the day.

Well, enjoy the sexual abuse of minor scandal that will be hitting your church in +/- 10 or so years.

I stated a long time ago, if The Dems had chose Kennedy as their nominee Kennedy would cakewalk to the White House.

However any poll saying Kennedy is going to pull more from
Trump than Biden in a 3 way race is garbage

Again, you don’t have to cheat.. so tired of this nonsense.

Lived in PA for 40 years and I can tell you, McCormicks only chance to win is if Trump wins the state huge and his coattails carry him over the line.

McCormick is just another McRomBush/Wall Street/ country club Republican.. a card carrying. WEF member. This is the only type of Republican of GOP of PA will allow to run. He’s not as bad as that utter fraud and carpetbagger OZ was, but he’s still just another RINO trying to sell himself as something else.

Casey is boring, a lousy campaigner but MCCormick will lose to him handily and it won’t be because of fraud. Only shot he has is Trump winning thr state big and dragging MCCormick over the finish line with him.

Every other poll shows RFK drawing way more from Biden than Trump.. so let’s go with the outlier because it reinforces the narrative we want.

Taking out CASEY is a near impossible task in PA... only way McCormick can win PA is if Trump wins the state huge and his coat tails drag him over the finish line..

McCormick is just another Wall Street Country Club card carrying WEF member McRomBush candidate. His ads are trying to play him up as something else, but he’s just more of the same old RINO crap this state’s GOP always offers up.

The Senate races are going to be NASTY. WV is guaranteed to go GOP, so that puts the Senate at 50/50 so Democrats are going to be uglier than ever trying to make sure GOP doesn’t get 51, so they can keep control should Biden win the White House....

OH get ready, you are going to see some of the nastiest crap you have seen in a long time in that race next door.

The map favors the GOP big time this election cycle for the Senate, and no sitting GOP candidate is in trouble, so it will be a beyond nasty cycle in any race that is close, just insanely nasty.

End of the day the GOP should take the Senate, but its going to be INSANELY ugly... The know they are at 50/50, already... Biden wins the have the tiebreaker, Trump wins they don’t. I would expect the GOP to pick up 3 or 4 minimal this cycle, but we’ll see.

However you better believe its going to be NASTY.. particularly in Trump states that have a Dem Senator up for election they are going to be throwing everything and the kitchen sink at the GOP candidates trying to hold the line.

Those with mental disorders always have higher suicide rates, period.