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MONTPELIER — A new poll shows Democrat Peter Welch has established a small lead in the race to succeed Rep. Bernard Sanders, one of a few dozen contests that could help to determine control of Congress next year. The poll found that if the election were held now, Welch would get the vote of 45 percent and Martha Rainville, the Republican nominee, would get 39 percent. The poll said other candidates would get 2 percent of the vote and 14 percent of respondents were undecided. WCAX-TV commissioned the poll from Research 2000 of Rockville, Md. A total of 400 likely...

Thanks to your help, Team America endorsed candidate Randy Graf beat out establishment candidate Steve Huffman in Arizona's 8th congressional district 43% to 37%. Graf is as strong a candidate you can find, while Huffman is an amnesty supporter. Graf won even though the National Republican Congressional Committee pumped in hundreds of thousands of dollars into Huffman's campaign -- something unheard of in an open primary. If that wasn't bad enough, the ads portrayed pro-amnesty Huffman as tough on border security! Arizona voters were not fooled, and selected a candidate who will secure our borders and enforce our laws. We...

In the hotly contested Ohio Senate race, U.S. Rep. Sherrod Brown, the Democratic challenger, is on the up side of a 45 - 44 percent matchup with Republican incumbent Sen. Mike DeWine among likely voters, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Another 11 percent of voters are undecided. Women back Rep. Brown 48 - 40 percent, while men back Sen. DeWine 49 - 41 percent. DeWine gets 43 percent of independent voters to Brown's 40 percent, a statistical tie. Among these independents voters, 17 percent are undecided, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds.

WASHINGTON -- The Senate race in New Jersey, which a Republican hasn't won in 34 years, remains virtually tied with less than two months before Election Day, a poll released Wednesday shows. Among likely voters, including those leaning toward a candidate, Republican challenger Tom Kean Jr. holds a 48-45 percent edge over Democratic Sen. Robert Menendez, the Quinnipiac University poll showed. Six percent remain undecided. This survey of 688 likely voters has an error margin of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points. Among the 1,233 registered voters surveyed, Menendez has a 41-38 percent edge. This survey has an error margin...

  Connecticut US Senate If the general election for US Senate were being held today between Ralph Ferrucci, of the Green party, Timothy Knibbs, of the Concerned Citizens party, Ned Lamont, the Democrat, Joe Lieberman, of the Connecticut for Lieberman party, and Alan Schlesinger, the Republican, for whom would you vote? (names rotated) 9/19/06 Lamont Lieberman Others Undecided Likely voters 45% 47% 3% 5% Republicans (26%) 15% 66% 8% 11% Democrats (39%) 62% 36% 0% 2% Unaffiliated (35%) 47% 45% 3% 5% 8/21/06 42% 44% 3% 11% Based on 600 completed telephone interviews among a random sample of likely...

Still on Rasmussen Premium Kyl (R-incumbent) 50% Pederson (D) 39%

Here Are The Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #10280Geography Surveyed: Arizona Data Collected: 09/16/2006 - 09/18/2006 Release Date: 09/19/2006 1:50 PM ET Sponsor: KPNX-TV Phoenix Democrat Napolitano Well Positioned for Re-Election as AZ Governor: In an election for Governor of Arizona today, 9/19/06, incumbent Democrat Janet Napolitano defeats Republican challenger Len Munsil, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KPNX-TV Phoenix. Today, 7 weeks to the 11/7/06 election, Napolitano leads by 16 points, 56% to 40%. Napolitano is up by 27 points among women and by 5 points among men. 91% of Democrats and 70% of Independents support Napolitano....

Democrat Lucas On Top again in Seesaw KY4 Race: In an election today, 9/19/2006, in Kentucky's 4th Congressional District, Democrat Ken Lucas leads Republican incumbent Geoff Davis, 48% to 44%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WCPO-TV Cincinnati. Since an identical SurveyUSA poll released 8/10/06, Lucas, who represented the 4th District from 1999 through 2004, has gained 4 points. Davis, who lost to Lucas in 2002 but was elected in 2004 after Lucas retired, has lost 2 points. Lucas led by 9 points in July, trailed by 2 in August, and now leads by 4. The election is...

PROVIDENCE, R.I. — A new Brown University poll shows Republican Sen. Lincoln Chafee and Democratic challenger Sheldon Whitehouse neck-and-neck two months before an election that could help decide the balance of power in the U.S. Senate. If the election were held Tuesday, 40 percent of voters said they would select Whitehouse, compared to 39 percent for Chafee. That lead is negligible because the poll, conducted between Sept. 16-18, questioned 578 likely voters and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

 Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #10313   Hayworth Leads by 12 in AZ5: In an election in Arizona's 5th Congressional District today, 9/18/05, incumbent Republican J.D. Hayworth tops Democrat Harry Mitchell, 52% to 40%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KPNX-TV Phoenix. 7 weeks to the 11/7/06 election, Hayworth gets 52% of the vote. Mitchell gets 40%. Libertarian Warren Severin gets 4%. Hayworth gets 83% of Republican votes. Mitchell gets 84% of Democrat votes. Mitchell carries Independents 5:3, but this is not enough to overcome Hayworth's advantage in this heavily Republican district. Mitchell runs strongest among seniors,...

SOUTH BEND -- Democrat Joe Donnelly appears to be increasing his lead over incumbent U.S. Rep. Chris Chocola in what is still a tight 2nd District congressional race. A weekend Tribune/WSBT-TV poll of 400 likely voters showed Donnelly with a 50 percent to 42 percent lead over Chocola, with 8 percent undecided and a 5 percent margin of error. That compares to a July poll that showed Donnelly with a 46 percent to 41 percent lead over Chocola, with 13 percent undecided and the same 5 percent margin of error.

This poll is still on Rasmussen's premium section, but got leaked onto the blogosphere. Topline numbers: Lieberman (I-Inc.) 45% Lamont (D) 43% Schlesinger (R) 5% 550 Likely Connecticut Voters +/- 4.5% MOE

Stabenow (D-incumbent) 54% Bouchard (R) 41% Sole (G) 2% FitzSimons (UST) 1% Undecided 1% 749 Likely Michigan Voters +/- 3.6% MOE

Original source for Leip's Atlas was Kos, so take that with a grain of salt. Here's what they say Rasmussen's new premium poll from Rhode Island says: Whitehouse (D) 51% Chafee (R) 43% +/- 4.5 MOE, 500 likely voters

These numbers are still on Rasmussen premium, but this website leaked them. Sherrod Brown (D) 47% Mike DeWine (R) 41% MOE +/- 4.5% 500 Likely Voters

Geography Surveyed: Missouri Data Collected: 09/11/2006 - 09/13/2006 Release Date: 09/14/2006 11:30 AM ET Sponsors: KCTV-TV Kansas City, KSDK-TV St. Louis Talent, McCaskill Still Tied in U.S. Senate Race: In an election for United States Senator from Missouri today, 9/14/06, Republican Senator Jim Talent and Democratic challenger Claire McCaskill remain tied, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KSDK-TV St. Louis and KCTV-TV Kansas City. McCaskill gets 48% of the vote, up 1 point from an identical SurveyUSA poll 1 month ago. Talent gets 47%, also up 1 point. McCaskill's 1-point advantage is within the poll's 4.6 percentage point...

GRAND RAPIDS -- The latest EPIC-MRA poll, released just 54 days before the November 7 general election, shows statewide incumbents are holding the lead. The poll, exclusive to 24 Hour News 8 and our media partners, sampled 600 people between September 7 -12, and includes a margin of error of 4 percent. Governor Jennifer Granholm holds an 8-point lead, 50-42, over Republican nominee Dick DeVos. It's the second consecutive poll Granholm has held a lead bigger than margin of error. In the previous poll, Granholm led 49-42. In the race for the US Senate, incumbent Debbie Stabenow has opened a...

If the election for United States Senator from Connecticut were today, and you were standing in the voting booth right now, who would you vote for? Republican Alan Schlesinger? Democrat Ned Lamont? Independent Joe Lieberman? Or some other candidate? 7% Schlesinger (R) 38% Lamont (D) 51% Lieberman (I) 1% Other 2% Undecided

Ford (D) 48% Corker (R) 45% Undecided 6% Other 1% 638 Likely Voters, MOE +/- 4%

The controversy surrounding U.S. Sen. George Allen’s campaign trail remarks in August has helped turn his re-election race into a close contest, according to a poll conducted for The Roanoke Times and other Virginia newspapers. Allen, the Republican incumbent, leads Democrat Jim Webb by just 4 percentage points — 46 to 42 — in a survey conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research. Allen’s lead has diminished by 12 points since a Mason-Dixon poll conducted in July, even though Webb was barely seen on the campaign trail for much of the summer. The erosion of Allen’s lead is largely because of...