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  • Live Presidential Forecast Pennsylvania

    11/08/2016 9:19:20 PM PST · by Kartographer · 26 replies
    NYT ^ | 11/8/16
    Our best guess is that Donald J. Trump is on track to win in Pennsylvania. As of 10:18 PM, we think about 93% of all votes in Pennsylvania have been counted. Below, estimates for what votes have been counted and what votes remain.
  • FLORIDA!

    11/08/2016 7:58:01 PM PST · by Gamecock · 21 replies
    FOX BUSINESS | 11/8/2016
    TRUMP GETS FLORIDA!
  • Live Presidential Forecast (NY Times says 94% Chance Trump wins)

    11/08/2016 7:52:29 PM PST · by sdthree · 37 replies
    Our best guess right now is that Donald Trump is ahead. Below, our estimates of three key indicators: Chance of Trump winning Presidency: 94%
  • Pennsylvania Elections Results: State Count, Media Estimate

    11/08/2016 7:49:21 PM PST · by PittsburghAfterDark · 21 replies
    Pennsylvania Department of State ^ | November 8, 2016 | Self
    The source URL link goes straight to the Pennsylvania Department of State. The following, New York Times estimate./A> Has surprisingly become a site favorite tonight. North Carolina, Ohio, Michigan and dare I say.... it? Not yet I won't.
  • Nate Silver: 2016 Polls Less Reliable Than Prior Years

    Many 2016 polls may prove incorrect because so many Americans are undecided or else say they’re backing third parties, says Nate Silver, founder of the fivethirtyeight.com polling firm. “Undecideds are MUCH higher than normal,” Silver said in a Tuesday morning tweet. “So risk of a polling error — in either direction — is higher than usual.” One out of eight voters, or 12.5 percent, are either undecided or declaring support for other candidates during the last few days of the election. That is up from one out of 32 voters in 2012, one out of 27 voters in 2004 and...
  • USC Dornsife/LA Times Poll: 11/08 -- Trump 46.8 (- 1.2) , Clinton 43.6 (+ .4)

    11/08/2016 12:10:17 AM PST · by BlessedBeGod · 194 replies
    USC/LA Times ^ | November 8, 2016 | USC/LA Times
    11/08 11/07 Change Trump 46.8 48.0 - 1.2 Clinton 43.6 43.2 + . 4
  • Why a Trump Landslide of Reagan Proportions is coming -vanity

    11/06/2016 11:57:58 PM PST · by Future Useless Eater · 60 replies
    November 7, 2016 | self
    Real Clear Politics, (RCP) aggregates only the polls its Chicago-based HQ prefers, and as a result it still calls Florida BLUE! They briefly had Florida RED, until N.C. had to be put in Trump's column. If they also allowed Florida to stay RED, that would predict Trump's 270 electoral votes and the win, which is something Podesta's 'Rats are desperate to NOT allow before the election. Everyone realizes Trump should win his own 2nd-home state. But rigged pollsters tricked Trump in May with phoney Florida polls, which by his own admission caused him to lose Ohio. And phoney pollsters are...
  • Top 10 States Most Likely To Get Donald Trump into the White House

    11/03/2016 8:22:30 PM PDT · by Rockitz · 36 replies
    Breitbart.com ^ | 3 Nov 2016 | John Pudner
    Donald Trump is just one state short of the presidency, according to the 6 pm Thursday evening projection by Nate Silver, the left’s favorite polling prognosticator. So Breitbart News is providing a guide to the 10 states most likely to give Trump his 270th Electoral Vote, and the keys to the Oval Office. 1.New Hampshire – While Silver says Clinton is the slight favorite in this state, Trump leads or is tied in all three polls released in the first three days of November, including the Boston Globe, ARG and WBUR. 2.Colorado – The Denver Post is the only poll...
  • Polls: Trump Takes Commanding Leads in New Hampshire, North Carolina

    11/03/2016 7:30:30 PM PDT · by Viennacon · 77 replies
    Breitbart ^ | 04/11/2016 | Matthew Boyle
    NEW YORK CITY, New York — Republican presidential nominee Donald J. Trump has now taken a commanding lead in the latest surveys out of New Hampshire and North Carolina as his pathway to the White House grows by the hour in the final week. An ARG poll out of New Hampshire, conducted from Oct. 31 through Nov. 2, shows Trump with a comfortable five point lead in the Granite State—outside the survey’s four percent margin of error. Trump, at 48 percent, leads Clinton who lags at 43 percent. Libertarian Gary Johnson got four percent and the Green Party’s Dr. Jill...
  • Hampton University's CPP Latest Poll Shows Virginia Voter Shift...(Trump +3)

    11/02/2016 11:54:23 AM PDT · by Radio Free Tuscaloosa · 125 replies
    Hampton University ^ | 11/02/2016 | Hampton University
    Hampton Univeristy Center for Public Policy Hampton Univeristy Center for Public Policy Enlarge Image Enlarge / View More Images Hampton, Va.— The latest Hampton University Center for Public Policy (CPP) poll reveals that the FBI’s decision to reopen the Hillary Clinton email investigation may have triggered a boost for Donald Trump with likely voters in Virginia. Democratic Presidential nominee Clinton had a two point lead before the email news story broke on Friday Oct. 28. She is now trailing three points behind Republican Presidential nominee Trump. With only six days left before the November Presidential election, Trump has jumped ahead...
  • Poll: Donald Trump +7 over Hillary Clinton in North Carolina, Now at 51 Percent

    11/01/2016 6:03:32 PM PDT · by Rockitz · 51 replies
    Breitbart.com ^ | 1 Nov 2016 | Charlie Spiering
    A new WRAL/SurveyUSA poll shows that Donald Trump is now leading North Carolina by seven points ahead of Hillary Clinton — 51 percent to Clinton’s 44 percent. That means that Trump has shockingly flipped his numbers in the state in just one month. Three weeks ago, Clinton was leading Trump by two points in the same poll – 46 percent to 44 percent. Trump has now passed the 50 percent threshold, according to the poll, making it unlikely that Clinton will be able to bounce back. The poll was conducted after the news that the FBI would revisit the investigation...
  • White House Watch: Clinton, Trump Tied (Rasmussen)

    11/01/2016 7:43:13 AM PDT · by UKrepublican · 25 replies
    ne week before Election Day, the race for the presidency is all tied up. The latest Rasmussen Reports White House Watch national telephone and online survey finds Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Donald Trump each with 44% support among Likely U.S. Voters. Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson has five percent (5%) of the vote, while Green Party nominee Jill Stein earns two percent (2%). Another two percent (2%) like some other candidate in the race, and four percent (4%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.) Yesterday, it was Clinton 45%, Trump 42%, but the two were with 45%...
  • NYT Florida Poll Showcases Pending Trump Landslide Victory….

    11/01/2016 4:00:50 AM PDT · by 11th_VA · 34 replies
    theconservativetreehouse.com ^ | 30 Oct 2016 | Sundance
    The New York Times presents a Florida poll today that has author Nate Cohen trying desperately to frame hope for Hillary Clinton where no hope exists. Overall the poll presentation shows Donald Trump with a 4 point advantage. However, the real story, reflecting the full scope of what’s happening, is marginally buried in the poll internals: … [ Trump’s ] so strong that Mrs. Clinton has just 55 percent of the vote among white registered Democrats without a degree, compared with Mr. Trump’s 32 percent.Yes, that is correct. Donald Trump is winning 32% of the largest Florida Democrat constituency, registered...
  • USC Dornsife/LA Times Poll: 10/31 -- Trump + .6 , Clinton - .9

    10/31/2016 7:29:57 AM PDT · by BlessedBeGod · 85 replies
    USC/LA Times ^ | October 31, 2016 | USC/LA Times
    10/31 10/30 Change Trump 46.6 46.0 + . 6 Clinton 43.2 44.1 - . 9
  • Poll: Donald Trump +4 in Florida; Jumps 19 Points Among Cubans

    10/30/2016 3:41:09 PM PDT · by Rockitz · 60 replies
    Breitbart.com ^ | 30 Oct 2016 | Charlie Spiering
    A new poll shows that Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump has improved his standings in Florida, now leading his opponent Hillary Clinton by four points. Trump is polling with 46 percent of the vote, while Clinton is trailing with 42 percent, according to the latest New York Times Upshot/Siena poll of the state. Trump has improved his standings among Cuban-Americans by 19 points in just one month. A September poll showed Trump only earning 33 percent of Florida Cubans, with Clinton leading with 41 percent. Today’s poll shows a dramatic shift. Trump now leads Clinton among Cubans by ten points...
  • ABC News/Washington Post Tracking Poll: Ten Point Swing For Donald Trump In Four Days

    10/29/2016 9:05:11 AM PDT · by conservativepoet · 71 replies
    Breitbart ^ | 10/29/2016 | Charlie Spiering
    Trump is now at 45 percent with likely voters, up seven points from his low of 38 percent earlier in the month. Hillary Clinton is at 47 percent while Gary Johnson is at four percent and Jill Stein is at two percent. That marks a seven point jump for Trump in just four days. Trump’s opponent Hillary Clinton has seen her numbers drop three points in the same time period, making a 10 point swing in Trump’s favor.
  • LA Times Poll: Donald Trump Leads Hillary Clinton by 2.4 Points

    10/29/2016 1:05:58 PM PDT · by xzins · 64 replies
    Breitbart ^ | 29 Oct 16 | Alex Swoyer
    Republican nominee Donald Trump leads Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton by 2.4 points in the latest USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times “Daybreak” tracking poll. The New Yorker tops the former secretary of state, 46.2 percent to 43.8 percent.
  • USC Dornsife/LA Times Poll: 10/29 -- Trump + .4 , Clinton - .3

    10/29/2016 12:10:12 AM PDT · by BlessedBeGod · 73 replies
    USC/LA Times ^ | October 29, 2016 | USC/LA Times
    10/29 10/28 Change Trump 46.2 45.8 + . 4 Clinton 43.8 44.1 - . 3
  • UPI/CVoter poll: Clinton's lead slips below 2 percent

    10/28/2016 9:01:49 AM PDT · by 11th_VA · 32 replies
    UPI ^ | Oct. 28, 2016 at 11:36 AM | By Eric DuVall
    WASHINGTON Oct. 28 (UPI) -- The UPI/CVoter daily presidential tracking poll for Friday shows Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump by less than 2 percentage points. The online poll shows Clinton with 48.84 percent to Trump's 46.95 percent. The most recent data reflect a shift of almost a full percentage point toward Trump compared to data collected a day earlier. As Trump moves further away from the scandal over a video tape speaking crudely about women, the poll has shown the race tightening. Over the past week, Clinton has lost 1.43 points, while Trump has gained 1.38 points, with "others" --...
  • Clinton's Lead Narrows to 4 Points, Wider Majority Expects Her to Win (POLL)

    10/28/2016 4:38:07 AM PDT · by usafa92 · 64 replies
    ABC News/Washington Compost ^ | 10/28/2016 | ABC News/Washington Compost
    Presidential preferences have narrowed in the ABC News/Washington Post tracking poll -- but not expectations of the outcome. Fifty-nine percent of likely voters polled say they expect Hillary Clinton to win the election, essentially the same was it was in early September. That includes nearly all of her own supporters and a fifth of Donald Trump’s. There are vast divisions, as well, on the question of vote fraud: More than nine in 10 Clinton supporters think votes nationally will be counted accurately; just 50 percent of Trump’s agree. And 70 percent of Trump backers think voter fraud is common. A...