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ZOGBY TUESDAY: Obama 49%; McCain 45%; 6% Undecided.... Developing...

"I have alluded before to this strange, magnetic pull that brings Obama down to 48% or 49%, a danger zone for him. McCain's gains are among white voters, where he now leads by 12 points, and with men, where he again has a healthy lead. There is still a lot of campaign to go. A lot of campaign to go." - John Zogby New Data will be Released at 1:00AM EST - See the x-tabs FIRST... Register NOW!

Zogby just released new state polling. Yes, they are online interactive surveys, but their reliability can't be any worse than some of the traditional phone polls that we've seen. Also, the closeness of so many of the states contradicts the 8 point national lead for Obama that Zogby released today.

In a presidential campaign that has provoked an array of questions about race, one of the most persistent has been whether white people lie to pollsters about whether they would support a black candidate, a theory known as the Bradley effect. Pundits often discount black candidates' leads in polls, saying support never materializes at the voting booth. But many political experts say that while racism inevitably will play a role in whether some voters will choose Sen. Barack Obama, white people being surveyed seem to be pretty honest with pollsters about their biases. The Bradley effect is an idea based...

UTICA, New York - Republicans John McCain and Sarah Palin left St. Paul, Minnesota, with a smallish bounce overall and some energy in key demographic groups, as the race for the presidency enters a key stage and voters begin to tune in to the contest, the latest Zogby Interactive poll finds. The McCain/Palin ticket wins 49.7% support, compared to 45.9% backing for the Obama/Biden ticket, this latest online survey shows. Another 4.4% either favored someone else or were unsure.

Newsmax.com Zogby: First Globals Are Redefining America Wednesday, August 13, 2008 8:44 PM By: David A. Patten A demographic earthquake is taking place in America that is transforming our traditional society, argues pollster John Zogby in his newly released book, “The Way We’ll Be: The Zogby Report on the Transformation of the American Dream.” And these changes could have seismic implications for the coming 2008 election showdown. This new ascending group of Americans Zogby calls the “First Globals,” and unlike other demographic groups such as “Generation X” or “baby boomers,” this group is making some radical departures from traditional American...

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Democrat Barack Obama has opened an 8-point national lead on Republican John McCain as the U.S. presidential rivals turn their focus to a general election race, according to a Reuters/Zogby poll released on Wednesday. Obama, who was tied with McCain in a hypothetical head-to-head matchup last month, moved to a 48 percent to 40 percent lead over the Arizona senator in May as he took command of his grueling Democratic presidential duel with rival Hillary Clinton. The Illinois senator has not yet secured the Democratic presidential nomination to run against McCain in November. The poll also found...

Zogby Poll: U.S. Constitution Wearing Well in Modern America But Zogby newsletter poll shows wide majority feels the two–party political system is not working well; Most want more options As the nation marks its 231st birthday Wednesday, most Americans believe the U.S. Constitution is still serving the nation well, a new Zogby Interactive poll shows. Nine out of 10 respondents to a recent online survey said that, despite the massive changes that have occurred in the U.S. since the ratification of the Constitution in 1788, the guiding document of the nation is still relevant to modern life in America. The...

In the hotly contested contest for the U.S. Senate seat being vacated by retiring Senate Majority Leader Bill Frist, former Chattanooga Mayor Bob Corker has jumped into a double-digit lead over Rep. Harold Ford Jr., according to a Zogby poll. The race had been a statistical tie in a number of recent polls, but Corker’s 10-point lead in the new Zogby survey follows several gaffes by Ford, including an attempt to confront Corker at a press conference and an attack on the religious values of Republicans. As Of Monday, Corker led by 53 percent to Ford's 43 percent in the...

Zogby International inaccurately conducted a poll of likely voters in the 25th Congressional District, forcing The Post-Standard and NewsChannel 9 the poll's sponsors to scrap a planned release of the results Tuesday evening. Zogby, a Utica-based firm that does work throughout the world, used the wrong political party breakdown when weighing survey responses, and gave the news organizations results the company founder later said were incorrect. "The numbers were wrong," said John Zogby, the firm's founder and president. "We made a mistake, and I feel terrible about it. I am mortified." A Zogby staffer mistakenly used party enrollment figures from...

Republicans edged ahead in one tightly contested senate race but while the latest Battleground States Poll puts the party on track to retain control of the chamber, several tight races leave the Election night outcome uncertain.

Key Races: TN Corker 47.6% Ford 42.4% VA Allen 49.1% Webb 43.5% MO Talent 46.9% McCaskill 45.3 Head scratchers NJ Menendez 46.6% Keane 40.9% MD Cardin 51.9% Steele 38.9% Dewine down by 4 Santorum down by 5

A new Zogby Poll was released this week (8/30/06) showing once again that Lynn Swann is closing the gap with Ed Rendell. Rendell 48.4% Swann 43.5% This is a 3-point improvement over the last Zogby poll, released in mid-July, which showed Lynn 7-points down. To read more about the most recent poll, click here. As Zogby International notes on their research material, Zogby International was the most accurate polling firm of the 2004 Presidential election cycle. Not only did they most accurately predict the outcome of the Presidential election, they also accurately predicted the winner in 85% of the states...

COLUMBUS – The Wall Street Journal Zogby Interactive Poll today indicated Republican gubernatorial nominee Ken Blackwell is in a close race with Congressman and former prison psychologist Ted Strickland. Blackwell trails Strickland by 4.6 points with a 3.2 percent margin of error. The survey mirrors a June 22 Zogby poll showing Blackwell trailing Strickland by only five points and a May 25 University of Cincinnati Ohio Poll showing Blackwell trailing Strickland by six points. The surveys contrast a Columbus Dispatch poll released Sunday showing Blackwell trailing Strickland by 20 points. The inconsistency in the four polls could be explained by...

The Associated Press trumpets the latest AP/Ipsos poll, with the headline: "Most Americans Plan to Vote for Democrats:" Republicans are in jeopardy of losing their grip on Congress in November. With less than four months to the midterm elections, the latest Associated Press-Ipsos poll found that Americans by an almost 3-to-1 margin hold the GOP-controlled Congress in low regard and profess a desire to see Democrats wrest control after a dozen years of Republican rule. This is a howler, of course: the poll respondents wanted Democrats to win by 51% to 40%, not "almost 3-to-1." In any event, the AP...

Zogby says no Republican holds a significant lead over Harold Ford, Jr.

Zogby: Democrats Have 'Substantial Lead' A key measurement of partisan advantage in the United States Congress shows Democrats with a substantial lead in public opinion as the nation heads into 2006 and the important mid-term election season, a new Zogby International survey shows. Asked if they would "definitely" or "probably" vote for the Democrat or Republican in next year's fall congressional election, 48% said the Democrat would get their support, compared to 40% who said they would vote for the Republican. While 3% said they plan on supporting a third-party candidate, 9% said they were unsure. The year-end survey by...

65% Say Miers Confirmation Likely October 13, 2005--Americans are evenly divided as to whether or not Harriet Miers should be confirmed to serve on the U.S. Supreme Court. However, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey finds that 65% believe she is likely to be confirmed. Just 18% say that confirmation is not very likely or not at all likely. Despite vocal opposition from many Republican activists, most Republicans across the county support the President's selection. Fifty-four percent (54%) of the GOP faithful say the President's nominee should be confirmed. Only 17% disagree. Republicans supported the nomination of Chief Justice John Roberts...

By even suggesting that Mecca could be bombed in retaliation for a terrorist attack, Congressman Tom Tancredo (R-CO) has made the world a more dangerous place. He is not alone, of course. Ironically, the Congressman has plenty of company among those who, either because of the evil they do or the stupid things they say, have endangered us all. Now before I am attacked for establishing a moral equivalence between terrorist bombers and unthinking macho politicos, let me be clear: I know the difference. The sick malevolence that led to 9/11 (US), 7/7 (UK), and 7/23 (Egypt) is dramatically and...