Posted on 09/24/2006 2:25:58 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued
Sherrod Brown 47%; Mike DeWine 42%
Gang of 14 consequence if you ask me. Not that anyone has. The cross tabs comment by Torie was insightful.
10% undecided for DeWine in GOP ranks (versus 6% for Dems) plus just a 5% deficit makes this poll one of the more positive for DeWine. But I don't really see any movement in his favor overall, in the last 2 months.
BTTT
Neither do I. On that we are in agreement. :)
Thanks for the reply. I have been very disappointed in DeWine as well as Graham since they were elected to the senate. Luckily I have a decent representative here in Texas, John Carter and Kay Bailey Hutchison for Senator. Brown is a horrid man though would we really want him to take the seat? Probably for now, the lessor of 2 evils is better.
Take care.
Jen
Add two points for DeWine if registered voters are considered and maybe three points if only likely voters were considered.
If, as I've been saying all along, that these polls are oversampling Dems by 8-10%, this is pretty darn good for DeWhine.
Dewine is slowly climbing, he can pull it out, it's not for ceratin by any means, but he can pull it out. This poll is suspect for multiple reasons, I'd watch the University of Cincinnati Poll, that's a good one. Also, the Repubs have a lot more money then the dems when it come to the get-out-the-vote effort, so keep the faith.
It's more than that. All these polls are totally bogus, and slanted leftward by a good 5-10%.
A good scenario for us in the Senate would be win one out of the four where we are hurting the most of our own seats (oh, ri, pa, mt), win one of their seats (prob nj) and hold all of our other seats. That would be good enough for 53 seats. Not where to bet at the moment, but not entirely unrealistic.
Not bad.
-4 is where the money is. I look at it this way. The Dems get Montana, and Pennsylvania, and are odds on to get about 2.5 seats out of Rhode Island, Ohio, Missouri, Tennessee and Virginia. The GOP has about a 50% shot of getting a Dem seat. If one looks at who is ahead at the moment, the GOP loses three seats, but the Dems just have more to work with, with Virginia, Rhode Island, Tennessee and Missouri, than the GOP has with New Jersey and Maryland.
sounds about right.
Sherrod Brown makes Hillary look like Pat Moynihan (with thicker ankles and a wider ass). Sherrod Brown will be like having Dennis Kucinich or Hugo Chavez in the Senate.
My pals in the political businesses here in Columbus are saying the pubbies in Ohio are facing a tsunami. We can blame Taft, Ney, Noe and the MSM. And we can blame ourselves for propping up the aforementioned.
I may move.
Brown a socialist like Dennis Kucinich you say? Pleeese that horses a$$ Kucinich is my rep in congress,just thinking about his twin commie in the senate is giving me a cramp already!
Then you'd better vote early and vote often.
Sorry to hear the boy mayor is your rep. I have the RINO Tiberi. Tiberi is no more effective than Kucinich, but at least he doesn't seem to aggressively undermine the country.
This is a 3 point improvement for DeWine over the last Dispatch poll. (DeWine improved 5 points, Brown improved 2 points)
The Dispatch uses a totally different methodology (the mail-in poll) from the normal polling organizations.
However that doesn't necessarily make them bad. I think their final result in OH in '04 was a Bush-Kerry tie.
I am predicting -3 (we lose PA, MT, OH, and RI, we win NJ)
Next closest to switching is Missouri and then Tennessee, followed by Maryland.
I have to agree with you but I sure don't like it. Lesser of two evils in this case is just one step beyond Darrel and Darrel of Larry, Darrel and Darrel fame.
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