I think the polls that showed Simon ahead were privately-commissioned polls that were informally leaked to various news sources, while the Field Poll was meant for public release. Feel free to correct me if I'm wrong, but that's the impression I got.
All those polls are getting a little stale now, don't you think? Including the infamous Field one. (There are two separate articles on the Field Poll on Davis' news page; I think they are meant to look like two different polls, but of course they're both the same).
We need some new polling by someone a bit less biased than the Field folks.
Ernest: There's a new virus out there. I'm a Mac user, so I'm not endangered by them, but the blizzard of them is pretty annoying.
I run a fairly popular web site, so I get millions of the bloody things, since they get email addresses by looking at people's web caches, among other things.
I'm glad I'm a Mac user, since I'm sure I would have been fooled by at least one otherwise.
D
The polls were from Feb 02 through late Apr 02. Two were Field Polls (we never hear about the one {Feb} Davis was leading in). One was conducted by Public Opinion Strategies for the Simon camp, another by Probolsky & Associates presumably for the GOP. The fifth was done by an unknown agency for a CA teachers association, which I dare say did not care for the results (Simon - 41%, Davis - 37%).
All those polls are getting a little stale now, don't you think?
Yes. And let's remember that polls six months out don't mean a whole lot. But they're all we've got right now. And they do show that, despite the rhetoric to the contrary, Simon's got a legitimate shot to win this thing. I doubt the POTUS would be out there raising money for a sure loser. :-)
I'm surprised we haven't seen a poll measuring the effect of the Oracle and fundraising scandals on Davis' numbers. The media and Dems may be afraid to commission one, for fear of the results. But I'm surprised the Simon camp or GOP hasn't done one. (Or perhaps they have, and did not care for the results.)