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To: lasereye
"I still think Davis will win, and perhaps comfortably. Maybe Simon can win if turnout is real low."

Do I translate that into that you are not involved in being part of the solution to California's socialist/communist anti-American leanings in government?

16 posted on 05/23/2002 10:06:44 AM PDT by d14truth
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To: d14truth
I've contributed to Simon's campaign FYI, and I don't even live in CA. I'm not saying don't do everything possible to win. I'm not one of these dorks who doesn't turn out on election day because I think my candidate won't win.

I'm just being realistic. The fact is, whatever chance Simon has of winning depends on accurately assessing Davis' strength. I don't think Simon can run a campaign that just says "I'm not Davis" and win. I don't think pointing out California's problems under Davis, like the budget deficit, is enough either. He has to run a sharp edged campaign in my view.

Bush's team committed a nearly fatal error in thinking they had the election wrapped up the last couple of weeks of the campaign. Gore kept saying "the health of the economy will be on the ballot election day" and Bush basically had no answer for it, even though alot of evidence was accumulating that the economy was slowing dramatically. Bush's team seemed to be unaware of it, or perhaps they feared pointing it out would backfire. The fact is they needed to be saying that the economy wasn't looking so hot in response to Gore.

Davis has the special interest votes he's buying and the pro-abortion vote, which is substantial in California. Simon needs to win the mushy middle of the road voters by a wide margin, meaning he has to motivate them to show up and vote heavily for him. With Davis' advertising blitz and his "It's all Enron's fault" spin, Simon probably can't do it.

20 posted on 05/23/2002 10:42:18 AM PDT by lasereye
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