[Irene Adler]

Incumbents are the known quantity in a race. Once voters have formed a strong negative impression of an incumbent, that impression rarely improves enough to translate into a vote for the incumbent. If Davis really is at 34 percent with likely voters, and Simon runs a decent campaign and avoids Davis's dirt machine, Simon should win. What Davis is trying to do is to increase Simon's negatives into something close to his own. With his huge war chest of funds, he may be able to do enough attack ads to smear Simon significantly, but he runs the risk of honking off the people who already don't like him even more so he can't win them back.

[NEWwoman]

I'm praying Simon will come through and with the limited funds is saving for August to kick in his campaign.

[Coop]

If Davis really is at 34 percent with likely voters,

We can argue the numbers all day - all polls contain a margin of error for a reason. But I've seen six polls now (both registered and likely voters) - Davis' total vote percentage in order from oldest to most recent poll was 42%, 41%, 37%, 38% and 43% - then this 34% came out after the slew of "bad news for Davis" stories over the past month.

Like I said earlier, his numbers make Rod Grams' numbers look strong. Of all the incumbents in the country running for re-election, I think Grayout is the last one I'd wanna be. And that includes Bob Smith-NH and Tim Johnson-SD.

[Toidylop]

...With his huge war chest of funds, he may be able to do enough attack ads to smear Simon significantly, but he runs the risk of honking off the people who already don't like him even more so he can't win them back...

He already did. He charged that Simon should NOT be trusted with managing the money!!! SIGH.

I thought I've heard a political satire :)