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Simon Wins Moderates' Support
California Political Review ^ | June 27, 2002 | James Bemis

Posted on 06/27/2002 7:19:52 AM PDT by ElkGroveDan

A supposedly 'fragmented' GOP is proving surprisingly unified.

News flash: Last weekend liberal Republican leaders threw their support behind conservative GOP gubernatorial nominee Bill Simon. His message of improving education, reducing crime, and eliminating the state's budget deficit played well with this crowd.

In fact, the 300 people attending a weekend retreat at former Assemblyman Brooks Firestone's ranch delivered a standing ovation to Simon, although few of them supported him in the primary. As Simon's campaign hoped, the more people see of their candidate, the better they like him.

Anyone having read the endless string of major media editorials, op-eds, and news analyses about the state's "fragmented" GOP may be excused for being surprised. What Simon is doing was supposed to be impossible.

Abortion Ð to which Simon reiterated his opposition Ð remains a sticking point for GOP liberals. But most attendees decided to work to elect Simon because of their loathing of his opponent, incumbent Governor Gray Davis. As California Republican League President Mark Herrick said, "I can only think of one issue that I disagree with Bill Simon on and 5 million I disagree with Gray Davis on."

It has become a media mantra to say Simon can't win because he's "an extremist" - without bothering to define what that is. Liberals have a weakness for this sort of meaningless, nondescript slur. Every day, some major California newspaper carries another piece of such blather, proof that few pundits do any thinking for themselves.

Yet most polls still show Simon either tied or leading the race, proving there's more independent thought in the dining room than the pressroom. Even Davis's own polls show the contest to be a dead heat. If rank-and-file "moderates" follow the lead of those at Firestone's ranch, Simon will have defied conventional wisdom again by uniting his Party, taking a giant leap toward winning November's race.

His next challenge will be to garner the support of "Reagan Democrats," generally consisting of blue-collar workers disgusted with their Party leadership's obsession with pushing their immorality on others. Given Democrat leaders' embrace of death, decadence, and depravity, this may not be the impossible dream that press parrots believe it to be.

Much of the state's large Hispanic population in particular may be up for grabs. After being repeatedly poked in the eye by GOP Governor Pete Wilson, Latino voters flocked to the Democrat Party. However, polling data indicates many Hispanics Ð most of whom are socially conservative Catholics Ð may be ready to return to their natural home in the Republican Party. (While Republicans only managed 23 percent of the Hispanic vote in 1998 and 2000, Richard Nixon and Ronald Reagan regularly received up to 40 percent.)

President Bush is wildly popular with Latinos and Simon's use of Spanish ads to reach out appears to be bearing fruit. Even the Los Angeles Times, which usually functions as a Democrat Party house organ, admits Simon may be making significant in-roads into this vital constituency. If that happens, November 4 may be exceedingly gray for Davis.

It shouldn't escape attention that the governor's "too smart by half" campaign advisers poured $10 million into influencing the outcome of March's Republican primary election, believing beating a novice businessman would be easy. Davis may yet rue the day he helped defeat Richard Riordan in order to face "simple" Simon in the fall.


TOPICS: Government; Politics/Elections; US: California
KEYWORDS: aheadinpolls; calgov2002; davisistoast; lookout; reaganesque; republicanunity; simon; winning
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To: Zack Nguyen
Yes, he is starting to annoy a few purists, but I don't think there's a single Republican here who doesn't want him to win.

Who are you going to support instead, Gray Davis?

Cough.

D

21 posted on 06/27/2002 11:33:30 AM PDT by daviddennis
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To: ElkGroveDan
While Republicans only managed 23 percent of the Hispanic vote in 1998 and 2000, Richard Nixon and Ronald Reagan regularly received up to 40 percent.

I appreciate the writer's enthusiasm, I think his logic needs a little work here. There is no comparison between the hispanic voting block of 1968-1984 and that of today. It was far, FAR more assimilated twenty years ago.

22 posted on 06/27/2002 12:08:30 PM PDT by skeeter
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To: ElkGroveDan
It has become a media mantra to say Simon can't win because he's "an extremist" - without bothering to define what that is.

An extremist is one who believes an embryo is a bit more than a clump of cells that may be disposed of like trash.

23 posted on 06/27/2002 12:11:00 PM PDT by Always Right
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To: GraniteStateConservative
Perhaps his numbers among Hispanics have improved, but I remain extremely skeptical that Bush's huge approval ratings will mean anything come 2004. A lot of those people who say they approve of him would never dream of voting for him. 2004 will be extraordinarily close. Count on it. America has yet to come to a consensus on the culture war that brought about the nailbiter in 2000. We are still a divided nation, regardless of the terrorist attacks.
24 posted on 06/27/2002 2:10:53 PM PDT by Zack Nguyen
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To: Zack Nguyen
I told you about the change in Bush's share of the vote today as opposed to 2000. That's a big step from just job approval numbers.
25 posted on 06/27/2002 5:15:19 PM PDT by GraniteStateConservative
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To: ElkGroveDan
You won't see this side reported in the mainstream press.

How do you reconcile that statement with this:

President Bush is wildly popular with Latinos and Simon's use of Spanish ads to reach out appears to be bearing fruit. Even the Los Angeles Times, which usually functions as a Democrat Party house organ, admits Simon may be making significant in-roads into this vital constituency.
?
26 posted on 06/27/2002 10:23:21 PM PDT by xm177e2
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To: xm177e2
You're right that is amazing that the Times would admit Simon is doing well there. Still you will never see the media say that Republicans are unified.
27 posted on 06/28/2002 7:33:37 AM PDT by ElkGroveDan
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