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Hurricane Frances : 2004-09-01 (New Thread)
Various | 2004-09-01 | Patton@Bastogne

Posted on 09/01/2004 3:15:34 AM PDT by Patton@Bastogne

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Free Republic Community:



Welcome to Wednesday's Hurricane Frances news-twist !

It looks like a Melbourne Landfall after all, once again (to Section9's worst fears) churning it's way North along the Coast Highway ...



Excellent Hurricane Frances Websites:

HURRICANE ALLEY

U.S. Weather Observers






Patton@Bastogne
Free Republic Member since 1998.



General George S. Patton Jr. Website

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TOPICS: Announcements; Miscellaneous; News/Current Events; US: Alabama; US: Florida; US: Georgia; US: South Carolina; US: Virginia
KEYWORDS: frances; hurricane; hurricanefrances
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To: TongRat

Well, we got 3 wal-mart super-centers, 4 home depots, 4 lowes, 11 lumber yards, and 150,000 people runnin' around going nuts. We have the largest number of starter homes per capita in Florida and a home construction work force that equals the population right now.

I'm staying right here.

Whatever happens, big money is gonna get thrown at this area, bigger than what they threw at the west coast after charlie. The land values just went up 600% in 2 years and the nuke plant is on hutchinson island.

When I crawl out from under the mess, I'll make coffee with busted 2x4's.

But today is 3 days away from landfall. Lots can happen.


121 posted on 09/01/2004 7:07:56 AM PDT by JoeSixPack1
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To: alancarp
UKMET and LBAR models predict Frances continuing west into the Gulf after crossing Florida, much like the Euro model had been doing.

Nobody knows where this thing is going yet. I guess the good thing is that Charley raised everyone's awareness. I hope.

122 posted on 09/01/2004 7:09:20 AM PDT by Dog Gone
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To: Patton@Bastogne

Viera,Florida checking in! Central Brevard County if you never have heard of it...lol.


123 posted on 09/01/2004 7:09:53 AM PDT by My Favorite Headache (Absalom, Absalom, Absalom....)
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To: libtoken
I know its a stretch, but this is good news
The intensity forecast is modified only slightly from the previous package. Upper-level winds are favorable through at least 36-48 hr...so Frances should remain strong. A slight weakening is indicated at 72 hr based on land interaction and some possible westerly shear.
Prayers for Floridians.
124 posted on 09/01/2004 7:10:22 AM PDT by The_Victor
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To: Dog Gone

No doubt. I'm watching this thing like a hawk from my seat in VA Beach. Almost sounds like they're moving the jets from the FL bases up this way (I live right near NAS Oceana and about a 30 min drive from NAS Norfolk)


125 posted on 09/01/2004 7:10:47 AM PDT by Severa (I can't take this stress anymore...quick, get me a marker to sniff....)
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To: lafroste

I'll be in Raleigh until Saturday when I go to Fayetteville until Monday, back to Raleigh on Monday and fly out on Tuesday. Should I be worried?


126 posted on 09/01/2004 7:11:39 AM PDT by sarasota
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To: Strategerist
OK, I still find this astonishing that people think that Tampa is some insanely huge distance from Port Charlotte/Punta Gorda. They're close to each other.

80-90 miles, depending on where you start and finish.

127 posted on 09/01/2004 7:12:04 AM PDT by cogitator
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To: 68 grunt

The ONE single optimistic note I have for the Space Coast right now is that the Hurricane Center has blown every single storm this year except for maybe Bonnie. This one has been teed up for me over several days, but the devil is in the details, and the end game is precisely what they've been faring badly on.


128 posted on 09/01/2004 7:12:36 AM PDT by alancarp (Boycott France and anything that even LOOKS French.)
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To: Archangelsk

You have to understand though that Punta Gorda was still in the cone...and it is not that far from Tampa to be honest...only an hour's drive.


129 posted on 09/01/2004 7:13:30 AM PDT by My Favorite Headache (Absalom, Absalom, Absalom....)
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To: Patton@Bastogne
A front line report from Palm Bay ...

The holy excrement factor is taking hold. Folks on the barrier islands are aware of the 18 foot storm surge potential from the northeast quadrant of the storm. This is no drill. The Florida Today newspaper (linking & excerpting prohibited, those jackals) has a graphic showing the "bermuda high" (which is a better-recognized term than "ridge") holding and keeping Frances headed right for us.

The line for wood at the Palm Bay depot runs the full length of the building. People are camped out with umbrellas for protection from the sun. Everyone has a cell phone to their ear! There have been some minor traffic accidents around these home improvement centers. So far supplies of flashlights, batteries, gas cans, duct tape, etc. is plentiful. Figure things will be pretty well picked clean by tonight although there is still time for a resupply.

My instant impression is that these people are the quick and you know what that means for the rest.

NVA plans to get out of dodge.

130 posted on 09/01/2004 7:13:54 AM PDT by NonValueAdded (Kerry was in the Senate???)
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To: alancarp
oops: not "me" -- it's been teed up for them.
131 posted on 09/01/2004 7:13:57 AM PDT by alancarp (Boycott France and anything that even LOOKS French.)
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To: sarasota

Yes, I think you should be worried. But I wouldn't cancel the trip based on what we know now. Just make sure your plans have some flexibility built into them. (and don't sleep near flood plains).


132 posted on 09/01/2004 7:14:13 AM PDT by lafroste (gravity is not a force, dangit)
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To: Severa

Come to think of it, I've been hearing more aircraft activity than usual this week. I'm only 10 miles from Wallops and one of the NOAA sites.


133 posted on 09/01/2004 7:14:51 AM PDT by Gabz (Ted Kennedy's car has killed more people than SHS.)
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To: doosee

I have been thinking that since last night and I am in Brevard County. Disney can withstand 140 mph winds..not much else. It could literally close the parks down for days only because of damage. They run on nuclear power.


134 posted on 09/01/2004 7:15:10 AM PDT by My Favorite Headache (Absalom, Absalom, Absalom....)
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To: JoeSixPack1

Thanks Joe,

Somehow,I hope that you are right, your words are reassuring for a dad that ain't too calm about now...I lived in Jax for a couple of years,and just one threat of a voluntary evacuation there,was enough to convince me to move back to God's Country,where I really belong..being an eighth generation Texan and all..


135 posted on 09/01/2004 7:17:14 AM PDT by TongRat ("Dang it Rat ! make the daggum pliers bite !")
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To: Patton@Bastogne

That priveledge goes to Vero Beach


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This is what I'm afraid of. Godparents in Vero Beach. My best friend lives in St. Cloud and they got hammered by Charley inland--no power, trees down, damage to homes so it is frightenign to think what this one might do even inland.


136 posted on 09/01/2004 7:17:51 AM PDT by cupcakes
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To: alancarp
UKMET - Ft. Pierce to Tampa, strike time 8PM Friday evening. The Tampa crossing seems unlikely, given the angle of approach, and the frictional effect of the hurricane. Much more likely to 'skip' along the coast and go to Orlando or Sanford from there.

If it comes in south of Ft. Pierce (West Palm or Lake Worth), the frictional effect could bring it right into Tampa (but fortunately there wouldn't be a storm surge).

A bad aspect of that track would be: it would cross over some of the areas devastated by Charley in south-central FL. Yeesh.

137 posted on 09/01/2004 7:19:32 AM PDT by cogitator
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To: Law is not justice but process
"Something odd is happening with this storm. In the last few hours it has become elongated in a roughly North-South Axis"

Fixin to turn either north or south.

138 posted on 09/01/2004 7:22:25 AM PDT by jpsb (Nominated 1994 "Worst writer on the net")
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To: 68 grunt

We live in M. I. too.....heard on the readio that evac is tomorrow. Worried that we could get trapped. We live N. of the 528 and worried that draw bridge will get damaged and we won't be able to return home.


139 posted on 09/01/2004 7:24:42 AM PDT by submarinerswife
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To: Brytani

With all due respect I have to disagree. I was living on the Dade county border when Andrew hit and for 3 days prior to the storm...there was ZERO talk about Andrew going north. If anything it was all about how due west it was going to go.


140 posted on 09/01/2004 7:25:14 AM PDT by My Favorite Headache (Absalom, Absalom, Absalom....)
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