There's no way to supply the troops across the Dnipro River. Not in this war where the enemy can use drones and satellites.
Posted on 05/03/2024 3:53:37 PM PDT by delta7
In Ukraine, the Russians are slowly grinding down the Ukrainian army and there is the prospect of a major Ukrainian collapse and/or a major Russian offensive. Signs of collapse are evident due to manpower/materiel shortages but no one can say for sure when these things will happen.
Another event many are expecting is an attack on the Kerch Bridge, which even I, the arch optimist, am expecting to happen sooner or later…
… May Day - Trophy Exhibition Opens in Moscow
Workers all over the world have been celebrating May day and Russia marked it be opening an exhibition of captured NATO equipment at Victory Parade in Moscow.
Tass is reporting that at a meeting with his military chiefs on May 1st, Defence Minister, Sergei Shoigu demanded more supplies for the fronts ‘to support the needed rate of advance in the special operations zone’. This appears to be saying that the current rate of advance will be maintained or even increased as part of an offensive. Shoigu also said that this would be done in accordance with the ‘plan’ that is part of the SMO. Shoigu also pointed out that the Ukrainians have lost 111,000 troops this year.
Odessa Massacre - 2nd May 2014
May 2nd marked the tenth anniversary of the Odessa tragedy. Ukrainian nationalists and supporters of the coup d’état set fire to the House of Trade Unions, where representatives of the "anti-Maidan" movement had sought refuge. 48 people were burned alive and over 200 were injured. The Ukrainian authorities have never investigated the incident. You can read more about the tragedy at Tass.
Russia Phobic Bill
Ukrainian RADA is processing a Bill that will allow employers to sack any employee who does not reveal that they have relatives in Russia.
Ukraine Suspends Convention on Human Rights
Ukraine has formally suspended the operation of the Convention on Human Rights and Freedoms. According to Rybar:
Ukrainian authorities plan to officially renounce the inviolability of the home, freedom of movement and speech, and the right to assembly - things that have long been disregarded in practice.
Ukraine can no longer distance itself from authoritarian regimes because it is one.
Rishi - We Will Back You Forever
Rishi Sunak has promised to provide Ukraine with military aid until 2030 that’s if Ukraine still exists then.
‘Harry Potter’ Castle Burned Down In Odessa
The Palace of Students of the Odessa Law Academy was accidentally set on fire by Ukrainian air defence missiles on the 29th April - though the legacy media is blaming the Russians. I have no idea who is telling the truth but it’s a shame (lovely building). The structure was known as the Harry Potter Castle because of its similarities with Hogwarts castle in the British book/film series.
ATACMS
The US has been supplying these long range missiles for a while, apparently. Efforts have been made to convince the general public that Ukraine has a right to kill and maim the innocent civilians who will become victims of these missiles on Russian soil. No one should be surprised by this because it is part of Western flexibility when it comes to morality. I know - I have said this before. Let’s face it, Western leaders who can allow the genocide in Gaza to continue or the complete elimination of Ukraine’s manhood to be achieved are not moral in any sense.
‘We Have Nothing!’ - Krivonos
General Sergei Krivonos exclaimed angrily on live TV that the Ukrainians have no ammunition for artillery. There are even shortages of small arms ammunition. Military operations cannot rely solely on the sacrifice of soldiers’ lives he said. Abandoned factories should have been converted to produce arms but corruption got in the way of this:
If we (the Ukrainian authorities) had not embezzled funds but instead invested them, we could have allocated 25-35 million - no more, but unfortunately, this is not the case! We have numerous factories capable of quickly repairing equipment, but unfortunately, this is not happening.
Where Are Our Defences? Ukrainians ask.
Ukrainian soldiers are lamenting the fact that the defences to their rear, on which they were hoping to rely once they were forced to retreat - are not there. Apparently, companies charged with building these defences are not doing so, due to the risks involved, or are exaggerating the strength of those defences they have built.
‘Donbass Will Fall in October’ - Ukraine Commanders
A Swiss news outlet, in an interview with several Ukrainian army officers asked for their views on the conflict. They suggested that defeat was inevitable and that the Donbass would fall in October when the Ukrainians will be obliged to negotiate with Putin, according to Blick. Another Ukrainian, deputy head of the GUR, Skibitsky, is equally pessimistic. He expects a Russian offensive by the end of May which will bring ‘dark days’ to Kharkov followed by the Russian capture of the Baltic States within a week. Wow! He certainly knows nothing about Russia’s capabilities yet alone her ambitions. But he may be correct in predicting a Russian offensive in Sumy and Kharkov regions and in accepting the strategic significance of Chasiv Yar. Some say that Bakhmut was significant strategically because it allowed access to the defensive citadel that is Chassov Yar, the most important link in the chain that constitutes the Donbass defence structure. The fall of Chasiv Yar, he said, is inevitable - as we all know. Skibitsky suggests that Ukraine cannot prevail without increased Western support.
Ukrainian Soldiers Appeal to the People
According to Geroman:
Soldiers of the 1st, 2nd and 3rd companies, the second battalion of the 68th Jaeger Brigade of the Ukrainian Armed Forces express collective distrust of the brigade command and ask for the support of the people.
Desertions - Ukraine
According to Slavyangrad, 150,000 Ukrainians have deserted since the start of the SMO, mostly in the past six months. Cases against 4,000 deserters are registered every month and are clogging up the courts while the desertion rate is increasing.
According to Ukrainian channel legitimniy, training of military men in the West has been suspended due to desertions. They are running away from training bases and refusing to return home. This was happening last year, the source says, when morale in the army was average but now that the majority of soldiers are being forced to fight the problem will be much greater.
Conflict Within Ukraine’s Army
Some Ukrainian Telegram Channels are reporting a split within the army as elite Azov units (i.e. the Third Assault Brigade) refused Syrsky’s orders to defend Chasov Yar.. The Brigade also refused Syrsky’s orders to defend Ocheretino. According to legitimniy, Ermak and Z have been trying to ‘clean up’ the Azov type Brigades by sending them into the meat grinder. They are concerned that these Nazi Brigades could march on Kiev.
Russian Tank Production Up 350%
There seems to be lots of bad news for Ukraine this week, including the fact that Russian tank production/refurbishment has increased by 350% since 2022. To add insult to this injury, Russian output of ammunition rounds for tanks and infantry fighting vehicles increased by 900%, artillery shells by 600%, and munitions for MLRS by 800%. Three times as many unguided rockets for heavy flamethrower systems are also being produced.
Ukraine Terror Attacks
Many people out there, especially Russians, are fearful of an increase in Ukrainian terror attacks on Russian soil and it must be said that this is likely rather than merely possible. Ukraine’s army is too weak to make any significant and visible impact on the Russian army so the only way Ukraine’s administration can get the country seen is by attacking civilians or civilian infrastructure with the Kerch Bridge as the prize cow. Oh - and a nuclear catastrophe at Zaporozhye Nuclear Power Plant, which the Ukrainians are still attacking, may raise an eyebrow or two!
And Ukraine needs to be seen because it can exist only as a parasite; it needs the people of donor countries to be convinced that Ukraine can win in order to receive the aid that sustains it. The destruction of a part of the Kerch Bridge may do this to a gullible public led by the legacy media propagandists. Kerch could be Ukraine’s Kursk - at least that’s how much the MSM will try to beef the story up. ‘Russia’s military artery severed’, the headlines will shout. ‘Russia could face supply problems after the Kerch bridge collapses’ the gullible will be led to believe. But we know the truth: Kerch does not supply military goods to Ukraine, these come via other routes.
Boris Rozhin shares this realistic view that terrorist attacks will increase significantly and so will this section of the Update, maybe.
26th/27th April……
…that is what desperate nations do.
At least the writer admits they are a cheerleader for a Russian victory.
Nobody but your sycophants pays attention anymore. Been “crying wolf” too often for too long.
Mark your calendars!
*The period of the martial law regime in The Ukraine has been extended until 13 May 2024, but it can be further extended unlimited times.
At this point, I am assuming that God is on Russia’s side.
That’s unlikely. God doesn’t seem to like tyrants, rapists, people who murder civilians, or even priests who allow their religion to be coopted by somebody like Putin.
The vast majority of that is 100% sourced from Russian Troll accounts and propaganda. nice job...
"Providence is always on the side of the big battalions"
I can be wrong but the Russians may try to make one more big push. They’ll see if they can capture Kharkiv, Kherson and Odessa. Then settle for a ceasefire.
The think that should worry people is that there is no victory option for Ukraine and their NATO sponsor. There are only one of two ways this can go. They lose or give up significant concessions to end the shooting... including a complete cessation of assassinations and sabotage.
OR, they get some kind of success and strike an unusually effective blow, like dropping the Kerch Bridge, hitting the Kremlin with something very big, a powerful drone or NATO missile. Assassinating Putin, or family members etc. Or maybe some lucky drive into Crimea putting Sevastopol at risk... Who knows? Something big though. Such a “victory” will cause Russia to feel that existential threat + humiliation and they might do something nobody expects.
The way I see it, there is either Ukraine submitting, or getting lucky briefly, and then getting plastered and a wider war like never before.
And NATO and DC has no reverse gear, they only escalate.
Trump getting elected is the only hope for anything sane. And that may not come in time.
We will see.
An attempt at Kharkiv is possible, but not Kherson and Odessa. The Russians are not going to cross the Dnipro River again.
At this point, I am assuming that God is on Russia’s side.
———-
God does not ordain war. Blessed are the Peacemakers. My biblical teachings tell me either he has “ given them over to themselves “ and their evil desires or evil is being used to destroy evil, a Biblical hallmark.
That said, the US and collective West are guilty- who is worse? The person that murders or the one that pays to have someone murdered? The one who pays as they have caused another to murder- exactly what the US has done- by their own admission….this proxy war begins the downfall of the US.
The Russians are not going to cross the Dnipro River again.
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I don’t have a crystal ball for the future- you don’t either. Once Chasov Yar falls ( like Marioupol, Bakmut, and Avdivka), the flat , defenseless plains are an open invitation to the Dniepner…. the Ukies created with US support hardened defenses since 2014, Chasov Yar is the last one….
“That’s unlikely. God doesn’t seem to like tyrants, rapists, people who murder civilians, or even priests who allow their religion to be coopted by somebody like Putin.
Everything you just wrongly attributed to Putin has been done by Ukraine. EVERYTHING. Get a f’ing life.
There's no way to supply the troops across the Dnipro River. Not in this war where the enemy can use drones and satellites.
“Ukrainians will be obliged to negotiate with Putin, according to Blick.”
Now that’s funny right there. Putin will tell Ukraine to surrender unconditionally and will continue to take land and villages until that happens. There will be no negotiation.
Why have you left out the Russians, you know, the ones who actually invaded and continue to attack Ukraine?
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