Skip to comments.It’s “Super Tuesday,” only Romney and Gingrich can emerge to challenge Obama
Posted on 03/07/2012 12:39:18 AM PST by Brown Deer
It is Super Tuesday in the GOP race to select the Republican nominee for Novembers general election against incumbent President Barack Obama. Super Tuesday represents the biggest polling day so far in what has been an intense and sometimes bitter GOP race and will see contests in Ohio, Georgia, Massachusetts, Tennessee, Vermont, Virginia, Oklahoma, Idaho, North Dakota and Alaska. There are 419 of the 1,144 delegates needed to win the partys nomination up for grabs.
The biggest fight of the day will see current front-runner Mitt Romney, and unexpected rival Rick Santorum battle it out in the State of Ohio. Romneys new slogan of more jobs, less debt, smaller government is part of a broader strategy, to counter Santorums appeal for both working-class voters and conservatives. A win for Santorum in Ohio is crucial as his support and lead in the polls is gradually being eaten into by Romney and Newt Gingrich.
Santorum has most to lose of all the candidates going into Super Tuesday, a failure to meet expectations and grind out a significant state victory will only add to the resurgence of conservative rival Gingrich. Gingrich was applauded by many yesterday, for a string of brilliant appearances on the Sunday political shows. A Santorum victory in Ohio, would yet again, turn the race on its head, while he is also aiming for victories in conservative Oklahoma and Tennessee.
Romney has been gaining ground on Santorum in the Ohio polls all week, eliminating a double-digit lead for the former senator from Pennsylvania, with one poll giving Romney the advantage, one gave Santorum the lead and the third showed a virtual tie. Romney is expected to easily win in Vermont and Massachusetts.
Romneys superior organization and establishment support, combined with his massively funded Super PAC, has enabled him to compete all across the Super Tuesday landscape and potentially pick up more than half of the 419 delegates up for grabs.
In the state of Virginia, only Mitt Romney and Ron Paul made the ballot, as both Santorum and Gingrich failed to meet the strict state criteria. This contest virtually guarantees a Romney victory in the state where he enjoys prominent backing in the shape of notable Republicans Governor Bob McDonnell and House Majority Leader Eric Cantor for the states 46 delegates.
Texas Congressman Ron Paul, who has yet to win a state primary or caucus despite his fanatical ground level support, is finally expected to pick up his first wins in Alaska and North Dakotas caucuses.
Former House of Representatives Speaker Newt Gingrich, seeking a path to a comeback, leads his home state of Georgia. Gingrich anticipates doing well in Tennessee, Oklahoma and Ohio and intends to carry on in the race, even if he finishes third overall on Super Tuesday, behind former Romney and Santorum. Gingrich hopes a Georgia victory will kick off his Southern Strategy of taking Alabama and Mississippi on March 13 and possibly Kansas, resulting in his third comeback in the GOP race, as the conservative alternative to Romney.
Former Presidential candidate Herman Cain hailed Newt Gingrichs promise to push the price of a gallon of gas under $2.50 as the new 9-9-9 of the presidential campaign, he said, that gives voters a concrete promise of action. Gingrich has estimated that Americans will see a whopping $16 trillion to $18 trillion in federal tax revenue from the energy explosion, wiping out the national debt in one fell swoop.
I expect Romney to meet his expectations and win Ohio. Santorum will just fall short in Ohio but while he has enjoyed a strong six weeks of momentum, the pendulum is starting to shift away from him. He simply cannot discipline himself on the campaign trail in terms of some of his rhetoric and his constant commentary on social issues is playing into Team Obamas hands. Santorum has raised his profile and in my view, exceeded expectations in this race so far and I credit him for that. However, if anyone believes he is actually capable of beating President Obama in a general election they are delusional.
I believe Gingrich will exceed expectations by winning Georgia comfortably, but will turn in stronger than expected performances in some of the other states in contention today. Gingrich is the solutions candidate, anybody observing him deliver a master class on topic narrative with the liberal media on Sunday, cant help but realise, he is the real alternative to Romney.
Santorums bid will start to flounder after today, Newt will surge again, and the only matter that remains to be seen is how Romney, will cope on the campaign trail once he comes out from under the Mittness Protection Programme.
Newt can win the race still however, it is Romneys to lose at this point.
I guess the writer didn't get the memo that the strategy included TN. That didn't happen.
Rick should start playing nice with Newt.
Newt has taken onboard Cain and Perry.
If Rick can’t play nice with the others then he gets separated. Those are the rules and he can cry all he likes but that is not going to change anything.
Why doesn’t Gingrich have to play nice? Who died and and made Gingrich the ruler of the universe? Why do Gingrich supporters have to be so obnoxious and arrogant? I’m sick of being issued orders by people in the name of Gingrich. There are a lot of terrible candidates in this GOP race, but Gingrich is still one of them. Arrogance and a false sense of importance is not going to get him anywhere.
I just said play nice.
What does that mean?
who the Fluke are you?
A conservative. Who won’t let Romney scare me into voting for a failed Rockefeller Republican.
Mittens thinks he can win against Obammy without conservatives. The GOP put Obama in for a second term if Romney is the GOP candidate.
Obama will polish off the Republic quickly rather than the slow road Mittens would take.
Mainly because Newt is a better leader with better media skills, more leadership experience who has actually balanced the budge four times and kicked liberal fanny along the way.
Rick should drop out. Newt will expose and beat Obama.
Bingo. And from dealing with a number of middle-of-the-road types of the sort we’ll need in November, I will tell you they hate Santorum, viscerally so.
Who else is there?
We all know what a phony is Mittens.
We've seen what a putz is Santorum. I mean, being forced to debate George Staphylococcus over the stomach turningness of JFK's 1960 affirmation of the First Amendment! That's OK for the Catholic college lecture circuit, but not for the 2012 general election!
Gingrich is the only one left who can articulate conservatism and isn't a certifiable nut on foreign Israel and other foreign policy issues.
Our good conservative candidates do NOT need to "drop out". We need to work together!
*2. Rick as temp Placekeeper Nominee;
Brokered Primary Now! = Secure Conservative Nomination for the GOP Convention
Then use the next 5 months of campaigning to determine the best Conservative Nominee.
=>>> Full Details - Post 55 Says It All... on the "Brokered Primary Now!" thread.
FYI - Post 17 above - “Brokered Primary Now!”
I am Catholic who goes to daily Mass and I love Santorum for I have followed his prolife cause for years, and I am grateful for that but I don’t think he can beat Obama because he is such a gentleman.
Last night I watched his speech which really made clearer of my assessment on Santorum’s chance.
It is sad that Republican voters cannot see NEWT as the only candidate who can beat Obama, as he puts it, DECISIVELY!
May the Lord have mercy on us as we have sinned!
“Newt has taken onboard Cain and Perry”
Newt has taken onboard Cain and Perry and Palin.
How is saying capitalism is evil articulating conservatism? How is planning to steal from taxpayers on some moon base boondoggle articulating conservatism? Socialism is not conservatism.
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