Posted on 04/30/2012 5:31:09 PM PDT by bruinbirdman
Mario Draghi's liquidity blitz is beginning to feed through into the EMU money supply. At last. This is the best news in months for Europe.
Mario Draghi, in carnival form - now providing liquidity
Mario Draghi's liquidity blitz is beginning to feed through into the EMU money supply. At last. This is the best news in months for Europe.
As you can see from the charts below (from the ECB's new data), real M1 deposits are rising briskly again in the core.
They are rising out of the depths of Hell for Europe's Arc of Depression. That is to say, the rate of collapse has slowed on a six-month basis from minus 5.6pc in February to minus 3.7pc in March. Be thankful for small mercies.
"It is still early days but a further recovery in peripheral real M1 would suggest an end to recessions by late 2012," said Simon Ward from Henderson Global Investors who collects the data.
The `narrow money ' MI figures have a lead time of about six months, so were are talking about a better autumn. Possibly.
This does not mean that the picture is good. The ECB said lending to business continued to fall across the eurozone in March. The credit crunch has not yet lifted.
"The ECB will undoubtedly be disappointed by these latest lending figures. Tight
(Excerpt) Read more at blogs.telegraph.co.uk ...
Whatever they say. Liquidity doesn’t mean and is not a substitute for solvency. That’s like “we lose money per transaction, but we make it up on volume”...
Usually Ambrose is more circumspect....
Note that this is a blog. He will kick this around before using it in the paper.
yitbos
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.