The Race To Take The Senate

Flopping Aces ^ | 05-05-12 | Curt

[Starman417]

Now that it appears Romney will be our nominee I have little hope of taking the White House this election year.

So instead our efforts should move to taking the Senate and keeping the House to ensure that anything Obama tries to do in his continuing destruction of this country is stopped dead in its tracks.

So far we are not in bad shape. In the Senate currently there are 51 Democrats, 47 Republicans and 2 Independents (who should be counted as Democrats since they always vote with the Dem's) so 53 to 47. 23 Democrats and 10 Republicans have their seats up this year so it's quite possible we could take the Senate.

Real Clear Politics has the Democrats holding 46 seats, the Republicans holding 46 seats and 8 that are in play. Those being Florida, Maine, Massachusetts, Missouri, Montana, Nevada, Virginia, and Wisconsin.

Montana is looking good:

Republican Congressman Denny Rehberg holds his largest lead yet over Democratic incumbent Jon Tester in Montana’s U.S. Senate race.

A new statewide telephone survey of Likely Voters shows Rehberg ahead of Tester 53% to 43%. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, and another two percent (2%) are undecided.

So is Nevada:

Incumbent Republican Senator Dean Heller has crossed the 50% mark of support against his likeliest Democratic challenger in his bid for election to his first full term in Nevada.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in Nevada finds Heller picking up 51% of the vote against Congresswoman Shelley Berkley who draws 40% support. Just two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, and eight percent (8%) are undecided.

In Florida the Republicans are still battling to see who will go up against incumbent Democrat Bill Nelson. Right now the numbers don't look good but once the nominee is settled we should get a better handle on that State.

I haven't seen much polling for Maine but the last one, which is a month old, shows the Independent King leading Republican Summers 56% to 22%. The Democrat running, Matt Dunlap is only polling at 12%. No idea if King will caucus with Republicans or Democrats however. That's an important question since it looks like a landslide.

Massachusetts shows a slight lead by the Republican Scott Brown over Elisabeth Warren but with the latest gaffe from Warren we might be seeing a larger lead opening up. The Boston Globe has Brown over Warren by 2 and the Western New England University Polling Institute has him winning by 8.

[WKB]

(to ensure that anything Obama tries to do in his continuing destruction of this country is stopped dead in its tracks. )

SURE!!!

[cripplecreek]

The senate race for Stabenow’s seat will be my primary reason for going to the polls. We better hope for a lot of write in and 3rd party voters to get people to the polls because Romney won’t get the job done.

[bboop]

The reason I really like Rush Limbaugh is that he is courageous and upbeat. I am going to call it COURAGE. Bible calls it FORTITUDE.

Perhaps all the posts that start with the premise ‘all is lost but at least we can maybe salvage a little bit of xx’ should be posted under I GIVE UP and the ones that start ‘regardless of xx, I am going to do xx, because it is not heaven down here’ could be posted under I WILL NEVER GIVE UP.

Then those of us who want to sharpen our swords and continue to fight for what is right will be able to find other warriors.

Just a thot.

[GilGil]

Very, very well said. This author is a jerk and adds nothing to the cause.

[lurk]

Regardless of who has power in the House and Senate, consider two things about the next 4 1/2 years.

First, the sharp toothy part of Obamacare jumps into action in 2014.

Second, the next President will be picking Federal judges from SCOTUS on down.

The good times haven’t begun yet.

[donozark]

Rasmussen has had Sarah Steelman up 7-10 points over Ma McCaskill in recent polling. Stronger than both Akin and Brunner. Steelman has also had a recent upsurge in campaign $$.

[CdMGuy]

Well Starman417, I sure would not want you on my team. I am no Romney fan but I will work to do all that I can to get him elected in November. To do otherwise would be beyond stupidity. Do you not realize what 4 more years of Obama would do to America even if the Repubs won control of the Senate? What you and all other conservative Americans should be working for is the election of a Republican House, a Republican Senate and a Republican President. With conservatives in control of the House and Senate, they can exert a great deal of influence on the programs which a President Romney would bring forward.

[SuziQ]

Contrary to some on FR, I will vote for Mitt Romney, simply because I want Obama OUT of the White House! Sadly, I probably won’t have any conservatives for whom to vote, though I will vote for Scott Brown, again because I don’t want the Democrat candidate (Fauxcahontas) to win. I don’t believe there is a Repub. challenger to my Congressman, Jim McGovern, so I can’t help the fact he’ll be re-elected.

[bboop]

I’m with SuzyQ. California is leftie, BUT the TeaParty is strong and we have some good conservatives tucked away here and there.

[House Atreides]

“Rasmussen has had Sarah Steelman up 7-10 points over Ma McCaskill in recent polling. Stronger than both Akin and Brunner. Steelman has also had a recent upsurge in campaign $$.”
***********************************************************
Sarah Steelman will be a wonderful addition to the Senate. I hope all you “show-me-staters” will be voting for her in the primary. And non-Missouri folks can also support her campaign, financially or otherwise.

http://sarahsteelman.com/

[bicyclerepair]

I plan on volunteering in Karen Harrington’s office before the election.

She was Deby’s first opposition, 25k to 40k in 10. Not a bad start.

[ExCTCitizen]

(Fauxcahontas)

LOL...wonderful name...

probably won’t have any conservatives for whom to vote, though I will vote for Scott Brown,

Scott Brown is at least not going to be a Kennedy...(I don't think he drinks on the Senate Floor)

I don’t believe there is a Repub. challenger to my Congressman, Jim McGovern

You mean no towns in the 3rd district is conservative enough to elect even a RINO? Ok Worcester is liberal (thou Polar Beverage is good. Has Holy Cross students stole the Polar Bear lately?) but Blackstone or Franklin can't help?

[SuziQ]

The problem is that no one wants to run against him. We did have a conservative/moderate Congressman for a couple of years. Peter Blute ran against Joe Early, in 1994, when the Republicans took the House for the first time in 40 years. He ran against Early on the strength of the anger about the check-kiting that was being done by many Congressman.

Unfortunately, he only survived one term, and lost to Jim McGovern, who had worked with Joe Early, and knew the ins and outs of DC, and had the financial backing of the unions in Worcester. McGovern has continued to win, based on the strength of those unions, but he had a strong contender in Marty Lamb in 2010. I guess Marty decided not to put himself in that meat grinder again this year, because I haven't heard of any opponents to McGovern.