Skip to comments.Election Day 2012 - Internal Polls Show Romney With Slight Lead
Posted on 11/06/2012 4:47:34 AM PST by LD Jackson
Finally!! The day of the election is here and the votes will soon be counted in the only poll that matters. All across America, people will be casting their votes and deciding which direction they want our country to take in the next four years. There is a clear contrast between the two candidates that couldn't be more stark. Do we want four more years of spend and tax and driving America into the ground, or do we want to see a morning dawn in America that brings real hope and a promise of change that isn't just empty words and rhetoric. Barack Obama vs. Mitt Romney, it's your choice, Americans. As Paul Ryan likes to say, let's get this done.
I will not attempt to make predictions about the outcome of this election. I have my hopes, ie. suspicions, that it may not be as close as the polls are suggesting. I have nothing to back that hope up, other than the enthusiasm level for Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan is much, much greater than it was for McCain/Palin in 2008. Add to that the fact that Barack Obama is having to run on his own record of four years of failure, and I believe we have a good chance of sending him on a permanent vacation to Hawaii.
I have listened to the radio and reading many news articles and blog posts in the past few days and weeks. Much of that has to do with how the election is going to play out among the battleground states. The Obama campaign has touted the fact that the Romney campaign has started paying no small attention to Pennsylvania, saying it is a sign of desperation, that is shows they know they are losing. I suppose that could be true, but when I apply a little common sense to what is happening, I always come back to one significant point. If the Romney campaign knows it has no chance of winning Pennsylvania, why are they spending money on a state they know they can not win? The same applies to the reason they have spent very little money in Oklahoma and Arkansas. They know they have both of those states locked in the win column. Therefore, they are spending their money where they believe it will do them the most good, ie. get the most bang for their buck. I find it very difficult to believe they would spend money in Pennsylvania, unless they had good reason to believe it was really in play. Having said that, I say we need to take that as a sign of hope, not desperation.
We all know each campaign has their own set of internal polling data. That data is generally not released to the public, until after the election is finished. Having said that, Daily Mail has what they are calling an exclusive, saying the internal polling from the Romney campaign shows a much different story than is being told by the national polls that are being released.
(Hot Air)Mitt Romney is ahead by a single percentage point in Ohio, according to internal polling data provided to MailOnline by a Republican party source.I realize the release of this information will be portrayed as another sign of desperation, but again, I say it is a good sign of how this election will be decided. Allahpundit has more commentary that is closer to the point.
Internal campaign polling completed last night by campaign pollster Neil Newhouse has Romney three points up in New Hampshire, two points up in Iowa and dead level in Wisconsin and most startlingly Pennsylvania.
Internal poll show Romney trailing in Nevada, reflected in a consensus among senior advisers that Obama will probably win the state. Early voting in Nevada has shown very heavy turnout in the Democratic stronghold of Clark County and union organisation in the state is strong.
The skeptical view of leaking these is that it smacks of what desperate campaigns do when they know theyre losing. Remember Tom Barrett? He wanted the world to believe, contra nearly all of the independent polling, that he and Scott Walker were dead even two weeks out from the recall election this summer. That made perfect sense in his case: He was behind, everyone knew it, and he needed a morale booster to keep his base from giving up. How is that analogous to Romneys situation? Is there any Republican anywhere whos given up and thinks Os slight lead in Ohio in the independent polls is immune to huge GOP turnout tomorrow? The final Gallup and Rasmussen national tracking polls each have Romney ahead by a point, a fact Drudge is trumpeting as I write this. There are no Romney voters at this point who need rosy internal polls to nudge them out the door tomorrow.To the naysayers who believe this election is already in the bag for Obama, I say whoa, halt. Republicans are much more concerned about the state of our country than they were four years ago. They also have a great deal more confidence in Mitt Romney in 2012 than they had in John McCain in 2008. Barack Obama has not won the election yet and I believe there are strong signs that point to Mitt Romney becoming the 45th President of the United States.
I believe we are going to see a Republican landslide that will dwarf the 2010 election.
I suspect he has a considerably larger lead than anyone is saying but I’d feel a lot better if we weren’t encouraging the slacker vote and fraud with early and easy voting.
I still think that is wishful thinking, but we will see in a few hours. I hope I am wrong, but I doubt it...
Anyhow ... he was not accosting everyone, so his method is susceptible to selection bias. He gave me a short questionnaire to fill out and drop in a box, so again, there was no pressure to please the pollster. This, however, gave me the opportunity to be a middle aged, middle income, churchgoing black woman with kids at home who is voting for Romney.
This is in DC, so I expect this to cause a disturbance in the force. If Team Obama panics about noon, I am prepared to take the credit ....
I am going to be on pins and needles all day. Already told my husband he will need to pick dinner tonite. I won’t get anything done today except to go vote at lunch time. Oh and my coworkers and I did convince the 1 employee in our office to vote for Romney after she announced that there was no difference in the 2.
Question for both of you and anybody else. I was going to post this question as a Vanity post but I didn’t. If anybody think’s it would be a good vanity post feel free to post the question:
Have you been called by any pollsters at any time during Election 2012?
c) Yes, but I refused to participate.
Me: b) No, I was not called.
DC! that disturbance in the force will be felt many light years away.
No pollster calls, I got rid of my landline this year and only have cell phone. It was wonderful not getting all the calls this year.
Voted for Romney, wife switched from Obama 2008 to Romney in 2012.
c) Yes, but saw caller ID and refused to pick up. Don’t want to give them time of the day...
So I don't know if they were Pollsters or not. I will never answer or participate knowingly to POLL callers ever again.
This is one time that I really appreciate CALLER ID.
I’d have done the same if they had called me. I would not tell them anything. I always assume that anybody who calls is a democrat just as I always suspect that those who work at the polls on election day are democrats just like City Hall workers, school teacher...etc. I never want to give them any info. I think many conservatives think the same way.
Sphinx, if you are who you say you are, you are a true warrior for this country, for God and for your race...
The courage you have to live your life the way you WANT to live it is what has made this country great and is faithful to the ideals of our founding fathers...
God bless you and I’d be honored to meet you someday...