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Ebola Play-Out Scenarios in the United States
Self ^ | 10/2/14 | Self

Posted on 10/02/2014 8:27:26 PM PDT by ProtectOurFreedom

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To: Delta Dawn
I have been having many of these same thoughts...80,000 people in a stadium for a football game, 10 Obola carriers...There could be 800 to a 1000 new cases by the end of the game

There are possible vectors in supermarkets touching produce, spraying droplets in crowds, etc. I think in the stadium it would have to be sprayed. It won't just float around through the air from person to person. If it did that, half the people in West Point (Monrovia) would be dead.

61 posted on 10/03/2014 3:35:28 AM PDT by palmer (This comment is not approved or cleared by FDA)
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To: Pelham
You can catch it from dry mouse droppings.

Any idea if Ebola survives dry? I had read it did not.

62 posted on 10/03/2014 3:37:09 AM PDT by palmer (This comment is not approved or cleared by FDA)
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To: ProtectOurFreedom
We can overcome a small number of cases like Dallas even if it kills a dozen people. The problem is when there are 200,000 cases in Africa and 100's of them flee here. They won't all be caught by a thermometer at the airport. Quarantine and blood tests is somewhat acceptable, but blocking entry completely would be better. The real problem is WMD by terrorists. This would be ridiculously easy if the terrorist doesn't mind dying too. The terrorist would not be positive coming through the airport.

We can easily be killed by political correctness either by not properly confining suspect cases, or allowing terrorists into the country.

63 posted on 10/03/2014 3:41:37 AM PDT by palmer (This comment is not approved or cleared by FDA)
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To: palmer

Everybody visits the bathroom during a football game...


64 posted on 10/03/2014 3:44:59 AM PDT by Delta Dawn (Fluent in two languages: English and cursive.)
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To: Delta Dawn
When I went to the Octoberfest in Munich years ago everybody stood around a big trough to pee into and nobody washed their hands, no door or doorknob.

Other than in samples grossly contaminated with blood, EBOV was not found by any method on environmental surfaces...

http://jid.oxfordjournals.org/content/196/Supplement_2/S142.full

That was not a very large study but it suggests that fomites are not a very potent vector.

65 posted on 10/03/2014 4:04:50 AM PDT by palmer (This comment is not approved or cleared by FDA)
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To: ProtectOurFreedom
"What would it take to finally get the LIVs and Gibsmedats to vote for serious leaders? 10 million dead? 20 million?"

Before it gets to ten million, the economy collapses and the electrical grid fails. Then, Ebola just becomes one more killer, behind mass starvation and mega violence.

It doesn't matter what leads up to or causes the grid to fail. When the power goes out, our society crashes and burns.

Click the pic to the full-text Free Republic thread.

66 posted on 10/03/2014 5:38:14 AM PDT by Travis McGee (www.EnemiesForeignAndDomestic.com)
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To: palmer; Black Agnes

I saw a doctor on TV who discussed an experiment, where a traceable but mild cold virus was smeared from an infected hand onto one single doorknob at a business.

Half of the office workers were infected in one day. It jumped from knob to hand to coffee pot handle to bathroom door knob etc etc.

Ebola only takes 1-10 virons to infect a person, and it can remain viable outside the body for days, for example, all over that ambulance, which continued to be used by several ambulance crews in contact with many patients after it was contaminated.


67 posted on 10/03/2014 5:43:18 AM PDT by Travis McGee (www.EnemiesForeignAndDomestic.com)
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To: Travis McGee
All true. We won't too much until next week (a week of incubation in new victims). In two weeks we will be partly in the clear, in three fully clear. Alternatively we will have a couple family cases and more contacts to watch. The least likely scenario is lots of cases from this one guy. I based that mainly on Nigeria. They had one guy puke blood on the flight into Lagos, and died that night. He killed 3 on the plane (AFAIK) out of 48. He killed 8 total after infecting 20. They had to watch up to 900 people. Our situation is a lot better than theirs in that we are somewhat prepared. The ambulance people put on breathing masks (of course leaving their eyes exposed). They would have had gloves although I didn't read one way or the other. I doubt anyone got infected at the hospital (his second time, don't know about the first time).

There is a lot of luck, good or bad, involved. Also the personal habits of the victim matter. Some go crazy when the virus gets into the brain.

68 posted on 10/03/2014 6:05:34 AM PDT by palmer (This comment is not approved or cleared by FDA)
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To: Pelham

Thank you for the information. I don’t dispute the potential virulence of the diseases, just the proportions are not what we are being told to expect. With respect to the individuals that have died of these diseases, I just don’t see where we have the death tolls that make it more fearsome than, say, Islam itself, or drunk drivers. A more calm approach would be better than the endless worrying and hand-wringing that is such a waste of time.

I know this guy who is a research scientist. Every time he is around, he will say something like the dam holds so much water it would flood us in ten minutes. I say it hasn’t happened yet and probably won’t. He keeps worrying and I don’t worry. It probably won’t. He is a liberal.


69 posted on 10/03/2014 6:40:38 AM PDT by webheart (We are all pretty much living in a fiction.)
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To: ProtectOurFreedom

70 posted on 10/03/2014 7:04:47 AM PDT by Lazamataz (First we beat the Soviet Union. Then we became them.)
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To: PA Engineer
OBAMA IS RESPONSIBLE FOR AN INCOMING HEALTH CRISIS OF APOCALYPTIC PROPORTIONS.

Incompetence and malfeasant is the coat of arms of Obama’s administration

The Centers for Disease Control Changed Its Ebola Prevention Page on September 19, 2014. Why?

PJ Media ^ | 10/1/14 | Bryan Preston

PREVENTION

PARAPHRASING SOCRATES, THE CDC ADMITES THAT ALL THEY KNOW IS THAT THEY KNOW NOTHING ABOUT EBOLA.

CDC edited out the following text on Sept 19:

Because we still do not know exactly how people are infected with Ebola, few primary prevention measures have been established and no vaccine exists. When cases of the disease do appear, risk of transmission is increased within healthcare settings. Therefore, healthcare workers must be able to recognize a case of Ebola and be ready to use practical viral hemorrhagic fever isolation precautions or barrier nursing techniques. They should also have the capability to request diagnostic tests or prepare samples for shipping and testing elsewhere.

Why did the CDC edit all of that information out? Did the science change, or did the government make the edit for some other reason(s)?

There is no FDA-approved vaccine available for Ebola.

OBAMA OPEN US BORDERS TO A DOUBLE WHAMMY - TERRORISM AND EBOLA

Doomsday warning: UN Ebola chief raises ‘nightmare’ prospect that virus could mutate and become airborne - making it much more infectious

United Nations warns Ebola virus currently plaguing West Africa could become airborne

The longer it moves between human hosts the greater possibility of mutation.

The risk grows the longer virus is living within the human ‘melting pot’ NGOs have said the Ebola virus is currently infecting five people every hour.

More than 3,300 people have died from Ebola since the outbreak first began.

Officials call for 1,000 new Sierra Leone isolation centers to contain virus British survivor says ‘horror’ of children dying from disease must be avoided.

Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2778022/UN-Ebola-chief-raises-nightmare-prospect-virus-mutate-airborne.html#ixzz3F0lfsMRP Follow us: @MailOnline on Twitter | DailyMail on Facebook

From Pigs to Monkeys, Ebola Goes Airborne

Nov 21, 2012 | Jane Huston | Research & Policy –

http://healthmap.org/site/diseasedaily/article/pigs-monkeys-ebola-goes-airborne-112112#sthash.srRHtwa1.dpuf

Ebola has a 21 days incubation period before the infested person show symptoms. The CDC maintains that a person infested with Ebola cannot transmit it until they show symptoms of the disease. How can they assure that the person cannot infest another person after 10, 15, or 19 days of being infested by the virus while still not showing symptoms of the virus? The CDC falsely assure the American people that it cannot be transmitted by air although studies in Canada seems to prove otherwise.

When news broke that the Ebola virus had resurfaced in Uganda, investigators in Canada were making headlines of their own with research indicating the deadly virus may spread between species, through the air. The team, comprised of researchers from the National Centre for Foreign Animal Disease, the University of Manitoba, and the Public Health Agency of Canada, observed transmission of Ebola from pigs to monkeys.

They first inoculated a number of piglets with the Zaire strain of the Ebola virus. Ebola-Zaire is the deadliest strain, with mortality rates up to 90 percent. The piglets were then placed in a room with four cynomolgus macaques, a species of monkey commonly used in laboratories. The animals were separated by wire cages to prevent direct contact between the species. Within a few days, the inoculated piglets showed clinical signs of infection indicative of Ebola infection. What do these findings mean? That there is no assurance that Ebola cannot be transmitted by air.

Doctor Boards Atlanta Flight In HazMat Suit To Protest “Lying CDC”

Zero Hedge ^ | 10/2/14 | Tyler Durden

“If they’re not lying, they are grossly incompetent,” said Dr. Gil Mobley, a microbiologist and emergency trauma physician from Springfield, Mo. as he checked in and cleared Atlanta airport security wearing a mask, goggles, gloves, boots and a hooded white jumpsuit emblazoned on the back with the words, “CDC is lying!” As The Atlanta Journal-Constitution reports, Mobley says the CDC is “sugar-coating” the risk of the virus spreading in the United States.

PREVENTIVE MEDICINE EXPERT: OBAMA ‘UNDERLAYING’ EBOLA RISK. on Breitbart TV 2 Oct 2014

http://www.breitbart.com/Breitbart-TV/2014/10/02/Preventive-Medicine-Expert-Obama-Underplaying-Ebola-Risk

Dr. Elizabeth Lee Vliet, a preventive medical specialist who practices in Texas and Arizona, who has served as Adjunct Associate Professor in Family Medicine at the University of Arizona College of Medicine, Assistant Professor in Family Medicine at Eastern Virginia Medical School, and Medical Director for the Women’s Program at Maryview Hospital accused the government of “underplaying the risk” of the Ebola virus, and seemed to argue that flights from countries with large Ebola outbreaks should not be allowed into the US on Thursday’s broadcast of “The Laura Ingraham Show.”

Dr. Vliet said that the government is not doing everything it could to protect Americans from the virus. Speaking on the prospect of a flight ban and the contention that only individuals who are showing symptoms of the virus can transmit it, she said “viruses mutate and change, and so to say anything with 100% certainty when you are dealing with viruses that change is medically irresponsible.” And that “no one can say with 100% certainty” when someone becomes infectious, and this is the reason why European nations have halted flights from countries like Liberia.

She further wondered why the American recently diagnosed with Ebola was not stopped, asking “why wasn’t he stopped at customs, why wasn’t he screened then, why wasn’t he quarantined as they’re doing in other countries?”

Dr. Vliet also declared that President Obama is “underplaying the risk to Americans, and I think when we have evidence going back to the Reston lab accident in Virginia a couple decades ago, of potential airborne transmission, the Canadian government has said that airborne transmission was strongly suspected [we should be more cautious].”

71 posted on 10/03/2014 10:00:31 AM PDT by Dqban22
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To: palmer

It’s Hanta Virus that you can catch from dried mouse droppings, not Ebola. Sorry if I wasn’t clear.


72 posted on 10/03/2014 11:52:42 AM PDT by Pelham ("This is how they do it in Mexico"- California State Motto)
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To: Califreak
All this globalism sure had a dark side, didn’t it?

If they don’t contain this I’m picturing complete anarchy and social upheaval.

Chaos and incinerators on the edge of every town.

Lawless gangs of people the likes of which we’ve never even imagined capitolizing on it.

I’ve had many ugly nightmares about the future.

Ebola could turn them into reality.


Have you ever played Borderlands?
73 posted on 10/03/2014 12:03:57 PM PDT by Svartalfiar
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To: Pelham

no problem thanks. I was just wondering about infection with dried virus, but it’s at least possible with that (Hanta) virus.


74 posted on 10/03/2014 12:21:08 PM PDT by palmer (This comment is not approved or cleared by FDA)
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To: Svartalfiar

No but my kids used to.

I never could get into videogaming


75 posted on 10/03/2014 12:55:02 PM PDT by Califreak (Hope and Che'nge is killing U.S.)
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To: MarMema

Yes, they will. We have our own home, a well, and septic system on an acre of land. And most of us are a bit on the introvert side.

I don’t go anywhere unless the temperature is above 45 degrees anyway. I hate cold weather.


76 posted on 10/03/2014 1:27:10 PM PDT by greeneyes (Moderation in defense of your country is NO virtue. Let Freedom Ring.)
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To: Califreak

Yea, the whole theme with that is a foreign world with random savages doing what they want.


77 posted on 10/07/2014 9:19:51 AM PDT by Svartalfiar
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To: Svartalfiar

Hmmm.

Nah, can’t happen here.


78 posted on 10/07/2014 9:26:52 AM PDT by Califreak (Hope and Che'nge is killing U.S.)
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