You do realize that any pre-Iowa poll in NH is largely useless, right? The narratives have changed and many voters will take a second look at the candidates, likely mentally shrinking the field based on those who did horribly in Iowa (e.g., Bush, Kasich... possible exception is Christie, who clearly blew off Iowa for NH).
Now, if the polls coming out by the weekend, which would include sampling dates from today on, still show Trump with a huge lead, then he's probably going to win NH, despite his lack of on-the-ground organization. If they show the race significantly tightening, then that ground game difference might really matter.
Can Cruz out perform the Real Clear Politics average by 21 points?
You do realize that any pre-Iowa poll in NH is largely useless, right? The narratives have changed and many voters will take a second look at the candidates, likely mentally shrinking the field based on those who did horribly in Iowa (e.g., Bush, Kasich... possible exception is Christie, who clearly blew off Iowa for NH).
The sentence DOES say 21 points - you realize that right?