Posted on 02/07/2020 7:09:19 AM PST by Liberty7732
There is a dramatic political realignment happening and it is not clear that the media or many Democrats or establishment Republicans see it.
This really has nothing to do with the impeachment fiasco undertaken by Democrat leadership or the immoral and illegal Russia collusion hoax. This is far bigger than that, bigger than Trump the man. Both parties are changing rapidly and it reflects the changes in America coming to a head.
The Democratic Party is clearly miles further left than it was during the Clinton Administration when Bill Clinton and Al Gore actively tried to pull it back toward the center, even then, almost 30 years ago. But too much of the party base now is willing to drag it to the radical left, as we witness with former Communist and current Socialist Bernie Sanders surging into the lead for the nomination after finishing a close second four years ago. This is the man who wants to nationalize healthcare and now nationalize the nation’s electric companies. Full-on Socialist.
But for this to happen, the Democratic Party is undergoing deep changes. It has become much more of a high-education, wealthy, and very bottom economic rung party, moving away from the middle class, working blue collar voters that used to dominate the party. It is being driven by an entitlement mentality as evidenced by the endless freebies that Sanders, Elizabeth Warren and others at the economic top promise to those nearer the economic bottom. It is also a more collectivist party, which also fits with Bernie.
This is a continuing leftward lurch from the Obama community organizer model which was also collectivist, but not as overtly.
Finally, the Democratic Party is home to the political correctness that says a biological man is an actual woman if he feels like his is, despite science. It is the PC that allows anything to be said of “whites,” but inserting blacks or Hispanics or any other group would be grounds for dismissal, while the modern feminist critique that everything wrong with the world is the fault of men, and specifically white men, reigns unchallenged. This prima facia nonsensical thinking is really only acceptable to those who either have spent many years in universities or are located in the cordoned bastions of Hollywood and the media establishment. And it’s true, those are the bases of the Democratic Party, which is part of the realignment going on.
This paints a picture of a very different Democratic Party. Still a leftist party, but not actually populist as much as elitist in thinking, at least in its appeal to core constituencies. For example, free college and elimination of college debt is obviously aimed at college students, who often think in the elitist terms, but are frequently at the low end of the economic ladder during the college age and right after.
On the Republican side, the realignment is also striking, and it flows in part from what is happening in the Democratic Party and in part from the Republican Party ignoring important issues for too long, i.e. nearly open immigration and unfair trade agreements. The big picture with Donald Trump is not that he is vulgar or mean to people or has a history of cheating on his wives. It’s not that he tweets things or is careless with accuracy, or even that he sometimes flat out lies. (Stormy Daniels is the most obvious example of much of this.)
What’s missed here is that it actually is not about Trump. It’s about what he stands for. He is an avatar for the changes that traditional Americans have been agitating for over the past 20 years, changes that required a pugilist to go against the permanent state/media monolith. People love him not because of who he is but what he does. He fights for average Americans and refuses to cave in to the Washington mire.
It’s about the coalition that Trump — and his message and his fighting style — is creating within the Republican Party. That message is more isolationist and leery of “free” trade than the Reagan coalition of conservatives. Nor does it seem in the least concerned with the ballooning deficit. But it does pay attention to all those Americans who felt like they had no voice in the country. With Trump, they have a voice.
And, contrary to normative thinking, the Republican Party is becoming more black and brown. This last part is the really difficult one for the isolated, left-of-center dominated commentariat to grasp. But it seems to be real. There have been numerous mainstream polls now showing that Trump’s approval rating among blacks is north of 30 percent.
That is astonishing. Even if only a portion of those translate into votes, that upends the electoral math. But more importantly, it upends cultural thinking in this new realignment and actually could lay the groundwork for better race relations, something the Democratic Party must fight viciously against in hopes of maintaining their grip on the black vote in particular.
Lastly, Trump’s rallies continue to mystify the talking heads. They are not just dwarfing anything in modern history, but the devotion is truly awesome and represents the feelings of those who see him as their voice. But the devotion is not to Trump only, but also to what he is representing. For the New Jersey rally, people were lining up 29 hours ahead of the doors opening. Thousands camped out overnight in freezing temperatures for the rally the following night. Not even Barack Obama at his peak saw that.
That’s not just Trump appeal. They are feeling part of something bigger than themselves — people who for a long time have felt ignored, marginalized and even spit upon by the culture leaders. They want to see and support the man who is fighting for them. That is who they see and love.
The breakdown at his rallies shows the realignment sharply. The recent New Jersey data is reflective of this striking shift: 92,841 individual sign-ups requesting 158,632 tickets. That’s just an enormous depth of support in a deep blue state. Of the 73,482 voters identified, 10.4% did not vote in 2016. And here’s the bell-ringer: 26.3% were registered Democrats. More than a quarter of those requesting tickets were Democrats.
This is the picture of a political realignment happening in real time.
This is one of the most important points that the Bible goes out of its way to make - and far too many of us miss. God almost exclusively chooses people with serious flaws to do His work.
Congresscritter Jim Jordan (Ohio) has earned my consideration as a possible standard bearer. Another it Tom Fitton from Judicial Watch.
“it” = is.
I think he should propose a trust fund distribution tax for any distributions to people who did not set up the fund(with exemptions for spouse and children under 18) This would get money from the "trust fund kids" that largely make up the Democrat party. People like the Kennedy family for example. Also, many of these trust funds distribute money to "non-profits" that then employ these same kids, so those kinds of distributions should also be taxed. I'd love to see them try to defend taxing trust fund distributions, since it's primarily the wealthy people who have them to avoid paying high taxes in the first place. Then when they die, their kids can live on the money for years without having the need to get a job. Let see them defend that--our slogan should be that "they should pay their fair share."
Cotton is a lot more conservative than Hewitt though. Hewitt was a Nixon man. Nixon was not a conservative.
I like that!
I’d also like them to do something about the setting up of non-taxable foundations and then gifting tens of billions in untaxed gains to the foundation (Gates and Buffet).
.
It is premature by about nine months - right after the November election it will become a topic.. . . but if this is not about Trump then that implies there could be a successor to Trump who picks up his mantle. Who would that be? Because if there is no successor then the GOP part of this is a dead end.
True. But the question after a two-term presidency is generally, “What would be wrong with nominating the sitting VP?” And that is often the default - even Carter’s VP, Mondale, got the nod in ’84 (dunno if that was because the Democrats knew they couldn’t beat The Gipper - but I doubt it).But here’s the kicker: Only a couple of sitting VP’s - Andrew Jackson’s and Ronald Reagan’s - have won election to succeed the sitting POTUS (in the modern era, defined as post 12th Amendment). Nixon lost as a sitting VP, but won two elections later.
The other salient point is that sitting presidents beat senators, and even governors beat senators. But VP’s don’t necessarily beat senators; VP is not an executive position to match the credential of governor. VP is basically political heir of the president.
As it happens, VP Mike Pence is also former Governor Mike Pence. If Trump, please God, wins in November and in the next four years is as successful as he’s been in the past three years, in 2024 Mike Pence will be sitting where you sit to win both the nomination and, especially if the D’s nominate a senator, the election.
Born in ’59, he’ll be 65 yo in ‘24.
. . . and Pence won national office only 4 years after winning statewide office as governor. Which is another good sign of viability as a presidential candidate.Almost as if Mr. Trump had ’24 in mind when he picked Governor Pence . . .
As of now I like the idea of Pence. But I doubt he would be another Trump. I think Trump is like Reagan, there is only one.
I know that my post can easily be read as promoting Pence ’24, but I really don’t know that I’m in favor of that yet.I merely make points that, IMHO, point in that direction. Maybe it’s a good direction, maybe there is a better one out there (another DJT suddenly presenting himself?). That is almost 5 years away, and "a week is an eternity in politics."
Exactly how I see it.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.