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Posted on 08/15/2009 3:31:52 AM PDT by NautiNurse
The 2009 Atlantic tropical season is heating up with Tropical Storm Ana forming about 1000 miles east of the Leeward Islands, and Invest 90, a large Cape Verde system showing substantial promise for development. Currently, neither of the two systems pose an immediate threat to land. Long term forecasts indicate potential threat to Florida, while a third tropical wave is poised off of the So. Florida coast.
Tropical Storm Ana
Public Advisories Updated every six hours.
Tropical Storm Discussion Updated every six hours
Storm Track Archive Nice animated progression of 5 day forecast tracks
Buoy Data W Central Atlantic and East Caribbean
Buoy Data Florida
Storm 90 (Invest 90) Model Tracks
Satellite & Radar Images
Ana Visible Satellite Still Image
| Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
| Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
| Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
| Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
| Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
In Naples...started out as a nice hot day, but since about 2 or so it’s been raining. Light breeze too.
But beware, they said the exact same thing about Alicia 25 years ago. Just a wave,they said, we might get a little rain they said,nothing to worry about they said!!!!!! Boy do I remember how they downplayed that little storm.
Well, I think one of my fellow 1Ls jinxed us. He said everyone would get down here for school and a hurricane would hit.
Our supply of aviation gasoline had not made it in so the boss bought every drum of naphtha in the town. Pilots simply had to watch our cylinder head temperatures and adjust our mixture accordingly.
Great advice. Cash is king when times are tough, and no electricity is the worst with high heat and humidity! How are you doing these days?
I’ve got a BIL in Kissimee; he’s watching too, Bill’s got the better chance of making landfall at low Cat1 right now.
He lost a roof a while back and had more trouble with the roofers than the storm that time.
We have to remember that we are talking about the weather and it doesn’t care what we forecast; I spent a year back in 1969 studying storm tracks and calculating error factors for Dr. Robert Renard at the U.S. Navy Postgraduate School in Monterey, Ca. to share with the NMC office/lab on station.
We did it all with Marchand Calculators, card-punch machines and Fortran field sheets; our computer was a five story building with the first floor dedicated to the card-punch machines, operators and admin personnel.
I was still using tables for large square roots.
We know only a bit more now than we did then about these “suckers.”
Still, it’s better to be safe than sorry.
Please, please, please let it hit the Texas coast as a weak tropical storm...
...we really, really need the rain.
Check Obama's list of czars.
He has at least one convicted felon who spent time in prison from the Rodney King riots as a czar.
Tanks for da ping
A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued from the Alabama/Florida border eastward to the Suwannee River Florida.
On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here--> 
...Tropical Storm Warning issued for new depression in the eastern
Gulf of Mexico...
At 5 am EDT...0900 UTC...a Tropical Storm Warning has been issued
from the Alabama/Florida border eastward to the Suwannee River
Florida. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm
conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 24
hours.
For storm information specific to your area please monitor products
issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office.
At 500 am EDT...0900 UTC...the center of Tropical Depression Four
was located near latitude 27.7 north...longitude 83.9 west or about
90 miles...140 km...west-southwest of Tampa Florida and about 155
miles...245 km...south-southeast of Apalachicola Florida.
The depression is moving toward the north-northwest near 16
mph...and this motion is expected to continue today. On the
forecast track...the center of the depression should be very near
the northern Gulf Coast of Florida by late this afternoon.
Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph...55 km/hr...with higher
gusts. Strengthening is expected and the depression is forecast to
become a tropical storm prior to reaching the coastline.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 1011 mb...29.85 inches.
Rainfall accumulations of 3 to 5 inches...with isolated maximum
amounts of 10 inches across portions of North Florida near the path
of the center.
Coastal storm surge flooding of 3 to 5 feet above normal tide
levels can be expected near and to the east of where the center
makes landfall.
...Summary of 500 am EDT information...
location...27.7n 83.9w
maximum sustained winds...35 mph
present movement...north-northwest or 330 degrees at 16 mph
minimum central pressure...1011 mb
an intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane
Center at 800 am EDT followed by the next complete advisory at 1100
am EDT.
$$
Forecaster Franklin
Tanks pr da ping NN
A Sunday morning surprise...
Indeed
Thank-you for doing this!!!!!!
I am doing great. Neg scans, good markers and now in maintenance for six months. Feel good. A great blessing to me. Outlook is so so but I can live with that.
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