Posted on 03/13/2010 1:03:16 PM PST by Ernest_at_the_Beach
Recent months have brought to light data that has (or should have) reduced fears about some of the dramatic effects of global warming. It seems we no longer have to worry about Himalayan glaciers disappearing by 2035--the IPCC just got it wrong. It appears that the Amazon, African agriculture, damages due to hurricanes and floods and the continued existence of the polar bear are also at lower risk due to global warming than previously thought. Hallelujah!
It now appears that another cause of worry has been exaggerated. The computer models on which so much of the concern regarding global warming is based have always predicted that ice would melt quickly in both the Arctic and the Antarctic. Indeed, ice did melt quickly in the Arctic, reaching a low in 2007. The ice there has recovered dramatically, however, and it looks like we're going to have to stay tuned for further developments regarding it.
But ice in the Antarctic has been increasing, not decreasing. A lot of different ways of looking at this have come to the same conclusion. The ice is increasing. However, the IPCC, in their famous AR4 assessment of global climate, minimized the increase to the point where those who live and die via climate models didn't have to change their thinking about it.
But it looks like the IPCC authors cherry-picked the reports and the data they used to minimize the increase in Antarctic ice. The full story is here, and I strongly suggest you go there and read it all--my capsule summary is sure to miss some important detail.
This minimization of the increase in Antarctic ice was only possible by using an outdated calculation from a scientist named Cosimo. His revised calculation showed the growth to be greater. The IPCC authors had to ignore the NASA calculations, which showed the same robust growth, and Cosimo's revised calculations to get the results that were politically acceptable, using an earlier version of Cosimo's algorithm found in a book.
This could not have happened by accident. It shows that they wanted a certain result, and fished around until they found a way to do it. They had to change their calculations from monthly to annually to reduce statistical confidence in the increase they showed, and they used outdated calculations to get the answer they wanted.
This comes from the vaunted Work Group 1 of the IPCC AR4 team. Most of the other criticisms have revolved around Work Groups 2 and 3, working on mitigation and adaptation with access to much less science. But this error from the people assessing actual climate change is pretty damning. They had to close their eyes to the truth and change the science to get a wrong answer--and the fact that this allowed them to keep pointing to computer models as reliable is the only logical reason they would do this.
The only real question is, as we dispose of these manufactured worries one by one, what new ones will they come up with to continue trying to scare us?
As was mentioned during the recent inquiry by the UK House of Commons, Steve Mosher and I have written a book about the leaked emails that have caused so much controversy. The title is Climategate: The CRUtape Letters. It is available on Create Space here, Amazon here, Kindle here and Lulu here. One Amazon reviewer wrote, "Mosher and Fuller do a good job putting the ClimateGate documents in context, and the book is a riveting read. I received my copy yesterday, and find the book to be faithful to the climate war events that I have followed over a period of years. It reports actual email communications of a small group of paleoclimatologists and their roles in perhaps the biggest scientific hoax since Piltdown Man."
That came up in this video ....not sure how far in to it...I really like the MIT Prof...but he never mentioned the word Propaganda...which he has before..so he kept his comments very low key....some comments on the thread about it being a waste of time...by the way.:
The Debate: Climate I: Is the Debate Over? ( Video with real Climate scientists )
Like a kid playing "Go pin the tail on the donkey"!
**************************EXCERPT******************************
More than 70% of out planets surface is covered by ocean. We rely on it for many things including food, transport and pleasure. However, in recent years it has undergone many changes, most of which we have influenced. Below we explore some of the aspects of ocean change.
Looks like their Hard Science was less than stellar.
Bookmarked for later viewing.
God bless you for fighting the good fight. I’m surprised that they stubbonly insist on ramming their heads into a stone wall on this one.
This country can bounce back, but it’s going to be in 2013. And BTW, if anything close to Universal Voter is passed, forget it, we would be in it deep. It was checkmate in one when Obama was first elected. If he had moved on immigration first, he would have succeeded. He goofed up. [Thank God!]
I’ll pin a tail on that donkey ...
Obama’s Outstanding Record of Dip-lunacy [Vanity]
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/chat/2470815/posts?page=3
Bill Clinton Mocks Gore: Start of Spring is ‘otherwise known to Al Gore as proof of global warming’...
http://blogs.wsj.com/washwire/2010/03/21/clinton-returns-to-washington-needling-himself-obama-and-the-press
Wonder what Obama is going to try next?
After getting a health Bill thru.
After health, Obama allies zero in on climate...
http://www.breitbart.com/article.php?id=CNG.b24442bc9647cf6ceeb5e334a6908618.d01&show_article=1
[Not immigration? Is this a red herring? Or is it Christmas?]
Flowers ‘losing scent’ due to global warming...
http://news.asiaone.com/News/AsiaOne%2BNews/Malaysia/Story/A1Story20100322-206015.html
Kerry Exploits Obamacare Passage to Propose Carbon Tax
http://www.infowars.com/kerry-exploits-obamacare-passage-to-propose-carbon-tax/
Kurt Nimmo | Kerry has teamed up with Lindsey Graham and Joseph Lieberman in an effort to foist a carbon tax scheme on the American people.
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