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Invest 90 in the Gulf of Mexico
NHC/NOAA & Wunderground ^
| 5 February 2012
| NHC/NOAA & Jeff Masters
Posted on 02/05/2012 2:21:32 PM PST by NautiNurse
We interrupt Super Bowl Sunday to bring you News of the Weird Weather...
The first Super Sunday Tropical Invest in history formed this morning in the Yucatan Channel between Mexico and Cuba, and is slowly becoming more organized as it moves northeast towards Southwest Florida. The new disturbance, dubbed Invest 90L by NHC late this morning, has a modest but growing area of heavy thunderstorms near its center. Visible satellite imagery shows a pronounced spin at middle levels of the atmosphere, and 90L may be able to close off a surface circulation if it can find 24 more hours of marginally favorable conditions.
Jeff Masters gives Invest 90 a 20% chance of developing into a tropical depression. Both the GFS and ECMWF models predict that the shear will remain below 25 knots through Monday, so there is some potential for continued development of 90L as it moves northeast towards South Florida. On Monday afternoon or evening, the storm will merge with a cold front and move over South Florida, bringing heavy rains of 1 - 3 inches and sustained winds of 20 - 25 mph.
TOPICS: Weather; Weird Stuff
KEYWORDS: invest90; tropical
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We customarily check the weather in Winter Paradise when making the Monday morning tee time. But I was thoroughly surprised to see the familiar "uh oh" satellite signature over the southern Gulf of Mexico in early February. It's been unseasonably warm in Florida lately, but geez Louise!
To: abb; abbi_normal_2; aberaussie; abner; AbsoluteGrace; alancarp; Alas Babylon!; Alia; ...
Heads up Florida...we may be in for a little February surprise. It is
notably warm and humid on the Florida Gulf coast this afternoon
while the NHC is remarkably quiet.
On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here-->
To: NautiNurse
YIKES........
So much for your Tee time :(
3
posted on
02/05/2012 2:35:01 PM PST
by
Gabz
(Democrats for Voldemort.)
To: NautiNurse
Teach you to vote for Romney... :-)
4
posted on
02/05/2012 2:35:42 PM PST
by
who knows what evil?
(G-d saved more animals than people on the ark...www.siameserescue.org.)
To: NautiNurse
Didn’t the gulf get the memo that hurricane season is over?
5
posted on
02/05/2012 2:38:39 PM PST
by
Nachoman
(I HOPE we CHANGE presidents.)
To: NautiNurse
Ha!
A storm flag warning on Feb 5th.
Is this the earliest you’ve ever pinged one out?
6
posted on
02/05/2012 2:42:21 PM PST
by
PeteB570
( Islam is the sea in which the Terrorist Shark swims. The deeper the sea the larger the shark.)
To: NautiNurse
Thanks for the ping. Rather odd this time of year.....as is our weather in the Black Hills.
To: NautiNurse
Boy O Boy...should have listened to Algore, eh?
8
posted on
02/05/2012 2:44:17 PM PST
by
blam
To: NautiNurse
Boy O Boy...should have listened to Algore, eh?
9
posted on
02/05/2012 2:44:34 PM PST
by
blam
To: PeteB570
Is this the earliest youve ever pinged one out?Absolutely. I recall one in early April, but February is nuts.
To: Gabz
So much for your Tee time :(Eeesh...just bought a new bag and had three new clubs shortened to size. Was really looking forward to trying them out. We'll wait and see if we can sneak in a few holes just after dawn tomorrow. Hoping...
To: blam
To: NautiNurse
Here's a new NHC graphic product, click to zoom:
To: NautiNurse
Well blow my dress up!!!!!! A hurricane in Feburary, who woudda thunk it!
14
posted on
02/05/2012 3:25:51 PM PST
by
Ditter
To: NautiNurse
My daughter just called said it has rained all day in Key West and 90% chance for tomorrow.Strange at best.
15
posted on
02/05/2012 4:02:55 PM PST
by
rodguy911
(FreeRepublic:Land of the Free because of the Brave--Sarah Palin 2012)
To: NautiNurse
It is February 5th, and there is absolutely NO SNOW on the ground across central and south New Hampshire...thank you for GW, Al...I HATE frickin' snow.
What a wonderful winter.
16
posted on
02/05/2012 4:12:20 PM PST
by
who knows what evil?
(G-d saved more animals than people on the ark...www.siameserescue.org.)
To: NautiNurse
Gulf water temps too cold despite the warmish weather for this storm to be a power house
17
posted on
02/05/2012 4:13:31 PM PST
by
scottteng
(Tax government employees til they quit and find something useful to do)
To: NautiNurse
18
posted on
02/05/2012 4:14:37 PM PST
by
Fawn
(NEWT! NEWT! NEWT! NEWT! NEWT! NEWT! NEWT! NEWT! NEWT! NEWT! NEWT! NEWT!)
To: scottteng
yeah 79-80 off the yucatan cooler here i am sure i’ll look it up.
19
posted on
02/05/2012 4:15:08 PM PST
by
rodguy911
(FreeRepublic:Land of the Free because of the Brave--Sarah Palin 2012)
To: scottteng
75-76 degree water off the Keys,I don’t see a storm developing.
20
posted on
02/05/2012 4:20:00 PM PST
by
rodguy911
(FreeRepublic:Land of the Free because of the Brave--Sarah Palin 2012)
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