Posted on 08/10/2014 12:46:23 AM PDT by Smokin' Joe
I have spent a little time compiling links to threads about the Ebola outbreak in the interest of having all the links in one thread for future reference.
Please add links to new threads and articles of interest as the situation develops.
Thank You all for you participation.
That would put a huge spike in demand for the correct PPE. It will overwhelm suppliers and manufacturers, too.
From the New England Complex Systems Institute site that NawtyBits cites above. Videos at the link.
Ebola outbreak brings our concerns into reality http://necsi.edu/news/2014/ebola.html
Cite as: E.M. Rauch and Y Bar-Yam, Long-Range Interaction and Evolutionary Stability in a Predator-Prey System. Physical Review E 73, 020903, 2006.
How the latest Ebola strain may escape to kill again another day
Sep 2, 2014
When Korean Air announced last month it would halt its three weekly flights to Nairobi due to fears of an Ebola pandemic in Liberia and Sierra Leone — both of which are several thousand miles away — critics accused the airline of overreacting. As the pandemic spread — first to Nigeria, and then to Congo — airlines have steadily canceled flights to afflicted nations to limit the risk, despite the protestations of the World Health Organization. But research conducted by the New England Complex Systems Institute in 2006 suggests the airlines’ de facto quarantine is correct.
When it comes to pandemics, it only takes a little global connectedness to trigger a cascade of infections. The outbreak of Ebola raging in West Africa— labeled a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by the World Health Organization—echoes a scenario mapped out by NECSI in 2006.
In a computer simulation of pathogens and hosts, long-range routes of transmission — most prominently, international air routes — can allow the deadliest viral strains to outrun their own extinction, and in the process kill vastly more victims than they would have otherwise.
In an evolutionary model accounting for spatial distribution, a pathogen like the Ebola virus can cause its own demise by killing all the hosts in its immediate vicinity. If there is no one left alive to infect, a viral strain will die off. Successful pathogens leave their hosts alive long enough to spread infection. Typically, the most virulent mutations burn themselves out, and a stable balance is achieved between host and pathogen. But avenues of long-range dispersal break this pattern.
Ebola cannot spread through the air; infection can only be transmitted through close contact with bodily fluids. Yet, in the age of global travel, patients in the dormant stage of infection can travel long distances before showing signs of illness, creating epicenters of secondary infection in geographically distant locations. Long-distance travel thus gives an unnatural advantage to the most virulent strains, allowing them access to new hosts even if they wipe themselves out at the local scale.
The most relevant features of NECSI’s model to the current crisis is the critical threshold of connectedness at which a virulent strain can spread out of control.
Even if a system seems stable, it may only take a few more routes of travel to trigger secondary outbreaks. “It wouldn’t take much for the current Ebola outbreak to spread to more countries or continents,” says NECSI president Yaneer Bar-Yam. “It only takes one infected individual making it through an airport checkpoint.” There is no cure for the Ebola virus; only early detection and basic medical care can improve a patient’s chance of survival. Thus, awareness of how quickly the scales of transmission can tip is paramount to getting the current outbreak under control and preventing more from starting.
Liberia: No Need for Isolation - Says U.S. Government
4 SEPTEMBER 2014
By Emmanuel Weedee-Conway
http://allafrica.com/stories/201409041117.html?aa_source=acrdn-f0
The Government of the United States of America (USA) through its Ambassador accredited to Liberia, Deborah Malac, has said the US government is closely working with countries that have isolated Liberia and other countries affected with the Ebola virus to stop their isolation and restriction.
Amb. Malac said such isolation and restriction are counterproductive to the fight against the deadly virus.
The US envoy was speaking Tuesday, September 2, 2014 at a launch with some Liberian journalist in Monrovia.
"We are intervening of behalf of Liberia and others so that countries will not close their borders on them or restrict them. There is no need for such restriction or isolation against Liberia and others. There is no need to close borders, and there is no need to prevent travel from these countries. This is not a positive development in the fight of the disease," said Amb. Malac.
. "To those countries that have already closed their borders and sanctioned Liberia, we will work to get these lifted. That isolation has to end. This is not the right way to resolve the problem," she said.
Among other things, the US envoy added that her government will bring a mobile testing center, which will be sent to Lofa County.
*sigh*
Just read your tagline for the first time. LOL!
Exactly the wrong 'solution'.
This needs repeating , especially , since it is only common sense .
There is no known cure .
The only known control is : Quarantine
It should be obvious to everyone that the global elites WANT an extinction event. They likely have stockpiles of a drug or vaccine to keep themselves and their families and support people safe but want the rest of us dead dead dead.
Smokin' Joe :"Exactly the wrong 'solution'."
Correct ! It's not a solution, it is a perpetuation of the problem.
It may be 'Politically Correct' for an Ambassador to say that ,
but it defies medical protocol and puts more victims at risk
There is no other rational explanation to this
intentional ,purposeful , blatant stupidity !
http://allafrica.com/stories/201409050780.html?viewall=1
“Liberia: ‘Forceful’ Ebola Testing At Police Hq”
“The move follows the death of a PSU officer’s wife and son last week. The PSU officer and daughter have already been taken from the Police Barracks where they reside to the Ebola Treatment Center at ELWA Hospital. One of the barracks on Horton Avenue is being quarantined.”
This would be in keeping with U.N. AGENDA 21
by extending resources, and reduceing population ,
all in the name of "SUSTAINABILITY" !!
Sustainability is an excuse.
They really just want us to save the planet for THEIR children.
allafrica.com/stories/201409050845.html
“Liberia: Suspected Ebola Officer Transferred”
“The Police Support Unit (PSU) officer (named withheld) whose wife reportedly died from the deadly Ebola virus has been transferred to the Ebola Treatment Center at ELWA Hospital.
The Officer was taken to the treatment center Tuesday, September 2, 2014, days after his wife died.
There are reports that following the death of the officer’s wife, their son began to show signs of the virus and was taken at the treatment center where he later died.
Sources told this paper Wednesday that their elder daughter also contracted the virus from the son. The sources said the daughter was asked to tote her brother from the Barracks on board a vehicle to the treatment center in the presence of the Ebola Response Team, something which may have caused the girl to contract the disease.
The girl, who was earlier taken to the Ebola Treatment Center at ELWA Hospital is said to be undergoing treatment along with her father (police officer).
The building which hosted the PSU officer and his family is still being quarantined. The building accommodates about 17 officers of the Police Support Unit (PSU) along with their respective families. The wife of the Ebola suspected PSU officer was a health worker.”
http://www.cdc.gov/amd/stories/ebola.html?s_cid=cdc_homepage_whatsnew_001
“CDC laboratories produce first genomic sequence of Liberian Ebola” (Brantly)
Ummmmm. Okay. Why so many reports of false negative tests?
I haven't heard of false positives. There are many "suspected" cases that turn out to be negative, but that's different. If a person has some of the symptoms they may be counted as "suspected" until the tests prove otherwise.
Agree. The tests have been failing for two reasons:
- It took massive viral load for the test to pop positive.
- It took forever for the test to work.
Now the Japanese, allegedly, have come up with a test that takes 30 minutes. If it mutates (10 times so far), it may or may not work.
There probably isn’t anything like an effective field test at this point. That’s why the numbers are so goofy right now.
I would place a good bottle of wine on the bet that the current ‘cases’ number are those EXHIBITING symptoms at this point. They are exhibiting, they are administered the test, which confirms the obvious, and they count it.
That would explain why it is off by as much as 4x by WHO’s admission.
(with better formating)
Ummm...no.
We have cumulative ‘Ebola deaths’ and cumulative ‘Ebola infections.’
We don’t have numbers broken out for cumulative ‘Ebola recovered.’
The only numbers I have seen for cumulative “Ebola Recovered” to date come from this 05 September 2014 african media report at this link:
Stating:
“To the government’s credit, the team at ELWA2 has been successful in nursing 51 Ebola patients back to health, although the numbers are far from Sierra Leone which has treated successfully, 250 patients.”
Between Sierra Leone and MSF’s ELWA2 operation in Liberia, we have _301_ confirmed Ebola recovered.
Sierra Leone had 476 Ebola deaths in the WHO 31 August 2014 Ebola casualty report versus 250 ‘Ebola recovered’ on 5 Sep 2014.
That looks like a 66% death rate (476 deaths/726 deaths and recoveries) in Sierra Leone to me, not the 39% WHO claims.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.