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To: Smokin' Joe; Black Agnes

We got a WHO report yesterday with numbers from the last day of August, 5 days from the last reported numbers they posted.

The open cases are on track to cross the next major 1000 mark (4000) in the 6 to 7 days predicted. Last major 1000 was crossed in 15 days. So, about half the time.

On a log scale, it is tracking perfect exponential growth. Senegal has been added as a country being tracked.


1,661 posted on 09/05/2014 9:57:18 AM PDT by RinaseaofDs
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To: Black Agnes

http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/09/05/health-ebola-un-idUSL1N0R61A820140905?rpc=401&feedType=RSS&feedName=rbssHealthcareNews&rpc=401

“UN to set up Ebola crisis center, aims to stop spread in 6-9 months”

They’re not in any big rush. They’ll set up the crisis center ‘soon’.

RSN.

Promise!


1,662 posted on 09/05/2014 10:05:47 AM PDT by Black Agnes
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To: RinaseaofDs; Thud; Smokin' Joe

>>The open cases are on track to cross the next major 1000
>>mark (4000) in the 6 to 7 days predicted. Last major 1000
>>was crossed in 15 days. So, about half the time.

So...roughly we can expect the following with that sort of logrythmic progression —

Sept 11th 4,000~ Ebola cases.

Sept 14th 5,000~ Ebola cases.

Sept 16th 6,000~ Ebola cases.

Sept 17th 7,000~ Ebola cases.

Sept 19th 10,000~ Ebola cases.

>Bleep<

A case build up at that rate is going faster than the virologist who predicted last week 24,000 cases by Sept 24th and 100,000 cases by 1 Dec 2014.

And the projection above is using WHO’s numbers, not MSF’s projections of 3-to-4 times WHO’s numbers.

If MSF is right, we have 12,000 to 16,000 Ebola cases right now...and maybe as many as 40,000 by Sept 19th?!?

Now is the time to buy long term storage food, ammo and P.P.E.


1,668 posted on 09/05/2014 11:27:58 AM PDT by Dark Wing
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