“I certainly hope that the 5-20 range is from fomite transmission to direct contact at a funeral. Because on this chart:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Basic_reproduction_number
The only things with numbers that high are airborne or airborne droplet transmitted...”
That’s why the CSPAN thing looked so Kabuki to me as well.
Behind closed doors, they are telling them its airborne. Reston is the precedent.
Talk of the genealogy of this bug has stopped too. I never bought into Zaire as being the daddy. This looked like Reston from the get go.
I get why they need to deploy the military to roll out a response in Africa, but 3000 ain’t going to do it.
If the 20 number is even close to being true outside of a funeral contact situation, then this thing is even more contagious than measles.
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/24860690
This was the most helpful phylogeny paper for me.
It still shows a different branch than Reston.
HOWEVER, that’s sequence identity over the whole genome. I wonder how different the sequence from the pneumovirus analog ElenaM mentioned is for its homologues in Reston and Zebola Guinea.
If that protein were to be involved in airborne transmission that could be expected to show similarity at least between Reston and Zebola Guinea.
That is an apt description of that first panel. The most "real" panel was the second panel, where there were no agendas. I was, frankly, disgusted with the poo-poohing going on in the first panel. The way Fauci turned Senator Burr's question about transmission via fomites, to one about touching dead bodies was quite obvious to me that he was avoiding that answer. He also dismissed the idea of somebody sneezing on someone as a way to get infected, turning that answer into being about "airborne" transmission. I was thinking that these scientist types aren't acting as if this is as serious as $1 Billion and 3,000 troops "right NOW!" would indicate it is.