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Beyond “Fermi’s Paradox” II: Questioning the Hart-Tipler Conjecture
universetoday.com ^ | Paul Patton

Posted on 04/10/2015 11:52:04 AM PDT by BenLurkin

The argument claiming that extraterrestrials don’t exist was actually proposed by the astronomer Michael Hart, in a paper he published in 1975. Hart supposed that if an extraterrestrial civilization arose in the galaxy it would develop interstellar travel and launch colonizing expeditions to nearby stars. These colonies would, in turn, launch their own starships spreading a wave of colonization across the galaxy.

How long would the wave take to cross the galaxy? Assuming that the starships traveled at one tenth the speed of light and that no time was lost in building new ships upon arriving at the destination, the wave, Hart surmised, could cross the galaxy in 650,000 years.

Even allowing for a modicum of time for each colony to establish itself before building more ships, the galaxy could be crossed in two million years, a miniscule interval on a cosmic or evolutionary timescale. Hart asserted that because extraterrestrials aren’t already here on Earth, none exist in our galaxy.

Hart’s argument was extended by cosmologist Frank Tipler in 1980. Tipler supposed that alien colonists would be assisted by self-reproducing robots. His conclusion was announced in the title of his paper ‘Extraterrestrial intelligent beings do not exist’.

Why is it important that Hart’s argument wasn’t really also formulated by the eminent Enrico Fermi? Because Fermi’s name lends a credibility to the argument that it might not deserve. Supporters of the search for extraterrestrial intelligence (SETI) want to search for evidence that alien civilizations exist by using radio telescopes to listen for radio messages that extraterrestrials may have transmitted into space. Interstellar signaling is vastly cheaper than a starship, and is feasible with technology we have today.

(Excerpt) Read more at universetoday.com ...


TOPICS: Science
KEYWORDS: enricofermi; fermiparadox; fermisparadox; franktipler; harttiplerconjecture; michaelhart; xplanets
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To: FredZarguna

you’re sure of that?

any other scientific theories you can prove impossible for us?

should we close the patent office?


21 posted on 04/10/2015 12:43:41 PM PDT by Mr. K (I)
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To: attiladhun2

You must be lots of fun at the office Christmas party.

;^)

5.56mm


22 posted on 04/10/2015 12:48:12 PM PDT by M Kehoe
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To: Louis Foxwell

True, humans can’t even get the present straight. With lefties at the helm of world-civilization, I definitely see no hope. They rob from the future, exacerbate tribal tensions, and think equity includes allowing gangster regimes access to nukes and ICBMs. There is no reason to suppose a future of hyper-drive spaceships and terra-formed planets.


23 posted on 04/10/2015 12:51:20 PM PDT by attiladhun2 (The Free World has a new leader--his name is Benjamin Netanyahu)
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To: Mr. K
All known physical processes are subject to a limitation that they are timelike in all equivalent Lorentz frames. This makes superluminal travel an impossibility.

Evidently, you are of the opinion that there are time-travelers. I ask the same question of you that Fermi asked, mutatis mutandis:

"If there are time-travelers, where are they?"

24 posted on 04/10/2015 12:51:44 PM PDT by FredZarguna (It looks just like a Telefunken U-47 -- with leather.)
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To: Talisker

Oh yes, they absolutely should say hello.

Me and the taxidermist are eager to meet one.


25 posted on 04/10/2015 12:53:36 PM PDT by BenLurkin (The above is not a statement of fact. It is either satire or opinion. Or both.)
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To: yefragetuwrabrumuy

f intelligent species only last 100,000 years on average, they are biological “flashes in the pan”. But if they are as durable as horseshoe crabs or coelacanth fish, at 450 and 400 million years.


I don’t see any specifies, no matter how intelligent at their peak, making it past 20M years. Stuff happens. To me, the most compelling scenario comes from Arthur C. Clarke (who was no slouch). After some period of “intelligence” (supposing the civilization does not destroy itself). It evolves to a point where it basically becomes one with the cosmos. That is, it transcends the need for biological or even mechanical bodies to hold their consciousness. Such an advanced consciousness would probably care nothing about the concerns we primitive biologicals hold so dear (eating, sex, the pursuit of wealth & power, etc). In short, it would be as if an ant tried to communicate with us.


26 posted on 04/10/2015 12:54:35 PM PDT by rbg81
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To: M Kehoe

People literally don’t want to hear it. I think they instinctively sense there is more truth in my view of the future than Gene Roddenberry’s.


27 posted on 04/10/2015 12:55:36 PM PDT by attiladhun2 (The Free World has a new leader--his name is Benjamin Netanyahu)
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To: Mr. K
should we close the patent office?

First, your use of that statement betrays that you don't know what you're talking about. Charles Holland Duell, the head of the patent office who supposedly said this, never made such a statement. In fact, he said EXACTLY THE OPPOSITE: "In my opinion, all previous advances in the various lines of invention will appear totally insignificant when compared with those which the present century will witness. I almost wish that I might live my life over again to see the wonders which are at the threshold."

Second, neither Duell nor the various others to whom this claim is attributed are/were physicists. At one time, long ago, I was one.

Third, what I would urge you to "close" is your office at the Flat Earth Society, because we have roughly as much evidence that superluminal travel is impossible as we have the the Earth is round.

28 posted on 04/10/2015 12:58:46 PM PDT by FredZarguna (It looks just like a Telefunken U-47 -- with leather.)
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To: attiladhun2

If Liberals win out, we will slowly devolve back to the primordial ooze.


29 posted on 04/10/2015 12:59:42 PM PDT by rbg81
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To: rbg81

They have won out and we are “devolving” back to tribalism.


30 posted on 04/10/2015 1:01:45 PM PDT by attiladhun2 (The Free World has a new leader--his name is Benjamin Netanyahu)
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To: faithhopecharity

They may not any smarter than us. We ourselves may only be one lucky technological break away from interstellar travel. Who knows?

And suppose there is a superior intellect — it could very well be more like the gap between us and chimps, than us and ants.


31 posted on 04/10/2015 1:27:41 PM PDT by BenLurkin (The above is not a statement of fact. It is either satire or opinion. Or both.)
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To: bkepley
Article: ...Interstellar signaling is vastly cheaper than a starship...

It's never been done before so there is no way to know if it's even possible.

32 posted on 04/10/2015 1:36:42 PM PDT by Theophilus (Be as prolific as you are pro-life.)
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To: discostu; BenLurkin
The Milky Way is 100,000 ly across, so traveling at 1/10 the speed of light that’s 1 million years not 650,000.

Actually it would take much longer because you can not travel through the center of the galaxy.

That means that star travelers will have to travel along the rim to reach us.

33 posted on 04/10/2015 1:37:07 PM PDT by Pontiac (The welfare state must fail because it is contrary to human nature and diminishes the human spirit.)
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To: BenLurkin

Maybe. Or maybe we are their intellectual ants. For every Einstein, Shakespeare, or JohnPaul2 — we have thousands of islamonazis and obama voters. The numbers aren’t favorable.


34 posted on 04/10/2015 1:39:26 PM PDT by faithhopecharity (A brilliantly intelligent comment sent thru an amazingly stupid spell checker)
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To: Mr. K
...mathematically it IS possible to do faster than light travel.

Taking E=mc² as a staring point, could you please elucidate that statement?

35 posted on 04/10/2015 1:41:14 PM PDT by onedoug
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To: faithhopecharity

I predict that you and I will go the rest of our lives and never see an alien. Will never hear any authority announce that there is (intelligent) alien life. Will continue to be entertained by whispers, rumor, fantasies and thoerization on the possibility of aliens.

Not to say there aren’t any — just not here.


36 posted on 04/10/2015 1:43:10 PM PDT by BenLurkin (The above is not a statement of fact. It is either satire or opinion. Or both.)
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To: onedoug

please...

E=mc^2 has nothing to do with GENERAL relativity, which is the theory on which wormholes are based. In order to travel the distances of space you cannot go there without distorting the gravity field and moving space closer to you.

There is enough evidence to suggest there have been visitors to this planet before, so that means there must be ways to accomplish space travel.


37 posted on 04/10/2015 1:45:58 PM PDT by Mr. K (I)
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To: BenLurkin

Yes. Exactly. They’re almost certainly out there but have no reason to come to such a primitive place as here. Indeed they’ve probably quarantined earth as a source of dangerous primitivism- infection to them


38 posted on 04/10/2015 1:55:08 PM PDT by faithhopecharity (A brilliantly intelligent comment sent thru an amazingly stupid spell checker)
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To: BenLurkin

Havent you seen what’s Occupying our White House recently?


39 posted on 04/10/2015 2:04:20 PM PDT by faithhopecharity (A brilliantly intelligent comment sent thru an amazingly stupid spell checker)
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To: BenLurkin

If you don’t believe in the existence of hostile extra- terrestrial alien invaders from outer space - then how do you explain the current Occupier of our American White House? (He hides his Certificate of Live Hatching because it’s written in Ferengi )


40 posted on 04/10/2015 2:18:14 PM PDT by faithhopecharity (A brilliantly intelligent comment sent thru an amazingly stupid spell checker)
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