Posted on 02/21/2016 2:44:41 PM PST by Bratch
Be of good cheer and enjoy the removal of one-half of the globalists 2016 objectives; indeed a difficult Rubicon has been successfully traversed. However, do not be naïve in thinking one significant battle means the war has been won.
The bloodiest battle still lays ahead.
♦ Jeb Bush has been forced out of the race. It cannot be overstated how significant this victory is in the grand scheme of things. The foundational block, upon which the entire road-map was built, has been removed. However, the GOPe engineers will now shift attention to a scorched earth campaign to benefit their retention of power.
We would all be wise to remember in 2014 Chris McDaniels actually defeated Thad Cochran in the first GOP Mississippi primary. It was only after their initial defeat the GOPe decided to destroy anything that stood in their way – again, the retention of power was the ultimate motivator.
We can now expect those same DC influences, including the entire camp that supported Jeb Bush, the old guard, to work diligently (albeit under darkened cover) to assist Hillary Clinton, and destroy anything that would interrupt their grip on power.
Yes, the GOPe would rather lose to Hillary and retain their place at the trough than to see entry into their cloistered club by the Vulgarian Donald Trump.
That inevitable and predictable result was/is part of the original problem.
The full weight of the GOPe apparatus, Wall Street, the U.S. CoC, K-Street and the affiliated professional political class will now work hand-in-hand with the Democrats and left-wing media to destroy that which threatens them; namely Donald J Trump. Attacks in all forms are only going to get worse from here on out.
Trump refusing to thank the Bush Clan upon exit was simply recognition of his awareness of what’s to come. Trump, and the close circle around him, are well aware of what happens next….. They simply have to be.
♦ “Ceilings” – There will be much media obfuscation around Trump having ceilings, or limits to his appeal. These necessarily promoted memes and narratives will have to be pushed to provide distraction and gaslight those voters with common sense.
In reality election results are ceilings themselves, and while they may proclaim Trump has a 35% +/- ceiling, the reality is yesterday Marco Rubio and Ted Cruz had ceilings around the 22% range. Election results are ceilings. Ceilings move along with the thinning out of campaign contestants.
FACT – As long as Trump’s “Ceiling” is higher than his competition he will continue to win, and there’s nothing on the visible horizon to indicate he will lose. Talk of “ceilings” is merely obfuscation and denial of reality.
♦ John Kasich – Remember, Kasich will not even be competitive in most of the upcoming races. Nor is Kasich on all of the upcoming state’s ballots. So why does he stay in? He is a loyal soldier for the Old Guard. He still has a role to play, an agenda to deliver and promises to keep.
♦ Ted Cruz – Ted’s loss yesterday (as described here), showcases what we have outlined for a long time. Team Cruz does not carry a pathway to a successful nomination. Period. If Cruz cannot win a single county in 75% evangelical voter friendly South Carolina, where exactly can he win?
SEC primary states or not, Ted Cruz’s last and only firewall before an embarrassing, albeit lucrative, exit is Texas. If Cruz doesn’t win Texas, he’s done. But he needs to keep talking like it’s possible in order for the supporters to hit the donation buttons on the increasingly urgent and desperate emails.
Team Cruz talking points will center around beating Trump by a.) confronting Trump directly, or, b) taking down Marco Rubio. Except Cruz faces a reality problem. Taking support from Rubio only benefits Trump, not Cruz.
♦ Marco Rubio – We have continually referenced readers to weigh only polling that is not agenda driven polling. Meaning polling results which are not driven by insiders in the professional political game. You can see from last night’s results the NBC/WSJ poll was insufferably wrong (derived from a PR firm). So too was the Fox Poll, and almost all of the 48 hour polls prior to the actual voting in South Carolina.
However, in the non-agenda polling, done by actual political scientists without a financial stake in the outcome, you see a key point repeating over the past several months. If you take down Marco Rubio, Donald Trump’s numbers increase but not Ted Cruz.
The Southern Political Poll is a great representative example – SEE HERE.
Horse race #1 = first choice, Horse race #2 = second choice.
Only Donald Trump holds more than 50% when combining first and second preference inobjective polling stats (again, agenda polls are useless for this analysis).
It is conversely true that Rubio would benefit from a Trump downfall or exit. However, it is also true that any benefit therein to Cruz would be minimal. Cruz’s base voters are the purest of ideological voters, as a consequence moderates do not traverse easily into that camp – even if their favorite issues are represented within it.
As we previously shared, in a three man race with Trump, Rubio and Cruz a generally admitted outcome would be:
We have not had an “America-First” (center-right) candidate for a long time. That is the new paradigm everyone is struggling to define. And when you combine that broad-based coalition it takes all the positional oxygen from the GOPe and far right.
America-first immigration policies; strong border security; Pro U.S. worker trade-policies; Main Street (not Wall Street) American worker interests; Local education (not common core); Strong national defense, but common sense non-intervention. All policies dominated by Donald J Trump.
One of the historic truisms in the past several election cycles is the “Cruz Coalition”, as currently assembled, is the first to stay home when their candidate doesn’t win. The socially-minded voter will never vote for a populist fiscal conservative/socially moderate candidate. Cruz voters, and their advocates, are emotionally driven by social issues. Hence they yell a lot (See Mark Levin) and only respond well to others who are inside their echo-chamber.
Consequently neither Rubio nor Trump will try to gain/court Cruz voters. Why should they; the narrow-minded group will never vote for them, if they vote at all.
This ‘non-voting’ truism is why the GOPe ignore the Cruz-like factions completely; because rarely will the GOPe be influenced by them. When Cruz-Clan get angry and don’t get their way they don’t vote.
The modern way to deal with that faction is to make them angry, and they leave. (Example: Questioning eligibility sets them off easily and they lose control. They might even invite another sketchy character, Glenn Beck, to help showcase their entrenched ideological moonbattery.) See how easy that is? More exposure to the crazy = less votes in crazy camp.
Both Trump and Rubio will most likely ignore Cruz, as neither stands to benefit much.
However, Rubio will be forced to confront Trump if he is to have any chance of winning anywhere…… AND that’s where Rubio benefits from Team Bush. Rubio will not have to attack Trump, because the GOPe Old Guard is about to do that dirty work for him.
Lastly, when encountering either Cruz sycophants, or big government GOPe Rubiobots the best thing to do is ask a simple question:
….”OK, let’s presume the race is a simple three-way contest, what state is YOUR GUY going to win”?….
Nothing. They are exercising their right to choose just as you are.
Sundance has some inconsistencies that he needs to clear up in regards to his Trump support.
On October 15, 2014, Sundance posted an article entitled “If WMD Did Not Exist In Iraq Then Why Is CNN and New York Times Reporting on WMD in Iraq?” In the text of his original post on that article, he stated the following:
What’s next; will the Moonbats apologize for calling General Petraeus “General BetrayUs”?
On June 9, 2014, Sundance posted an article entitled “Repost: The 2010 WikiLeaks Vindication of George W. Bush... The Sunlight Which Blinds The Moonbats”
In Sundance’s comment at the top of the article, italicized for emphasis that it was HIS words, not the words of the article that he was commenting on, he wrote this:
“It is good to know truth, the historical truth, and not the spin placed upon us by the media machine(s). And if you ever find yourself in one of those conversations with a prog who claims “George Bush lied”, well, you can put them straight. Read on......”
Further, at the bottom of his commentary on this article, Sundance states the following, after giving a very articulate and well-thought-out case supporting George W. Bush:
“Bush, hammered by the insidious “Bush Lied, People Died” mantra, endured one of the most vicious smears against any president in history. He is owed an apology.”
Will he be reaching out to Trump to ask for an apology?
In addition, in regard to Trump’s recent assertions, on multiple occasions on national television, that Planned Parenthood does “wonderful things” in addition to abortion, I refer you to the following articles posted by Sundance at TCTH (just a small samping). Are these the types of things Trump is talking about?
http://theconservativetreehouse.com/2012/02/15/how-planned-parenthood-hooks-kids-on-sex/
I also thought this one was interesting. Note the part about Ted Cruz:
“The showdown was triggered by an attempt by Cruz (R-Texas) and Lee (R-Utah) to employ arcane Senate procedures to take a tougher stand on Iran and to defund Planned Parenthood.”
So, Cruz is on record for actually trying to defund Planned Parenthood. Cruz, by the way, was the golden child of conservatives, including Sundance and the folks at TCTH, before Trump came on the scene.
Doesn’t surprise me. I was telling my husband earlier what we’ve learned is many of those supposedly on “our side” many supposed conservatives, are just elites of a different sort. And like The Donald says, at least the Democrats we know where they are coming from, these are worse- the snakes in the grass, the wolves in sheepskin.
> “We would all be wise to remember in 2014 Chris McDaniels actually defeated Thad Cochran in the first GOP Mississippi primary. It was only after their initial defeat the GOPe decided to destroy anything that stood in their way – again, the retention of power was the ultimate motivator.”
I remember Mississippi every day I read a political headline. It was the single most salient confirmation of the Beltway culture’s hold on the apparatus of representation in Congress.
Mitch McConnell will not escape the wrath of those that remember. His days are numbered.
I don’t believe anything that comes out of this particular website. Sundance was a grocery store worker. Who knows what he does now but during the Zimmerman case he outed a protected witness and posted pics of her husband and son. The guy is dirty.
Don’t know if I agree with your conclusion, but always great to hear from your Nullness. May the Void always engulf you....
A legitimate complaint.
Ahhh! Vote shaming. The hypocrisy is delicious. Cruz is dishonest but Trump people can use it.
Congrats on the plurality.
Thanks. I see mostly pluralities here for Romney in a much smaller field. FRegards.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Republican_Party_presidential_primaries,_2012
Their guy cant win, so at this point they aren’t just choosing.
They are hijacking the system to destroy the guy they can’t best.
Am I going to fast for you?
Perhaps you like many of them want a third GWB term in Rubio, or just a flat out Hillary Clinton term.
Every time NBC/WSJ/Marist opens their yap, I will remind the world that they lied this time, outright.
Here we go again.
Well I must say that this is a sad but true analysis of the Cruz voters. Basically if they can’t win why then let Hillary win:
What’s truly bizarre is all the threats to jump to Rubio from Cruzers. I thought the whole Senator Consistent Conservative thing was about principled conservatism? Rubio? Really?
Rubio will be the nominee :-(
Will you support the Rube?
Placemark
It isn't over yet. There have been only THREE primaries. Voters have a right to choose and you have no right to defame them because you disagree. That's a tactic of the left and unworthy of you.
Nothing wrong with them either
Actually they've had their ears stuffed with propaganda. It's up to them to research and they don't.
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