Invitation to do the math for your state: COVID-19 cases as a a percent of the population

03/12/20 | daniel1212

[daniel1212]

Invitation to do the math for your state: COVID-19 cases as a percent of the population.

Below is a list of states per currently reported COVID-19 infections (by CNN, of 3-12-20) in comparison with population size (note that variations in reported cases are partly be due to how comprehensive testing can and has been done). Using an online calculator as here, (see second row under “Percentage Calculator in Common Phrases”, and remove commas in population figure), then 95 “is what percent of” 6949503 = 0.001367. Is this correct? And what correlations do you see that may be of interest?

In any case, I pray this works to bring souls to realize the need for repentance and mercy from God through faith in the risen Lord Jesus.

State	Population	COVID-19 cases	Percentage
Washington	7,614,893	373
New York	19,453,561	216
California	39,512,223	139
Massachusetts	6,949,503	95	0.001367
Colorado	5,758,736	33
Georgia	10,617,423	31
Florida	21,477,737	29
Illinois	12,671,821	25
New Jersey	8,882,190	23
Texas	28,995,881	21
Oregon	4,217,737	19
Pennsylvania	12,801,989	15
Iowa	3,155,070	14
Louisiana	4,648,794	14
Maryland	6,045,680	12
North Carolina	10,488,084	11
District of Columbia	705,749	10
Indiana	6,732,219	10
Nebraska	1,934,408	10
South Carolina	5,148,714	10
Wisconsin	5,822,434	10
Arizona	7,278,717	9
Virginia	8,535,519	9
Kentucky	4,467,673	8
South Dakota	884,659	8
Nevada	3,080,156	7
Tennessee	6,833,174	7
Minnesota	5,639,632	5
New Hampshire	1,359,711	5
Rhode Island	1,059,361	5
New Mexico	2,096,829	4
Ohio	11,689,100	4
Connecticut	3,565,287	3
Utah	3,205,958	3
Hawaii	1,415,872	2
Michigan	9,986,857	2
Oklahoma	3,956,971	2
Vermont	623,989	2
Arkansas	3,017,825	1
Delaware	973,764	1
Kansas	2,913,314	1
Mississippi	2,976,149	1
Missouri	6,137,428	1
North Dakota	762,062	1
Wyoming	578,759	1
Alabama	4,903,185	0
Idaho	1,792,065	0
West Virginia	1,787,147	0
Maine	1,344,212	0
Montana	1,068,778	0
Alaska	731,545	0

[Trump Girl Kit Cat]

More people are being tested so of course the numbers are going to go up!!! Many people have it and just think they have a cold the symptoms seem to be very mild unless you are elderly WITH underlying conditions!!!!
People are NOT dying in the streets this is NOT the plague it is a virus my goodness we have a plethora of viruses in this country!!! It is NOT the end of the world or the end of the country!! The H1N1 virus was very serious YET I NEVER saw shelves empty in grocery stores, I NEVER saw our entire economy SHUT DOWN the only difference is Obama was POTUS absolutely disgraceful!!!!!

[Salamander]

Maryland

6,045,680

12

/cue OH NOES!

[Salamander]

Nah...WV.

[daniel1212]

Tested/reported cases does not equal actual cases.

But estimates do not equal verifiable actual cases, which tested/reported cases do, though many more surely exist.

[Salamander]

The flu has been politicized and the media weaponized.

I wanna see treason arrests.

[daniel1212]

Meanwhile: Over 1,000 People Cured [recovered] of Coronavirus in Italy 3/11/2020, 8:13:36 PM · by RummyChick · 58 replies Breitbart ^ | 3/11/2020 | williams ROME — The number of people in Italy cured of COVID-19 passed the 1,000-mark on Tuesday evening as the country ended its first day of lockdown. The latest data reported by Italian business newspaper Il Sole 24 Ore show that 8,514 people are currently infected with coronavirus in Italy, while 631 have died from the disease and 1,004 who were infected have since recovered.

[Drago]

True, but not sure of the point/bottom line?

[daniel1212]

Less then 5000 world wide have died in over 2 months, and the vast majority of those were on deaths doorway to begin with. To shut down the economy for that is totally unjustified panic.

Even the NYT provides some balance:

Adam Kucharski studies how diseases spread, but he’s not handling viruses in the lab or treating sick people in the hospital. He’s a mathematician at the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, and he uses math to understand outbreaks of diseases like Ebola, SARS, influenza and now Covid-19....

I’d say on best available data, when we adjust for unreported cases and the various delays involved, we’re probably looking at a fatality risk of probably between maybe 0.5 and 2 percent for people with symptoms...

In younger groups, we’re talking perhaps 0.1 percent, which means that when you get into the older groups, you’re potentially talking about 5 percent, 10 percent of cases being fatal. - https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/05/health/coronavirus-deaths-rates.html

[daniel1212]

they all say look at Italy....the worse of their problem happened in an area with a high Chinese immigrants....many Chinese travel to China for their New year and then return....

Actually research shows Chinese only make up about 0.28% of Italy, and non-Chinese Asian make up 0.83%

As for the US :

According to the 2012 Census estimates,[23] the three metropolitan areas with the largest Chinese American populations were the Greater New York Combined Statistical Area at 735,019 people, the San Jose-San Francisco-Oakland Combined Statistical Area at 629,243 people, and the Los Angeles Area Combined Statistical Area at about 566,968 people. New York City contains by far the highest ethnic Chinese population of any individual city outside Asia, estimated at 628,763 as of 2017.[24] The Los Angeles County city of Monterey Park has the highest percentage of Chinese Americans of any municipality, at 43.7% of its population, or 24,758 people.

The states with the largest estimated Chinese American populations, according to both the 2010 Census, were California (1,253,100; 3.4%), New York (577,000; 3.0%), Texas (157,000; 0.6%), New Jersey (134,500; 1.5%), Massachusetts (123,000; 1.9%), Illinois (104,200; 0.8%), Washington (94,200; 1.4%), Pennsylvania (85,000; 0.7%), Maryland (69,400; 1.2%), Virginia (59,800; 0.7%), and Ohio (51,033; 0.5%). The state of Hawaii has the highest concentration of Chinese Americans at 4.0%, or 55,000 people.

The New York metropolitan area, consisting of New York City, Long Island, and nearby areas within the states of New York, New Jersey, Connecticut and Pennsylvania, is home to the largest Chinese American population of any metropolitan area within the United States and the largest Chinese population outside of China, enumerating an estimated 893,697 in 2017[25] and including at least 12 Chinatowns.

[Pelham]

Easy for you to say. You could walk there.

[Salamander]

Eeeee-yep!

:D

[eastexsteve]

The data is old. Texas has about 35 cases to date, and not 22. This won’t tell you anything, other than what it was when the chart was created. But, I can tell you this isn’t even close to being over in this country.

[eastexsteve]

I’m with you both...since no corona virus in under50s..

The man in Frisco, TX, who tested positive has infected his wife and 3 year-old daughter.

[amorphous]

...the number is very small.

Exactly, so I can't see how you believe your numbers based on number of cases vs populations, which the actual cases of infection can only be determined by testing for the virus, have any significance at all.

Secondly, the rate at which this virus has propagated, in every country where it has been detected, has exceeded the ability of even the most draconian steps in the initial phases to control, or test for it.

Respectfully, your post is just a distraction from what we should be doing. And that is getting the word out to prepare for possible lock downs to control the spread of the Corona virus here, so that our health systems aren't inundated.

In simple terms, it means we need to make sure we are able to shelter in place for several weeks, at least.

Time is short. President Trump's people, without doubt, know Italy will be here in a very few weeks or days. Ask yourself; what steps could be taken to prevent what is taking place in Italy from taking place here.

Only one thing, a complete and immediate lock down of the entire country.

No one knows how bad the virus will, or will not be when it hits here in large numbers. So forgot the CFR factor or number of cases in your estimation of where this is headed.

It is a political monster now and that means shutdowns/lockdowns are the norm. Plus, the administration has already taken heat from the low number of tests conducted, so they're going to be even more inclined to act - even perhaps drastically.

Finish your preparations NOW! This isn't scare mongering, it's a logical conclusion. At worse, if there is no lock down, you've at least got your shopping done for a while.

Finally, what you, or I, or the rest of us peons think or believe, isn't going to make one bit of difference to where this is headed. All we can do is affect our own well being.

These are unprecedented times. Get prepared, keep your hands clean, and don't touch your face! ;)

[Fledermaus]

And you used “doubled”. Ironic.

[goodnesswins]

Interested to see how sick they get....I’ll bet lots of us have or will have had it, but it’s been like a cold. JMHO...Don’t wish it on anyone, tho!

[MurphsLaw]

Just for fun...... Add a column that shows the number of cases/ people that have contracted The more common Influenza A/ Pnuemonia virus.......
.
You would be amazed......
.
Be afraid....... Be very afraid .......

[MurphsLaw]

Just for fun...... Add a column that shows the number of cases/ people that have contracted The more common Influenza A/ Pnuemonia virus.......
.
You would be amazed......
.
Be afraid....... Be very afraid .......

[eastexsteve]

Interested to see how sick they get....I’ll bet lots of us have or will have had it, but it’s been like a cold. JMHO...Don’t wish it on anyone, tho!

It doesn't look like this 35 year-old healthy-looking doctor is having a very easy time of it. Looks like much more than just a "cold" in his case. And, he is a doctor and has immediate access to medical care, and not just some average Joe who thinks he just caught a cold.

https://nypost.com/2020/03/11/doctor-with-coronavirus-shares-daily-symptoms-on-twitter/

[daniel1212]

Just for fun...... Add a column that shows the number of cases/ people that have contracted The more common Influenza A/ Pnuemonia virus....... . You would be amazed...... . Be afraid....... Be very afraid

You mean there is another virus to avoid? Actually I cannot find the states for the number of cases of flu per state, but I did find the morality rate for the flu per state in 2018, which I have added to the table, as well as the latest morality count for COVID-19.

See http://peacebyjesus.witnesstoday.org/COVID-19%20_Percent_Population.html

And