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WHO IS ATTACKING CHINA AND WHY?
FreeMarketNews.com ^ | David Morgan

Posted on 05/21/2004 11:57:33 AM PDT by FreeMarket1

WHO IS ATTACKING CHINA AND WHY?
By David Morgan, editor of Silver and Industry Trend Investor
This article first appeared on FreeMarketNews.com

Chinese issuances are coming under attack and the press is doing what it does best — act as a gigantic echo chamber for whatever dominant financial influence has mustered the clout to utilize its services.

In this case wire reports tell us that: “China Commissions Robinson cautions investors on Chinese stock and bond offerings.”

If this were not enough to make you shiver, the report invokes the name of the U.S.’s dominant financial media enterprise to make sure you, the reader, understand the gravity of the situation: “The front page of today's Wall Street Journal, features a lengthy, above-the-fold exposé of the initial public

offering by China Life, a state-owned insurance company, that last December raised some $3.5 billion on the New York Stock Exchange.”

Worried now? The report has details gleaned from the Journal article that make it clear you should be. “Only thereafter was it disclosed that the China National Audit Office had been poring over China Life's books for much of 2003. It turns out that the auditors had detected numerous accounting irregularities and violations of law, including fraudulent handling of some policies.”

The result? “The stock price fell significantly as American and other unwitting international investors who had hugely oversubscribed this IPO finally learned the truth about these "widespread irregularities."

Whom do we have to thanks for this newfound knowledge? Why it’s the chairman of the “U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission, Roger W. Robinson, Jr.” He’s quite a quotable fellow: "In the post-Enron era, these black boxes are becoming a real concern. As corporate governance gains prominence, Chinese issues will receive more scrutiny."

Now, who is Mr. Robinson? Let’s hunt down his bio on the ‘Net. Quite impress ive really. The gentleman has worked in the field of trade relations at the highest levels of government and directly served under several presidents. His private-industry experience is lustrous as well: “Prior to joining the NSC staff, Mr. Robinson was Vice President in the International Department of the Chase Manhattan Bank in New York City. As a banker, he had responsibilities for Chase's loan portfolio in the USSR, Eastern Europe and Yugoslavia for five years.

Geez. Chase Manhattan. Isn’t that … wait. Look at this! His bio informs us that: “He also served for some two and a half years as a personal staff assistant to former Chase Chairman David Rockefeller and earlier on assignment with the Chase branch in Tokyo.”

David Rockefeller. Imagine that.

Those who are regular readers of my reports know that I am fairly enthusiastic proponent of Franklin Roosevelt’s credo that “nothing in politics ever happens by accident.” I also happen to believe that “public service” is merely a mechanism by which powerful private interests gain their objectives through “regulatory capture” — as lawyers so delicately put it. Those who make the laws, you see, are in a position to profit from them. And no one in the history of the 20th century, and now the 21st, has profited more handsomely from the crucial intersection of self-interest and public policy than David Rockefeller.

No matter what financial and social histories you read, so long as they are fairly objective, you will find David Rockefeller’s name writ large or small nearby most momentous events designed to advance U.S. interests and globalist causes. From the deeding of the land for the United Nation’s headquarters, to its founding and initial charter -- worked up by the eager young socialists he likes to befriend and push into positions of power -- to the opening of the Soviet Union (and probably China) you will find Rockefeller’s name nearby.

Rockefeller, in tandem with others who share his worldview, has seemingly been at the forefront of almost every single political event of significance for the last 50 years. It is truly astonishing how hard Rockefeller works on

behalf of his own interests and those who are associated with him.

Of course, Rockefeller is at a fairly advanced age now: But if we look hard enough, perhaps we can discern some stirring of the waters in the wake of the powerful mechanism of world governance he created. Yes, indeed, the water is choppy here. The fine hand of Rockefeller and the interests he represents are traveling purposefully nearby.

I think they are going to China.

Actually, they are already there, along with all the powerful old money from Europe – the representatives of which populate that fine and hopeful instrument of transnational government, the European Union.

So, since we are at least realistic, if not paranoid, at least quizzical if not cynical, we are left with -- at the very least -- the following modest list of questions:

--Why is someone associated with the internationalist Rockefeller group attacking China? --Why are they warning the U.S. buying public about Chinese public offerings? --What do they gain from any loss of investor confidence in Chinese issuance?

I am not at the moment sure of the answers.

Perhaps American interests are merely warning Chinese ones not to become too chummy with the Europeans. (We can still rock the boat.) Or perhaps there is some concern that full-blown China mania is happening too soon and that it needs to be slowed somewhat through the application of the U.S. regulatory and media apparatus. Realistically, regulatory pressure has always been applied to urge those who are on the receiving end to “share the wealth.” (This kind of activity usually results in a more practical power-sharing arrangement.)

I do know that the concern of the U.S. government for its smaller shareholding citizens is on a par with the Carpenter’s faux sympathy for the oysters he was about to eat in “Alice in Wonderland.” (There’s no there there.) No, the U.S. government and those who make it, shape it and nurse its vital signs, have hollowed out the industrial base of America, transferred its wealth overseas and converted its currency from precious metals to base metal and wood pulp (paper).

The headlines reverberating in the media echo chamber seem aimed at warning investors off China. I think they are aimed at the Chinese. Perhaps this is the right supposition. If so, watch for a flurry of news stories about Chinese reactions – ranging from belligerence to cautious cooperation as behind the scenes, the pot is being reconfigured.

In this scenario, American interests will insist on more of the pie; the vast Chinese public enterprises controlling the issuance of public debt and equity in the United States and China will agree to spread the wealth.

Once the details have been worked out, the headlines will blare again with modest reassurances that the Chinese are aware of their governance issues are taking steps to rectify the problems. The game will begin anew. The “mania” will mount, as it is intended to – fiat money demands mania in fact – and those who have positioned themselves properly will benefit accordingly.

I am not sure of the reasons why certain U.S. interests are attacking Chinese ones. But I am certain that concern for the small American shareholder is not the motivating factor. In fact, these headlines make me more convinced than ever that “the game is afoot” in China. New hands having been dealt, the

action will recommence. I intend to play.


TOPICS:
KEYWORDS: bonds; china; chineesestock; financialinfluence; freemarketnews; freemarketthinkers; issuances; stocks

1 posted on 05/21/2004 11:57:36 AM PDT by FreeMarket1
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To: FreeMarket1
China does not have a modern banking system. And therein lies the problem. They are awash with foreign earnings, and have no way to put them to work. There are huge public works programs in operation, that in scale, probably dwarf even the greatest undertakings of the New Deal days of FDR, back in the 1930's. There are also countless smaller enterprises that are being funded, but the difficulty is that there is no oversight, and many of the smaller loans are non-performing, essentially not being repaid, and there is no legal machinery in place to effectively foreclose on these loans to liquidate them.

China is headed for a huge banking collapse, and because so much of their business is tied to Western currencies, bodes ill for the world economy.

The Great Depression is going to look like practice, not even a full dress rehearsal for what is coming.
2 posted on 05/21/2004 12:08:59 PM PDT by alloysteel (Live well and prosper. Beam me up, Scottie....)
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To: FreeMarket1
Wise man say..."The bigger they are, the harder they fall!"
3 posted on 05/21/2004 12:10:36 PM PDT by The Duke
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To: FreeMarket1
1) In the case of one of the companies mentioned, they were under investigation by the Chinese Gov. That doesn't make me think they are under malicious attack. If, for example, I were a Portuguese Fund Manager, I wouldn't be clamoring for shares of Global Crossings or Worldcom. There is a difference in reporting adverse information fairly and slandering injudiciously.

2) In the absence of information superiority, bad data will tend to more rapidly chase investors out of a stock. A newspaper isn't necessarily biased for reporting bad news. I'm not entirely sure that people are slandering these issues. Investors lack the knowledge to measure this info from perspective, therefore they will tend to dump on the first credible report of negative circumstance.
4 posted on 05/21/2004 12:23:10 PM PDT by .cnI redruM ("Angst is their calling card. Psychotherapy their badge of honor. Dems are the no-no party.")
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To: FreeMarket1

Bottom-line it for me: Are we all gonna die?


5 posted on 05/21/2004 12:47:30 PM PDT by Dr. Frank fan
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To: Dr. Frank fan

Probably not all at once. But there are certain scenarios which dispute this.


6 posted on 05/21/2004 1:04:36 PM PDT by Cobra Scott
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To: alloysteel
They are awash with foreign earnings, and have no way to put them to work.

Well, actually, they do. A huge chunk of it goes to Russia to buy all kinds of arms. Another huge chunk goes to fund state run "enterprieses" that are fronts for China's vast intelligence initiatives. A lot gets lost in the nearly limitless swamps of corruption. They are also buying up staggering amounts of Treasury bonds.

But I do agree that despite all that they have a huge surplus of dollars that they don't quite know what to do with.

7 posted on 05/21/2004 5:54:55 PM PDT by tlrugit
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To: Dr. Frank fan
Are we all gonna die?

The walls are going to fall down and we'll all be killed.

8 posted on 05/21/2004 5:58:26 PM PDT by Stentor
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To: Dr. Frank fan

In the long run we're all going to die.


9 posted on 05/21/2004 6:40:27 PM PDT by pragmatic_asian
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To: FreeMarket1

It's not like Congress doesn't know this.
Look through Steve La Tourette's website and find co-sponsered by him on China honoring their bond payments to American investors.

Pretty amazing.


10 posted on 05/21/2004 6:47:52 PM PDT by mabelkitty
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To: Dr. Frank fan

Eventually, yes. In the mean time just maybe suffer a little (or a lot) more...


11 posted on 05/22/2004 3:33:58 PM PDT by maui_hawaii
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To: FreeMarket1
But I am certain that concern for the small American shareholder is not the motivating factor.

Wanna bet?

12 posted on 05/22/2004 3:36:07 PM PDT by maui_hawaii
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To: FreeMarket1
I agree completely. Stop attacking china! (I know this is stupid. I just can't help it sometimes.)


13 posted on 05/22/2004 3:46:08 PM PDT by Lockbar
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To: FreeMarket1

I do know that commodities like portland cement and metals have gone up in price because China is using so much of these items in their construction projects.

It's having an effect-- concrete pours have been delayed for weeks now, locally.

It was a mistake to engage them economically from the beginning. From MFN status to the HongKong handover, stupid mistakes. We should have taken a stance of economic aggression against the Communists. They probably would have fallen by now, with an emerging free market.


14 posted on 05/22/2004 3:48:39 PM PDT by ovrtaxt (I'll start watching NASCAR when they start running figure 8s.)
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To: ovrtaxt; FreeMarket1
It was a mistake to engage them economically from the beginning. From MFN status to the HongKong handover, stupid mistakes.

Mistakes? - not by Rockefeller. Everything was done on purpose.

We should have taken a stance of economic aggression against the Communists. They probably would have fallen by now, with an emerging free market.

As FM1 indicates, ain't nuthin' happens by accident.

15 posted on 05/22/2004 4:01:19 PM PDT by rightofrush (right of Rush, and Buchanan too.)
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To: rightofrush

Agreed. Not a fun road to mentally go down.

In the end, I think we all realize that politicans, with few exceptions, are not serving We The People.


16 posted on 05/22/2004 6:57:50 PM PDT by ovrtaxt (I'll start watching NASCAR when they start running figure 8s.)
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