Sneak Peek: McCain Up in Ohio & Georgia (48-44 in Ohio)

Real Clear Politics ^ | September 11, 2008 | TOM BEVAN

[Free ThinkerNY]

Another sneak peek from Strategic Vision, which will be releasing polls in Ohio and Georgia tomorrow. Both surveys were conducted from Sept. 7-9 with MoE's of 3.0%.

In Ohio, McCain leads Obama by four points, 48-44, with 2% for other candidates and 6% undecided. This is SV's first poll in Ohio.

[jersey117]

Awesome! Bill Clinton seems to think Obama is going to win this “handily”. LOL

[Cementjungle]

Awesome! Bill Clinton seems to think Obama is going to win this “handily”. LOL

Bill's always been so trustworthy!

[Mikey_1962]

Outstanding.

[GloriaJane]

Good news! ACORN’s Community Organizer obama has reason to worry.

[fortunate sun]

What about that great patriot Ron Paul’s endorsement of Bob Barr in Georgia?

[Bosco]

News on 610AM in Columbus this morning led with the Quinnepac poll results, showing Obama the most merciful with a few point lead.

[1Old Pro]

Not looking good for Borat Obama

[comebacknewt]

Quinnipiac's results were very suspicious. They showed Obama doing a couple of points better in Ohio than in Pennsylvania. Not credible.

Ohio will be close again, but most all signs seem to be pointing in our direction as of today.

[autumnraine]

You watch, if McCain wins Georgia, it will be because all Georgians are racist KKK members or some such nonsense.

[TxAg1981]

One thing that came to mind as Nobama sinks in the polls. I believe that things will snowball on the young punk and turn much worse.
The reason is that, as nobama sinks in the polls, folks aren't energized to work hard and make a difference. Of course this is the typical lib mentality...no need to work hard because someone else will carry me.
There is no reason for folks to turn out to vote for a losing cause. I believe that most in nobama's voting demographic will just stay home and not put forth the effort. This will create a tsunami that will drown his chances.

[goodolemr]

It aint over yet. The crazy left will redouble their efforts to destory Palin.

[tet68]

In Georgia, McCain is ahead of Obama by thirteen points, 52-39, with 3% for Barr and 6% undecided.

Whoohoo~!
Go Mc!

[ubaldus]

Q’piac is a decent enough polster, but this time they came up with a lemon. No way Obama can run 5 pts better in OH compared to his national numbers.
Either something was wrong in their sample weights, or it’s a true outlier.

I think McCain runs +1/+2 in OH relative to his national vote share. In other words, if he ties in popular vote, he carries OH. Then CO is the tiebreaker.

[redlegplanner]

I still think, wrt the electoral college, that it will come down to Colorado - the Florida of 2008

[KansasGirl]

ping

[Wild Irish Rogue]

Didn’t Barry brag that he would win Georgia ?

First he drops 2 million in the state on ads.
McCain has not spent much money, if any, in GA.
Then he pulled staff out of GA into “ more competitive states like North Carolina staffers confirmed Tuesday. “
Which alarmed some supporters.

” In Georgia, McCain is ahead of Obama by thirteen points, 52-39, with 3% for Barr and 6% undecided.”

Barry’s down 4 points and McCain is up 1 pt since the last SV poll at the end of June.

The internal polls at Barryland must be very interesting.

[mmichaels1970]

9-7 to 9-9 is mostly pre “Obama Oink”. I strongly feel there will be a further affect from that.

[mmichaels1970]

Then he pulled staff out of GA into “ more competitive states like North Carolina staffers confirmed Tuesday. “

RCP has McCain +9 in NC as well.

[redlegplanner]

Alternate strategy: Any Maniacs out there who can guess as to the chance of McCain getting the one EC vote in the 2d district (Aroostock county, Bangor Daily News, Olympia Snowe et al)? With that one vote plus either Nevada (5) or New Mexico (5), he can lose Colorado and still hit 270. In 1992, the district came within 4% of giving it to “Maverick” Perot.