The first seven states where we've taken a full look at the 2012 race for President have shown some wide differences in how much Democratic voters
like the prospective Republican candidates for President. There's been little difference though in the extent to which Democrats are actually willing to
vote for any of the Republicans.
On average 16% of Democrats have a favorable opinion of Huckabee. That puts him a little bit ahead of Mitt Romney at 13% and well ahead of Newt Gingrich at 10% and Sarah Palin at 9%. Huckabee is either
the most popular or tied as the most popular Republican across party lines in all seven states we've polled except Minnesota, where he finished just a point behind Romney.
You might look at those numbers and say that Huckabee would be clearly the best candidate for Republicans to get the sort of crossover support they need in 2012. But that's actually not the case. In head to heads with Barack Obama in these seven states Huckabee averages earning 9% of the Democratic vote. Romney gets an equivalent 9%, Palin gets 8%, and Gingrich comes in at 7%.
There are a fair number of Democrats who like Huckabee or Romney but not so much that they're actually willing to vote for them. On the other hand there are few who like Gingrich or Palin, but those two do a better job of actually earning the votes of the few Democrats who
do like them.
So Democrats might not hate their President as much as Republicans do or Democrats did during the Bush years if Huckabee was to be elected in 2012- but they wouldn't give him a whole lot of support either.
Here's the full data:
|
Gingrich |
Huckabee |
Palin |
Romney |
MA Favorability |
15 |
16 |
10 |
16 |
MA Vote % |
10 |
11 |
10 |
15 |
MI Favorability |
6 |
14 |
10 |
14 |
MI Vote % |
7 |
7 |
5 |
7 |
MN Favorability |
5 |
9 |
5 |
10 |
MN Vote % |
2 |
3 |
3 |
2 |
MO Favorability |
9 |
25 |
10 |
13 |
MO Vote % |
5 |
6 |
8 |
7 |
MT Favorability |
8 |
16 |
10 |
12 |
MT Vote % |
7 |
9 |
8 |
8 |
NC Favorability |
18 |
25 |
16 |
22 |
NC Vote % |
18 |
21 |
17 |
18 |
VA Favorability |
6 |
9 |
4 |
6 |
VA Vote % |
3 |
5 |
4 |
5 |
SOURCE: http://www.ontheissues.org/mike_huckabee.htm
Mike Huckabee on Budget & Economy
Infrastructure projects: start immediately, for stimulus. (Feb 2008)
Were worse off than in 2000, due to Congress over-spending. (Jan 2008)
Rebates of $150 billion help China; widening I-95 helps US. (Jan 2008)
I steered AR from $200M deficit to an $850M surplus. (Jan 2008)
Recessions trickle-up—working class hit first & hardest. (Jan 2008)
Infrastructure investment causes long-term economic stimulus. (Jan 2008)
Stimulus plan is $150B from China, to spend on Chinese goods. (Jan 2008)
Fuel prices & subprime mortgages possibly cause recession. (Jan 2008)
Do things differently so people need not sacrifice. (Dec 2007)
To reduce spending, get rid of IRS & revamp DHS. (Nov 2007)
Rein in out-of-control spending and balance the budget. (Sep 2007)
Created state surplus in AR; cut spending to do same for US. (Sep 2007)
Bankruptcy reform: limit Chapter 7; protect states’ role. (Feb 2001)
Uphold commitments to states before other spending. (Sep 2001)
Protect local milk supplies with Southern Dairy Compact. (Sep 2001)
MIKE HUCKABEE ON FREE TRADE :
Supports NAFTA & CAFTA, if partners hafta abide by rules. (Jan 2008)
Fair trade includes lead-free products & playing by rules. (Jan 2008)
A free country must feed, fuel, & fight for itself. (Dec 2007)
We need fair trade because were losing jobs. (Oct 2007)
This country can never yield its sovereignty for any reason. (Sep 2007)
Trade sanctions on Saudi Arabia for persecuting Christians. (Sep 2007)
China trade contingent on human rights & product safety. (Sep 2007)
No NAFTA Superhighway from Canada to Mexico. (Sep 2007)
Marketplace pushes innovation to top & prices to bottom. (Jan 2007)
Farm subsidies ok because Europe & Asia do same. (Jan 2007)
Enforce trade law against subsidized Canadian lumber imports. (Sep 2001)
MIKE HUCKABEEN ON HEALTHCARE
Healthcare reform requires cultural change over a generation. (Nov 2008)
Ok to ban smoking from workplaces, but not to ban smoking. (Feb 2008)
Called for isolating AIDS carriers in 1992, not quarantine. (Dec 2007)
1/3 self-insured; 1/3 dont want it; 1/3 cant afford it. (Dec 2007)
Crisis from waiting until people are catastrophically ill. (Dec 2007)
FactCheck: 2/3 of uninsured cant afford insurace, not 1/3. (Dec 2007)
We dont have a healthcare system; its a healthcare maze. (Oct 2007)
Individually-controlled insurance, not government SCHIP. (Oct 2007)
Portable medical records that YOU own, not your doctor. (Sep 2007)
System is upside down; focuses on intervention after illness. (Sep 2007)
Oppose mandated health insurance and universal coverage. (Sep 2007)
Insurance reward for avoiding tobacco, alcohol, obesity. (Sep 2007)
Co-led effort against child obesity with Bill Clinton. (Sep 2007)
Give Americans Congress healthcare, or give Congress ours. (Aug 2007)
Dems want government in charge; GOP want consumers in charge. (Jun 2007)
ARKids: Prevention less expensive than sick children. (Jun 2007)
Focus on health & prevention, not just disease treatment. (Jan 2007)
STOP the culture of chronic disease via self-discipline. (Jan 2007)
The road to obesity is paved with procrastination. (May 2006)
To stop procrastinating: Set date; stick to it; and start!. (May 2006)
Nothing tastes as good as it feels to be healthy. (May 2006)
We dont have a health-care system but a disease-care system. (Jan 2006)
Guaranteed medical care not governments responsibility. (Nov 2002)
ARKids First program: record decreases in uninsured. (Jan 2001)
Designed ARKids for preventive healthcare for kids. (Oct 2000)
Supports consumer-driven medical IRA with tax-free money. (Nov 1992)
No additional AIDS spending; cancer & vascular victims first. (Nov 1992)
Ban smoking in all public places. (Nov 1992)
Isolate carriers of this plague of AIDS. (Nov 1992)
No federal pre-emption of employee health plan regulation. (Oct 2001)
Protect state tobacco settlement funds from federal seizure. (Apr 1999)
MIKE HUCKABEE ON IMMIGRATION
Illegal immigrants must go home and start over. (Jan 2008)
Build a border fence within 18 months of taking office. (Jan 2008)
Build a border fence using American labor & materials. (Jan 2008)
FactCheck: Yes, supported scholarships for AR illegal aliens. (Dec 2007)
Pathway to citizenship must start at back of line, out of US. (Dec 2007)
Send illegals home so all in US can hold their heads high. (Dec 2007)
Make legal immigration quick, or outsource it if we cant. (Dec 2007)
FactCheck: AR college bill accepted illegals after 3 years. (Nov 2007)
Punish people who break the law; but not their children. (Nov 2007)
Focus on demand: penalize employers of illegal immigrants. (Sep 2007)
Some anti-immigration advocates are based on racism. (Sep 2007)
People are angry at government for failing to track illegals. (Sep 2007)
Problems with McCain-Kennedy: credibility; secrecy; spending. (Jun 2007)
Allow in professionals as legal immigrants, but seal border. (Jun 2007)
Change rule barring immigrants from running for president. (May 2007)
Path to citizenship if illegals admit guilt & pay fine. (Jan 2007)
Deport the illegal immigrants who dont do it the right way. (Jan 2006)
Seal the borders in a responsible way. (Jan 2006)
Share costs of legal immigration between states & federal. (Feb 2001)
Federal government should deal with criminal repatriation. (Feb 2001)
Import farm workers from Mexico. (Sep 2001)
MIKE HUCKABEE ON JOBS
3 million jobs left since 2001, but not due to trade. (Nov 2008)
No class warfare: talk to both rich & poor. (Jan 2008)
Excessive taxes, red tape, and litigation cause job losses. (Dec 2007)
Unions more prominent to fight high CEO salaries. (Oct 2007)
Blacks still face racism & unequal opportunity in job market. (Sep 2007)
No sexual orientation in Employment Non-Discrimination Act. (Sep 2007)
Supports farm subsidies & fully-funded crop insurance. (Sep 2007)
More R&D & tax incentives for small farmers. (Sep 2001)
Repeal the federal unemployment “temporary surtax”. (Feb 2001)