Posted on 09/21/2011 11:33:07 AM PDT by parksstp
sounds good to me...
She's been campaigning in those states, and has them sewn up.
She'll be the nominee before Mitt Perry knows what hit them.
Heh.
OK, so when is this again?
Then explain almost all of the elections since Obummer took office. Scott Brown and Turner in the NY 9 come to mind. Obummer has shifted his party so far left, that there is not the size of his base that there traditionally is. The old paradigms are worthless.
Whatever happens in Pennsylvania has nothing to do with Palin’s decision whether or not to run. I believe Palin has decided to run all along but is not going to announce until she is ready to announce. Those looking for outside events to influence or discourage the Palin’s(Todd,too) decisions are quite mistaken.
VERY interesting-!!
I figure if Palin is going to announce it will be on opening day of the Arctic Grizzly Hunting Season on April 15th.
What happened to Barry was he ran for office as a Westerner (backed by Midwestern money) against a Texan who still had a strong Western base.
The Rockefeller Republicans neglected to participate in the campaign ~ primarily because their numbers were dwindling to insignificance and they'd not yet been replaced by some other Eastern faction ~ which is still the case.
Richard Nixon realized the problem with the Northeastern Republicans and ran as a Westerner from San Diego against "the Humph" ~ who had tepid Souv'rn support and weaker support everywhere in the Midwest except in Minnesota. He did that twice!
Ronald Reagan later on won in a landslide because he ran against a goat herder from the Georgia sea islands ~ and without the participation of the Rockefeller Republicans since they'd all disappeared completely by that time.
Ronald did not get Minnesota if I recall ~ and whoever wins this Republican nomination might also have trouble winning that state. The reasons are multitudinous and bizarre so I'll not go into them.
Thankfully we no longer have any of the Candidate's handlers and keepers imagining that the outcome of the race will depend on Eastern Republicans. Those days are over.
The "newsies", though, continue to imagine the existence of a broad middle ground of moderates. They are nuts.
No states are having their primaries before the Iowa caucus and the New Hampshire primary.
I've thought all along that the polls gave too high an estimate ~ it's more like 2% and he ends up knowing most of them.
I don’t think that is as big of an issue as you make it seem. In the 8 Midwest States of Ohio, Indiana, Michigan, Illinois, Iowa, Missouri, Wisconsin and Minnesota, Obama won 7 in 2008.
Of those 8 States, only 3 had Republican Governors in 2008 (Daniels in Indiana, Blunt in Missouri, and Pawlenty in Minnesota).
Now, in 2012, only 3 of those States have Democrats as Governors (Quinn in Illinois, Nixon in Missouri, and Dayton in Minnesota).
Now, of those, Nixon has had to be a very moderate Democrat and faces McCaskill dragging him down in his re-election. He won’t be pimping for Obama very hard since he is up for re-election as well.
Dayton won the Minnesota Governor’s seat by 8,770 votes out of 2.1 million. He is in no position to push Obama hard either.
Ohio, Michigan, and Wisconsin all have seen serious turn arounds in their economies due to the new Republican’s in charge.
So, if Florida, North Carolina, Virginia, Indiana and Ohio slip over to the Republican side, and Missouri stays red, then the margin needed can be gained by turning Wisconsin, Minnesota, or Michigan.
After all the polls and analysis come in, I believe the fight will be over Minnesota. If the Republicans can turn Minnesota (something that has not happened in 40 years), they win in a walk. Look for the vetting of Senator John Hoeven for a VP pick by whoever gets the nod.
Really???
What happened to Constitution Day? Or Iowa caucus? Or the east coast bus History tour? Or Ronald Reagan Birthday ? Or......
As soon as she quits her Fox job.
Maybe I am naive but I see no way Obama can ever win Missouri. Surely we will take Claire out in the process also.
Where did you hear/read that any state will leapfrog over Iowa? We (Iowans) won’t let that happen. We will caucus this weekend if necessary.
Maybe, maybe not, but they sure are trying.
I just posted that to tweak the Perrywinkies anyway.
They think their guy has it in the bag, and any suggestion that he doesn't sends them into crazy-land.
They're practically there anyway.
She’ll run when she’s sure the 2nd tier canidates have run their course (as in ALL the current candidates).
Lets face it, Romney and Perry are just placeholders until Sarah announces and EVERYBODY knows it - or its a least in the back of their minds. Including Perry/Romney/and the MSM.
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