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Another Asian Fukushima Imminent? (Take a look at the Prosperous Island of Taiwan)
Zero Hedge ^ | 12/29/2011 | John C.K. Daly from OilPrice.com,

Posted on 12/29/2011 1:05:11 PM PST by SeekAndFind

Another Asian Fukushima Imminent?

 

Taiwan imports 99 percent of its energy, which is vital to its rapidly industrializing economy.

 

The island nation's electricity demand was recently growing at almost 5 percent per year, but this is slowing to about 3.3 percent per annum to 2013. Nuclear power has been a significant part of the electricity supply for two decades and now provides 17 percent of the country's overall energy needs.

 

But this has come at a potential cost. The country's three nuclear power plants (NPPs) comprise four General Electric boiling water reactors and two Westinghouse pressurized water reactors.

 

Taiwan launched its nuclear power project in 1972 with the construction of a General Electric boiling water reactor (BWR) at the Chinshan 1 Nuclear Plant in northern Taiwan. By 1985 Taiwan had a total of six reactors online at the Chinshan, Kuosheng and Maanshan NPPs, which provided nearly 20 percent of the island's power that fueled Taiwan's economic take off. The NPPs are operated by the Taiwan Power Co. (Taipower) utility under the Ministry of Economic Affairs.

 

In the wake of the 11 March Fukushima nuclear catastrophe in Japan, Professor Chan Chang-chuan of National Taiwan University's College of Public Health noted that Taiwan's three existing nuclear plants and a fourth, the one now under construction, are located in earthquake-prone regions near the sea, which originally facilitated the transportation of nuclear fuel and construction materials but leaves the sites facing the double hazards of earthquakes and tsunamis. Chan said, "Such locations expose our reactors to a double risk."

 

All six of Taiwan's existing reactors are built near major fault lines, and two more reactors are under construction at the advanced boiling water reactor (ABWR) Longmen NPP in New Taipei City's Gongliao District. On 31 October Taiwan's Minister of Economic Affairs Shih Yen-shiang said that the Longmen facility is expected to enter commercial operation no later than 2017.

 

Now the issue of the country's NPPs has entered the arena of the country's upcoming presidential elections, scheduled for 2012. All three of Taiwan's presidential candidates agree that the life of the country's three operational nuclear power plants should not be extended, but are divided on whether construction of the Longmen NPP should continue.

 

Capturing the high ground, on 3 November Taiwanese President Ma Ying-jeou unveiled the government's new nuclear energy policy, promising to gradually move the country towards a nuclear-free future, announcing that the scheduled 40-year service life of the Chinshan, Kuosheng and Maanshan nuclear plants would not be extended, while the New Taipei City Longmen NPP would only begin commercial operations when all necessary safety requirements were met. Ma said, "This new energy policy is crafted in a proactive, practical and responsible manner in keeping with the principles of no power rationing, maintenance of stable electricity prices and continued reduction of carbon dioxide emissions to meet international goals."

 

Going Ma one better, on 15 December Opposition Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) Chairwoman candidate Tsai Ing-wen declared that if she wins next year she will close all three of Taiwan's existing nuclear power plants and mothball the Longmen NPP, seeking to end Taiwan's nuclear energy program by 2025 and candidate number three, James Soong of the People First Party, favors not extending the service life of the three existing NPPs but favors a 'wait and see' approach on the Longmen NPP. The Chinshan NPP license expires in 2018-2019, Kuosheng in 2021-2023 and Maanshan in 2024-2025.

 

The policy represents a significant turnaround in Taiwan's commitment to nuclear power, as in May 2009 Taipower was examining the prospects for six more reactors, starting with the Longmen NPP.

 

Therefore, the only remaining question is whether the South China Sea's notorious weather patterns will remain benign over the next 14 years. If not, according to Wang To-far, economics professor at National Taipei University, "if a level-seven nuclear crisis were to happen in Taiwan, it would destroy the nation."

 

Fingers crossed.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Science; Society; Weather
KEYWORDS: earthquake; fukushima; taiwan; tsunami

1 posted on 12/29/2011 1:05:16 PM PST by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

And I guess they will get their energy from unicorn farts and happy thoughts?


2 posted on 12/29/2011 1:18:23 PM PST by Drill Thrawl (The patient is too far gone to save.)
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To: SeekAndFind
The story seems to contradict itself, saying that they import 99 percent of their energy and that they get 20 percent from nuclear power. Somehow, occasionally importing some uranium seems qualitatively different than importing oil or coal every day.
3 posted on 12/29/2011 1:32:27 PM PST by marktwain
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To: SeekAndFind
Capturing the high ground, on 3 November Taiwanese President Ma Ying-jeou unveiled the government's new nuclear energy policy, promising to gradually move the country towards a nuclear-free future

The very epitome of bias. It seems to me that he captured the very low ground of economic suicide.

4 posted on 12/29/2011 1:34:47 PM PST by marktwain
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To: Drill Thrawl

Taiwan is a strange place. Parts are very developed. Others are third world hell holes.


5 posted on 12/29/2011 2:38:37 PM PST by Peter from Rutland
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To: marktwain
Somehow, occasionally importing some uranium seems qualitatively different than importing oil or coal every day.

I suppose it is somewhat different, but it doesn't change the fact that Taiwan can only supply 1% of its power from domestic power sources.

6 posted on 12/29/2011 3:22:20 PM PST by BfloGuy (The final outcome of the credit expansion is general impoverishment.)
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To: SeekAndFind

All the Chinese have to do is attack one of those plants or sabotage a plant and bye bye Taiwan.


7 posted on 12/29/2011 4:49:10 PM PST by justa-hairyape
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To: BfloGuy
I suppose it is somewhat different, but it doesn't change the fact that Taiwan can only supply 1% of its power from domestic power sources.

I think it makes a great deal of difference when you can easily stockpile energy for those plants for the next 30 years.

8 posted on 12/29/2011 5:32:08 PM PST by marktwain
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To: justa-hairyape
All the Chinese have to do is attack one of those plants or sabotage a plant and bye bye Taiwan.

Yes, and all the Chinese have to do is sabotage a hundred undefended large power transformers in the United States, and bye bye United States.

9 posted on 12/29/2011 5:34:17 PM PST by marktwain
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To: Peter from Rutland

RE: Others are third world hell holes.

I’ve LIVED in Taiwan and can speak both Mandarin and Taiwanese, where the hell are these third world hell holes you mention in this island?

I’ve been to many cities in this great country of ours ( Detroit,MI, Camden, NJ and Gary Indiana ) and can’t find a place in Taiwan worse than these REAL hell holes.

Heck, I feel safe walking the streets of Taipei and Kaoshiung at night. Can’t say the same with these American cities.


10 posted on 12/29/2011 5:42:17 PM PST by SeekAndFind
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