Posted on 01/03/2012 10:02:55 PM PST by LesDowrey
7 Things The Iowa Caucus Results Mean, and 3 Things all Conservatives Should See.
1) The Establishment has successfully co-opted the Tea Party.
Iowa is prime Tea Party territory (socially conservative, fiscally conservative, and grassroots oriented). If the voters in Iowa would not stand up to Mitt Romney and defeat the establishment no one will. By convincing voters that a Massachusetts Moderate is most electable against Barack Obama the GOP establishment has won.
2) Old School Politics still work.
Rick Santorum did things the old way, by going out, meeting voters, and persuading them to vote for him. Unlike some of the other candidates who discounted personal appearances in the state in lieu of new media and debate coverage.
3) Rick Santorum is about to face the firing squad.
As the new Anti-Romney, in a long string of Anti-Romney’s, Santorum is about to face the headwinds of Gingrich, Romney, Paul, Huntsman, and Perry all gunning for him on earmarks, voting for a huge government expansion, and endorsing Arlen Specter. The final Anti-Romney candidate will be taken down leaving it wide open for Willard.
4) Ron Paul will never win anything.
With all of his grassroots support, online fundraising, the best ground game in the state, and a disgruntled GOP Ron Paul couldn’t even pull off a second place finish.
5) Michelle Bachmann should just quit.
She says she is going to South Carolina, but to finish so abysmally after winning the Ames Straw Poll is just sad. That’s all- sad.
6) Mitt Romney is going to be the Nominee.
Santorum surged, but he surged too late. Romney is headed into New Hampshire with strong momentum and that will be the one-two punch the media will need to declare him the winner. As soon as that happens the narrative will overtake any chance anyone else has of winning.
7) Mitt Romney will lose to Barack Obama.
I hope you are ready for another 4 years of Obama. When Ron Paul has a chance to beat you, it is not a good sign that you have the support of your base. Add to that, for whatever reason, none of the GOP candidates have really gone after Romney yet. Instead they have torn each other down, playing right into Mitt Romney’s strategy of winning by not losing. Don’t worry… if the GOP won’t go after Mitt’s Flip Flops and John Kerry-like behavior, Barack Obama will be happy to. Look at the history of moderate GOP candidates who have been nominated like John McCain and Bob Dole. Oh yeah, tomorrow John McCain is endorsing Romney for President. That should tell you everything you need to know.
Finally, here are three things all Conservatives Should See.
Les Dowrey Goes to Africa, Episode 1
. Les Dowrey Occupies Wall Street, Episode 2
Les Dowrey vs. Animal Rights, Episode 3
Rick Santorum will beat obama.
Baloney. The establishment lost. We split the conservative vote FOUR ways and still beat Willard “$50 Abortioner” Flopney.
Next.
Mitt Romney is going to be the Nominee.Yes, perhaps, but hope springs eternal and all that. I will never, ever vote for Romney, ever, under any circumstances.
I predicted 6 and 7 a year ago.
Whoever wrote this crap needs to reasses what they are doing with their lives.
“Baloney. The establishment lost. We split the conservative vote FOUR ways”
When Perry and Michelle drop out that puts Newt or Rick ahead.
“2) Old School Politics still work.
Rick Santorum did things the old way, by going out, meeting voters, and persuading them to vote for him. Unlike some of the other candidates who discounted personal appearances in the state in lieu of new media and debate coverage.”
No, he spent months in one state because there was no other contest and nothing else to lose.
You cant visit every county in every state, so you only have one shot at this type of thing, the rest of the contests are not going to be won with that type of thing.
Intrade seems to back this up. Despite the (barely) second-place finish, Romney is currently standing at an 80% chance of being the Republican nominee on InTrade.com. The time to fix that was a minimum of three-four months ago, when Cain was peaking. Romney has always been the “establishment” candidate, and everyone on FR knew it. At a minimum, Cain’s positions could have been used as a stick to beat Romney into something more resembling a genuine conservative candidate, or really exposed his untenable positions to the public at large. Unfortunately, this did not happen. Everyone was so busy gushing about Cain’s credentials that they never took the time to point out to the other candidates just *why* Cain was getting so much attention.
Now, it’s too late. Perry faded before Cain, Cain imploded, Gingrich is imploding now, and the rest of the field realistically never had a chance. As I posted back during the whole Cain thing, the only hope for not having Romney as the candidate was going to be one of the back-markers, and we’d better be up on their positions just in case. Santorum looks to be that sudden-surge back-marker, but as the article says, he surged too late. I’m afraid we’re looking at a rerun of the McCain or Dole candidacy. The big unknown is just how much of the Zer0’s support can Romney suck away, because Dole never had a chance in hell of pulling any Clintonista votes.
Yep, the...uh..."vetting" has already begun. I just saw a comment at the bottom of this article:
Balanced???? He wants to force his religion on everybody! I don't see independents, libertarians, democrats or very many regular non evangelical republicans voting for him. He's not as sqeaky clean as you think. He made the CREW's Most Corrupted politicians list twice! 2005, 2006...
He's now the tallest blade of grass on the conservative lawn. The tallest blade of grass is the one that gets mowed first. Forewarned, forearmed as they say.
Mittens got the same 25 percent he got last time. He only won by the grand total of 14 votes. The Tea party showed up for Santorum, Bachmann, and to some extent Perry.
Iowa means nothing. Never has. A lot of hoo-ha over nothing.
Check out President Huckabee for confirmation...
>>...Mitt Romney is going to be the Nominee...<<
Maybe so, maybe not. I think you are counting your chicks before they are all hatched.
There is a valid, justified sense of desperation for us to overcome Obama and perhaps we are anxious to see a single candidate dominate the competition.
The problem is none of these jokers has the capability of dominating *ANYTHING* other than the “hired-yes-men” they surround themselves with - and I’m not %100 sure about that in all cases.
Regardless, I am ever hopeful that whoever wins the primary mud-slinging match will ultimately win over Obama. Obama needs to go and I think the majority of the country recognizes that, however slight.
I think the whole shebang from primary to general is going to be a nail-biter. So you better put your gloves on now if you want any fingers left when it’s all over.
Your right we split the Vote 4 ways and the ASS Romney won,that is what you are looking at unless the Conservatives get behind one conservative candidate and I dont see that happening,Newt ,Santorum,Bachman and Paul tsking votes Romney gets by and we are stuck with the Marxist because Obama Lite, Romney, will get Slaughtered
I believe events will raise their ugly heads—War in the middle east, storms, hurricanes, Riots, Problems with China—all these factors+ Terrorism will change the dynamic. These are strange times. One more failure by Obama (and he has quite a list so far) will push him over the cliff.
Look to see 3rd and 4th Parties arise from the right and left. Look to see scandals hit both parties and take out more Congress Critters. The biggest problem I see is Inflation—Wait for the Five dollar Big Mac, and the six dollar a gallon gas. Obama will try his hardest to pump things up but he has no leadership skills. Predictions:
1. Hillary will leave State (to run as VP—or?) 2. Look to see what Trump does in May. 3. What will Ron Paul do?
I think all the above is quite true, but it IS important to recognize how ABSURD it is.
The media, and advocates, have developed a collusion around deciding "the winner", or just "the frontrunner", BEFORE THE VOTING.
It is characteristic of our failed system of government that almost no one can tolerate HEARING THE CANDIDATES, DURING A CAMPAIGN, and then WAITING FOR THE VOTING.
It is understandable that politicians find elections intolerable, but their intolerance has now been taken up by the entertainment-media complex and by most of us.
How many FR threads have been about who is "in", who is "finished", etc, etc.
This behavior, of course, gives the controllers of information ENORMOUS, UNWARRANTED power.
Of course Romney is going to lose to Obama.
That's the whole point of Romney. The question is, why would anyone make him the nominee until he wins the delegates?
On the answer to that question rides the future of America's system of government.
So not true.
With less than 1% of the US population Iowa has never been a true gauge of anything - it's merley a place to start.
Let's see how many true "Tea Party" people supported Mittens, or could even make it to Iowa - 'nary a one.
When I see or hear that the “establishment” has co-opted the Tea Party I think of it as someone who has just dug up one spadeful of prairie grass and they claim they own the prairie.
I think you are ascribing a bit too much power to the media. They've lost their ability to persuade with "narratives". These are Republican primaries. Republicans don't pay attention to the media. This was a statistical tie, and cannot be declared a victory for Romney. If I were in his camp, I'd consider this a defeat.
More than fifty percent of the vote went to candidates the tea party would find acceptable.
Gingrich has good numbers in both Florida and South Carolina. Neither Iowa nor New Hampshire are suffering economically like the rest of the country. For those who have said Iowa and NH are irrelevant, they may have something.
This thing is perhaps over for Bachman and Perry, but not Gingrich and maybe even Santorum, IMHO.
The media shilled for every Democrat in the 2010 elections, and look what happened.
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