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Iowa Caucuses Only Relevant For Their Near-Total Irrelevance
Reaganite Republican ^ | January 4, 2012 | Reaganite Republican

Posted on 01/04/2012 7:16:03 AM PST by Reaganite Republican

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To: Reaganite Republican

I’ll take that bet.


21 posted on 01/04/2012 7:41:25 AM PST by Cringing Negativism Network (ROMNEY / ALINSKY 2012 (sarcasm))
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To: Reaganite Republican
Jim Rob should impose a six month posting ban all Iowan freepers. lolol
22 posted on 01/04/2012 7:41:41 AM PST by verity (The Obama Administration is a Criminal Enterprise.)
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To: Reaganite Republican

In the age of the Internet, throw out all of the old conventional wisdom.

The media might have been able to squelch the Iowa results from the masses, with the Internet, that’s not possible.

Santorum’s campaign will skyrocket because of Iowa.


23 posted on 01/04/2012 7:44:48 AM PST by dfwgator
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To: ngat
If they do, will they endorse? Reports on morning shows say McCain is going to endorse Mittens today. We shall see.

McCain's endorsement isn't going to mean much. Anyone who actually liked McCain would be voting for Romney already. As for Bachman and Perry their people have already made one decision, they aren't voting for Romney. Now they may go Gingrich or Santorum or split up. But I don't see anyone who stuck with Bachman this long suddenly becoming a Romneybot.
24 posted on 01/04/2012 7:45:18 AM PST by GonzoGOP (There are millions of paranoid people in the world and they are all out to get me.)
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To: verity

verity
Since Jul 26, 1998
verity hasn’t created an about page.

verity, an unknown COWARD since 1998

So WHY don’t you post SOMETHING about yourself??!!


25 posted on 01/04/2012 7:47:33 AM PST by US Navy Vet (Go Packers! Go Rockies! Go Boston Bruins! See, I'm "Diverse"!)
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To: US Navy Vet

lol


26 posted on 01/04/2012 7:52:55 AM PST by verity (The Obama Administration is a Criminal Enterprise.)
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To: Reaganite Republican
" Romney appears to be pulling into the lead with a late surge"

What was the deal with that anyway?

When I shut down the TV someone had lost the official tally but local officials had "agreed" that Romney had the most votes..?

27 posted on 01/04/2012 8:01:33 AM PST by norton
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To: pulaskibush

“Is there is a reason to trust a pundit claiming a candidate is “finished” after this “surprise”?”

It’s not a matter of “trusting” Pundit Reaganite Republican; its just deciding if his political analysis is sound or not. The point of his analysis seemed to be the media has it all wrong and the momentum factor out of Iowa is negligible and does not lead to a Santorum victory as the eventual nominee. You said the following yourself: Santorum and Romney 25% (each). Since Santorum is the only one Romney and the media have not applied scorched earth campaign tactics onto - it looks to me like we have a Romney-Santorum ticket to look forward to. What could be more establishment than a team of two northeastern Lawyer-MBAs?

“Are we to trust these pundits who claim that Gingrich will sweep the South or that Santorum’s rise was only one time?”

Well, if Reaganite Republican was right that the Iowa caucus results involving four one-hundredths of 1% of voters and Iowa and New Hampsire delegate results for Romney would be a total of TWELVE delegates of 1,144 needed for nomination - perhaps he has made some very valid points. I don’t think voters in the remaining states are impressed with Iowa OR New Hampshire. Jim Robinson had a thread going yesterday regarding Gingrich and the long haul in this 2012 primary process that had a lot of excellent analysis in it.


28 posted on 01/04/2012 8:08:30 AM PST by ngat
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To: verity

Diner owners,Motel 6’s and TV stations stock up before they
begin their four year hibernation.


29 posted on 01/04/2012 8:14:27 AM PST by Dr. Ursus
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To: ngat

NDAA McCain will endorse Romney. Thank God McCain has his finger on the pulse of America.


30 posted on 01/04/2012 8:18:07 AM PST by qman
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To: qman

I’m never going to vote for santorum, but I wanted to see how he’s doing today in campaign donations, not knowing his web address I tried googling him and his web site is un-searchable, all I get is web sites professing his views on homosexuality, that seems like it might be a problem!


31 posted on 01/04/2012 8:23:45 AM PST by qman
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To: GonzoGOP

“But I don’t see anyone who stuck with Bachman this long suddenly becoming a Romneybot.”

What if Bachmann becomes, or IS a Romneybot? I’ve seen a whole slew of posts saying Bachmann’s run is really aimed at the vice-presidency and she was being a Romney surrogate in her over-the-top attacks on her rival conservatives.


32 posted on 01/04/2012 8:36:10 AM PST by ngat
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To: ngat
What if Bachmann becomes, or IS a Romneybot?

Well that is one more vote Romney will get, but the problem is that it would be very hard to sell Romney to a Bachman voter. Even if she endorses Romney. If it had only been a choice between Gingrich or Romney the endorsement would have mattered, as moral conservatives don't feel comfortable with either. But Santorum is such a perfect fit my gut tells me he will pick up the bulk of her voters no matter who she endorses.
33 posted on 01/04/2012 8:42:24 AM PST by GonzoGOP (There are millions of paranoid people in the world and they are all out to get me.)
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To: BenKenobi

>>“He may even be wise to abandon NH to concentrate on more-friendly environs of SC and Florida.”<<

“Why? If he finishes second, he gains even more delegates on Newt.

Because the actual number of delegates available to him in New Hampshire is miniscule - and if Santorum is trying to eclipse Gingrich as the conservative alternative to Romney, he has to stop Gingrich from assuming that role in the South.

“So far it’s Santorum 1, Newt 0.”

Not exactly. If you are focused on delegate counts, in proportional representation states, Gingrich does not get “0”.

“Doesn’t matter what the national polls say, it’s all up to the individual states.”

Yes, and these polls broken down by the individual upcoming states, post-New Hampshire, indicate Gingrich having a better chance to take these states than Santorum.


34 posted on 01/04/2012 8:48:07 AM PST by ngat
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To: GonzoGOP

Good thoughts, especially now that I’m seeing on the sidebar she dropped out. And Perry going on to SC!? On TV they were saying it was Perry who was about to go home. I guess Perry thinks those Bachmann votes are his, not Santorums’!


35 posted on 01/04/2012 8:55:07 AM PST by ngat
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To: VanDeKoik; Reaganite Republican; bigbob
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2828546/posts

Makes me think of two guys in a race, one wins and the other disgruntled says:
.." it didn't mean a thing, as I hurt my foot on the down-slope, so I gave up the win...I didn't TRY to win..I have to be careful; as I have a big race coming up soon!"

I can truthfully say I “am undecided”, but Iowa made a difference to me in leaning toward a candidate who I have watched and admired over the years— hard working, beat the payment-meet the people, principled guy, Santorum, and hope he gets more media attention and picking up votes in “the BIG states that matter” that people tout about.

I gained further respect for the guy. Deserves a toast for his performance against a guy who probably owned the vineyard.

Everyone likes the underdog—without big money, or flashy big ads to easily see one through.

The MSM, all the political pundits were all out for Iowa, and moving on to NH, SC;

so must have meant something to someone, somewhere!

36 posted on 01/04/2012 8:59:03 AM PST by fight_truth_decay
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To: Dr. Ursus

Perspicacious..;-)


37 posted on 01/04/2012 10:35:34 AM PST by verity (The Obama Administration is a Criminal Enterprise.)
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