"Having the Goods" on Obama is meaningless until 1 person in authority gets the cue and does something, such as removing him from the ballot within that person's constitutional jurisdiction.
It hinges and has always hinged on Obama’s popularity. The more his polls slip the more and bolder become the challenges. His polls slipped again recently, and gas prices and unemployment—built-in features of Obamanomics—will assure the slide continues. All that remains to be seen is the magic number. I.e.: how low do his numbers have to get before a full scale assault, aided and abetted by terrified Dems, ensues?
We will almost certainly find out prior to Nov.