Before you get too encouraged, you Freepers need know that the graveyards and prisons are full of voters who weren't included in this poll!
If dead people weren’t polled, then this poll is worthless.
There is still “hope”.
I’m pretty sure Obama will carry the cemeteries by a huge margin.
Wow, if Obama is only around 50% in Chicago, IL very well could fall. If this poll is accurate, you are going to see all sorts of other states fall.
IL and MN are the only 2 rust belt states I think Obama has a chance of holding without a major fight. I believe he has ZERO chance of winning IA, IN, WI, and OH, and that MI and PA are very likely to turn as well, best Obama can hope for in MI and PA is a squeaker win IF He fights hard for them.. They truly are in Play and if Romney wants them and is willing to fight for them, he can get them too.
IL and MN are the only rust belt states I think he has a prayer of holding by any margin. If Obama is truly polling at 50% or so in Cook County, that pretty much means, while he may manage to hold IL, that means many other states that should be blue will fall.. Nothing is safe for him. Many New England states will turn beyond NH if this polling is remotely true.
Won’t get too excited over 1 poll, but this poll basically re-affirms my statements and belief that the RUST BELT is dead to Obama. PA and MI are the battleground there, and IL and MN are the only ones remotely safe for him, no other state will remotely go for Obama this time around.
Idk if it will happen in IL but I think we have a landslide in the making.
One June 24, 2012 I said: “I believe Obama could lose any state in the nation. His level of corruption, Marxism, incompetence, lying, failure, attacks on liberty and the general damage he has done to the nation is going to bring him a huge defeat in November.”
I still believe it today.
My brother-in-law and sister-in-law visited us over the weekend. They are both ultra liberals from Chicago. They told us that they and their daughter would be voting for Romney because “Obama has been an unmitigated disaster who couldn’t run a lemonade stand”. What shocked us the most was they had good things to say about Sarah Palin.
The terribly irony is that there are about as many people in Chicago proper as the rest of Illinois. So you got to win DeKalb, LaSalle, Kendall, Grundy, Kankakee, etc. by enough margin to offset whatever diff between Chicago vs. (real) Illinois.
Vote fraud is a precise science in Crook County.....and who better to implement it than Emanuel, the ballerina tutu-of-all-tutus, charged with carrying out Obama's re-election plans in the best Capone/Daley tradition.
Since the Cubs never win anything, anymore, Chicagoans will take great comfort and pride in a Mayor Emanuel victory and will flood the Irish bars afterwards to raucously celebrate.
Utter nonsense. He’s a lock in Illinois.
And some of the "likely voters" are even alive.
I don’t buy it, as of today.
2004 kerry won only 15 counties and won the state by a huge margin.
Obama won 45 counties and won by a huger(huger?) margin.
There were approx. 247k more voters in 2008 than 2004....approximately the difference between the kerry\Bush totals and Obam-Biden in cook county.(mostly chicago)
If Obama only gets what kerry got in 2004, he still carries illinois by a landslide.
So, the question is, will blacks from cook county(chicago) stay away from the polls ? I don’t think so.
I think Obama will probably win Illinois, but it won’t be anywhere near the blowout it was last time. Last time, he won in counties that NEVER go Democratic (e.g. McLean). Part of it was the home-state factor, and no doubt part of it was people who got caught up in the “magic.” The bloom is off the rose now. Republicans ran very strongly in 2010, especially in congressional races. Gov. Quinn barely won, carrying only Chicago/Cook County, and St. Clair and Alexander Counties. Interestly, he squeaked by in St. Clair, usually a Democratic stronghold. He lost Madison County, usually reliable for Democrats. Sen. Mark Kirk beat Alexi Giannoulias who, even though he carried the same areas Quinn did, lost bigger in some other places.
Sure, Obama gets the electoral votes in a blowout or a close race. But as a Republican in Chicago, I’ve learned to live by having lower expectations. To see Obama squeak by here would be only marginally less-satisfying than seeing him lose.
While I think there is practically no chance for Romney to win Illinois this year. He is the type of Repub that could when office statewide in Illinois. If he was running for Governor of Illinois Romney could win but President this year. Sorry...