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2 charts that show the very heart of the U.S. economy is in trouble
AEIdeas ^
| September 19, 2012
| James Pethokoukis
Posted on 09/19/2012 5:35:24 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
(GRAPH AT LINK)
Entrepreneurs and the innovation they generate are the beating heart of the U.S. economy. Or at least they have been in the past.
But the heart of Americas economy isnt doing so well these days. In fact, the sorry state of Startup Nation is just another example of how the supposed recovery is anything but.
(GRAPH AT LINK)
This is all outlined a new report by economist Tim Kane of the Hudson Institute:
The state of entrepreneurship in the United States is, sadly, weaker than ever. There are fewer new firms being formed today than two years ago when the recession ended. As the BLS described quarterly entrepreneurship figures, New establishments are not being formed at the same levels seen before the economic downturn began, and the number is much lower than it was during the 2001 recession.
But the startup jobs rate has collapsed in recent years. In fact, the rate of startup jobs during 2010 and 2011, years that were technically in full recovery, are the lowest on record.
So why is entrepreneurship still declining in the United States?
While this report documents a disturbing weakness in startup job creation, it does not explain the cause of decline. There is anecdotal evidence that the U.S. policy environment has become inadvertently hostile to entrepreneurial employment.
1. At the federal level, high taxes and higher uncertainty about taxes are undoubtedly inhibiting entrepreneurship, but to what degree is unknown.
2. The dominant factor may be new regulations on labor. The passage of the Affordable Care Act is creating a sweeping alteration of the regulatory environment that directly changes how employers engage their workforces, and it will be some time until those changes are understood by employers or scholars.
3. Separately, there has been a federal crackdown since 2009 by the Internal Revenue Service on U.S. employers that hire U.S. workers as independent contractors rather than employees, raising the question of mandatory benefits. New firms tend to use part-time and contract staffing rather than full-time employees during the startup stage. According to Labor Department data, the typical American today only takes home 70 percent of compensation as pay, while the rest is absorbed by the spiraling cost of benefits (e.g., health insurance). The dilemma for U.S. policy is that an American entrepreneur has zero tax or regulatory burden when hiring a consultant/contractor who resides abroad. But that same employer is subject to paperwork, taxation, and possible IRS harassment if employing U.S.-based contractors.
4. Finally, there has been a steady barrier erected to entrepreneurs at the local policy level. Brink Lindsey points out in his book Human Capitalism that the rise of occupational licensing is destroying startup opportunities for poor and middle class Americans. The quantitative impact of the shifting policies on startup jobs is in need of further study. There is a widespread sense that globalization of the economy exposes companies to new challenges by leveling the playing field for trade. There is no doubt a level playing field among economic institutions as well, where service-based employment can move quickly from one jurisdiction to another. By cracking down on employing Americans part-time, and mandating higher benefits, new American policies may be pushing jobs overseas. This is an issue policymakers must consider carefully when designing rules and regulations for the 21st-century economy
TOPICS: Business/Economy; Government; Politics; Society
KEYWORDS: economy; employment; entrepreneurs; obama; unemployment
To: 2ndDivisionVet
ON CNBC today they said the good economic indicators will get Obama reelected.
Jay Carney- “Repeat after me, the economy is good...the economy is good. That is all.”
2
posted on
09/19/2012 5:57:20 PM PDT
by
griswold3
(Big Government does not tolerate rivals.)
To: 2ndDivisionVet
Entrepreneurs and the innovation they generate are the beating heart of the U.S. economy. Or at least they have been in the past.
But the heart of Americas economy isnt doing so well these days. In fact, the sorry state of Startup Nation is just another example of how the supposed recovery is anything but.
3
posted on
09/19/2012 6:01:33 PM PDT
by
Son House
(The Economic Boom Heard Around The World => TEA Party 2012)
To: 2ndDivisionVet
In at least many very sparsely populated rural areas, there are county ordinances (sometimes even called laws) against starting new, small manufacturing shops and other regulations that are minefields against using one’s own property or building anything. There are regulations against doing auto repairs. Wild moves to hike property taxes are becoming more common, some with no reason at all. Some states and counties are also using allegations from unfriendly neighbors to shut down small farms and ranches. In some areas, most traffic is comprised by those looking for robberies through regulatory violations.
Now why would I want to vote for any politician who supports that, and who could force me to do so? And why would I want to “buy local” in such a place? Thus, the stubbornness of the peasants in contemporary politics.
Let the slide continue. Let’s see what comes out of it. Let’s watch the rest of the big cat fight between the bureaucrats and the welfare recipients for the shrinking pile of debt.
4
posted on
09/19/2012 6:03:06 PM PDT
by
familyop
("Wanna cigarette? You're never too young to start." --Deacon, "Waterworld")
To: 2ndDivisionVet
I had two start ups in the Bush years. In both, we hired. Now, I have one in the Obama years and only working with people on contract. Employees are too expensive, I get what I need from a few people at a fraction of the cost. Making the same money personally, but scaled back on overall revenue and expense.
5
posted on
09/19/2012 6:20:27 PM PDT
by
ilgipper
To: 2ndDivisionVet
5. Many startups have traditionally gotten their funding by tapping home equity. That has not been a very viable source of capital with housing prices only now starting to recover.
6
posted on
09/19/2012 6:25:56 PM PDT
by
nc28205
To: 2ndDivisionVet
Welcome to the new and more “fair” economic world of government driven recoveries and a near command driven economy with many fake markets that without government stimuli on a perpetual bases would go under.
This election will tell all. It's a vote by the American people between big government that promises free stuff and security on one hand, and freedom that carries with it the the opportunity to succeed and fail.
Government stimuli doesn't work well: Too slow to react, low multiplicative affect and dis-attached from any true supply and demand concepts. Governments don't think in terms of risk or ROI like private industry. Corruption is literally how a government works and resources are allocated based on many factors except ROI and risk. Governments are great at creating whole new markets in paper recycling, solar power or public transit, which then for eternity become economic dead weight around the economies ankles, where productive and viable businesses are taxed to the brink of extinction to keep the dead weight alive, i.e. AMRTRAC, every single city public transit system in the US, most recycling programs...
7
posted on
09/19/2012 6:53:07 PM PDT
by
Red6
To: 2ndDivisionVet
I think the basic premise of this article is incorrect, though it's understandable that they'd make this mistake based on the data available.
I suspect there are plenty of "start-up" businesses these days, though many of them (maybe most of them) are operating in a "black market" outside the scrutiny of the law and the IRS. Heck -- when you think about it, the guy who runs a meth lab in his trailer down the road is probably one of the most entrepreneurial people you'll ever meet.
8
posted on
09/19/2012 7:10:28 PM PDT
by
Alberta's Child
("If you touch my junk, I'm gonna have you arrested.")
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