[DeprogramLiberalism]

For context, this post was created the day before the first presidential debate. The updates have been added progressively up to today, October 30.

[Paladin2]

"a “shellacking”"

Hopefully this will be more like a beautiful, watertight varnishing.

[I see my hands]

"just spell it all out how this won’t translate into another shellacking?"

This won't translate into another shellacking because we live in a totalitarian dictatorship/police state. Those who oppose a totalitarian dictator (or his police) do not get their way. They shellack no one.

[cherry]

a newbie and possibly a ramble rouser...welcome....nice to add your insights 6 days before the election...

[Vendome]

Welcome to FR nOOb...

[UCANSEE2]

Good job of putting together some links and facts to support your opinion.

[meadsjn]

Thanks for the links. I think you're being far too pessimistic, but then most people here think I've pulled my predictions off a crashed space alien .

I've been predicting for months, since before the conventions, that Obama would lose by 59% to 39% popular vote, and take 140 or less electoral votes.

Fat chance, everyone says. That 47% of government dependent people won't give up the freebies, they say.

There are some numerical clues, and some not so numerical, that I strongly believe support the tsunami prediction.

Obama took Independents by +8 points in 2008; Romney now gets the Independents by +14 (probably much more). That's at least a 22-point shift to the (R) for a full third of the voting populace from 2008.

Story after story supports my contention that the 2008 turnout among black voters is NOT going to happen again. Some predict levels like 2004 or 2000, and of those who turn out, Obama will NOT be getting 96% like in 2008. For instance, in NC Obama is getting less than 80% of the black vote. That alone spells a Democrat apocalypse. He had to pay people to come to his stupid convention, and then he had to bus them in from SC, then Atlanta, then Pluto, just to fill a down-sized event.

There's more, but I believe the midwest coal and rust-belt states are going to fall to Romney like a domino train.

[cashless]

It only becomes a shellacking if everyone does not assume a Romney win and remembers that we are voting against Obamalamadingdong and not for a third party that has a snowflake's chance in hell of winning, but will absolutely dilute the Romney vote. No need to send me nasty replies. I am a conservative which makes me according to DemocRats and Libertarians as a racist, sexist, bigot, homophobe, Muslim hater. Oh yeah, I'm also a Southern redneck which pretty much makes me hopeless. At least that what the people at the church tell me. Have a nice day, y'all.

[DeprogramLiberalism]

I have added another update to the blog post.

Update 8: Turns out that the Romney lead in early voters in the last update may be more important than just the numbers. It seems base Democrats are voting early more so than base Republicans, leaving it more likely of a larger election day turnout for Republicans. (I have to admit though, that this one is a bit iffy to me.)
Some see GOP voting tsunami coming
Anyway, even if this doesn’t work out, how will everything else not translate into another “shellacking”?

[DeprogramLiberalism]

Update of Update 7: Pew confirms Gallup: Pew: Obama’s Early Vote Average Collapses 26-Points Over 2008