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Why the Web Won't Be Nirvana (From 1995)
Newsweek ^ | 02/26/1995 | By Clifford Stoll

Posted on 12/19/2013 2:07:31 PM PST by Responsibility2nd

~snip~

Consider today's online world. The Usenet, a worldwide bulletin board, allows anyone to post messages across the nation. Your word gets out, leapfrogging editors and publishers. Every voice can be heard cheaply and instantly. The result? Every voice is heard. The cacophany more closely resembles citizens band radio, complete with handles, harrasment, and anonymous threats. When most everyone shouts, few listen. How about electronic publishing? Try reading a book on disc. At best, it's an unpleasant chore: the myopic glow of a clunky computer replaces the friendly pages of a book. And you can't tote that laptop to the beach. Yet Nicholas Negroponte, director of the MIT Media Lab, predicts that we'll soon buy books and newspapers straight over the Intenet. Uh, sure.

~snip~

Then there's cyberbusiness. We're promised instant catalog shopping—just point and click for great deals. We'll order airline tickets over the network, make restaurant reservations and negotiate sales contracts. Stores will become obselete. So how come my local mall does more business in an afternoon than the entire Internet handles in a month? Even if there were a trustworthy way to send money over the Internet—which there isn't—the network is missing a most essential ingredient of capitalism: salespeople.

~snip~

What's missing from this electronic wonderland? Human contact. Discount the fawning techno-burble about virtual communities. Computers and networks isolate us from one another. A network chat line is a limp substitute for meeting friends over coffee. No interactive multimedia display comes close to the excitement of a live concert. And who'd prefer cybersex to the real thing?

(Excerpt) Read more at newsweek.com ...


TOPICS: Chit/Chat; Computers/Internet
KEYWORDS: 1995; internet; newsweek; usenet
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From 1995.

Wrong, wrong and more wrong.

1 posted on 12/19/2013 2:07:31 PM PST by Responsibility2nd
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To: Responsibility2nd

Newsweek wrong? Again? Say it isn’t so!!


2 posted on 12/19/2013 2:11:39 PM PST by MeganC (Support Matt Bevin to oust Mitch McConnell! https://mattbevin.com/)
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To: Responsibility2nd

“Heavier-than-air flying machines are impossible.” - Lord Kelvin, president, Royal Society, 1895. Seventy four years later we were on the moon.


3 posted on 12/19/2013 2:11:50 PM PST by SkyDancer (Live your life in such a way that the Westboro church will want to picket your funeral.)
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To: Responsibility2nd
"Radio has no future. Heavier-than-air flying machines are impossible. X-rays will prove to be a hoax." -- William Thomson, Lord Kelvin, British scientist, 1899.

I'm very careful about technology predictions. Really smart people have been getting it really wrong for a long time.

/johnny

4 posted on 12/19/2013 2:12:42 PM PST by JRandomFreeper (Gone Galt)
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To: SkyDancer
Beat me by mere seconds.

/johnny

5 posted on 12/19/2013 2:13:06 PM PST by JRandomFreeper (Gone Galt)
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To: JRandomFreeper

Hee Hee!


6 posted on 12/19/2013 2:13:36 PM PST by SkyDancer (Live your life in such a way that the Westboro church will want to picket your funeral.)
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To: Responsibility2nd

I have what would be multiple bookcases of books in my Kindle. It is great. People can now self-publish in e-book format with Amazon.


7 posted on 12/19/2013 2:13:37 PM PST by EEGator
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To: JRandomFreeper

“Who the hell wants to hear actors talk?” — H. M. Warner, Warner Brothers, 1927.


8 posted on 12/19/2013 2:14:40 PM PST by SkyDancer (Live your life in such a way that the Westboro church will want to picket your funeral.)
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To: Responsibility2nd

I’m guessing he got to the 8th grade, looked back on what he wrote in the 3rd grade and feels pretty silly now.


9 posted on 12/19/2013 2:15:01 PM PST by Vendome (Don't take life so seriously-you won't live through it anyway-Enjoy Yourself ala Louis Prima)
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To: EEGator
Amazon distributes e-books.

There are many publishing programs out there to take text and create e-books. I did it with some technical manuals for a small company.

/johnny

10 posted on 12/19/2013 2:15:59 PM PST by JRandomFreeper (Gone Galt)
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To: Responsibility2nd

The world is stupid and contagious.


11 posted on 12/19/2013 2:17:06 PM PST by RichInOC (No! BAD Rich! (What'd I say?))
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To: JRandomFreeper

Do you have any recommendations on those programs?

I’ve been toying with writing a novel.


12 posted on 12/19/2013 2:18:18 PM PST by EEGator
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To: Vendome
You still see poo-pahing of technology today, even here on FR, you can regularly find freepers making absolute statements about future technology.

/johnny

13 posted on 12/19/2013 2:19:14 PM PST by JRandomFreeper (Gone Galt)
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To: SkyDancer

“Guitar bands have no future.” - Decca executive explaining why he turned down the Beatles.


14 posted on 12/19/2013 2:19:24 PM PST by dfwgator
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To: dfwgator

Here’s a good site: http://rinkworks.com/said/predictions.shtml


15 posted on 12/19/2013 2:20:26 PM PST by SkyDancer (Live your life in such a way that the Westboro church will want to picket your funeral.)
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To: SkyDancer

Given most of what is produced now, I’d be one of those that rather actors be silent.


16 posted on 12/19/2013 2:20:27 PM PST by wally_bert (There are no winners in a game of losers. I'm Tommy Joyce, welcome to the Oriental Lounge.)
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To: Responsibility2nd
I Love Sprint's Homage to all the important things on the internet!


17 posted on 12/19/2013 2:20:28 PM PST by outofsalt (If history teaches us anything it's that history rarely teaches us anything.)
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To: Responsibility2nd

I remember that, people including myself thinking it was going to be like CB radio. Oh my oh my if one could only travel back in time. “Yes, I would like to invest all my money in Yahoo and I have this idea for a website called Facebook and Youtube...”


18 posted on 12/19/2013 2:21:09 PM PST by GrandJediMasterYoda (What do we want? Time travel. When do we want it? It's irrelevant.)
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To: wally_bert

It’s all graphic’s. Actors just do one-liners.


19 posted on 12/19/2013 2:21:36 PM PST by SkyDancer (Live your life in such a way that the Westboro church will want to picket your funeral.)
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To: SkyDancer

Super Bowl XLVIII prediction: Atlanta Falcons-Houston Texans

http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap1000000235499/article/super-bowl-xlviii-prediction-atlanta-falconshouston-texans


20 posted on 12/19/2013 2:21:54 PM PST by dfwgator
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