Posted on 10/23/2016 1:13:24 PM PDT by ameribbean expat
UPDATED, 10/23/16, 1 PM
I now have the district totals for the first day of early voting and the down-ballot numbers also are awful for the GOP. It is early but:
CD3: Registration is 37-35, Democratic. First day: 3,000 raw-vote lead for Democrats. 47 percent, Democratic; 34 percent, Republican. So Democrats were 10 percent above registration and Republicans 1 point below. Bad omen for Danny Tarkanian and good for Jacky Rosen? We’ll see.
CD4: Registration is 44-29, Democratic, in Clark part of district, which is four-fifths plus of the vote. First day: 4,000 raw-vote lead. 53 percent, Democratic; 29 percent, Republican. So Democrats were 9 percent above registration and Republicans right at theirs. Not like 2014 for Rep. Cresent Hardy, and the first good news for state Sen. Ruben Kihuen in a long time.
SD5 (Woodhouse): Registration is 39-34, Democrats. First day: Nearly 800 raw-vote lead; 50 percent, Democrats; 32 percent, Republicans. What a first-day disaster for the GOP. Dems plus 11, GOP minus 2. 13 points. The blue wave ran deep on the first day.
SD6 (Seaman-Cannizzaro): Registration is 41-34, Democrats. First day: Nearly 1,000 raw-vote lead. 51 percent, Democratic; 32 percent, Republican. Another potential disaster in the making: D plus 10, R minus 2.
Brief glimpses at four key Assembly districts, all of which had terrible first days for the GOP:
AD 9 (Gardner): D+300 votes
AD 21 (Armstrong): D+400 votes
AD 29 (Silberkraus): D+400 votes
AD 35 (Jones): D+400 votes
(Excerpt) Read more at ktnv.com ...
Seemed to be refuted on another thread here.
Either way, we’re gonna wake up on the 9th and deal with what we have to.
I dont know what anybody wants anyone else to say.
No one can guarantee victory or defeat.
It is what it is and we shall see on the 8th.
No reference to Independents? It seems there have been a lot of Republicans switching Indie. In North Carolina, Republican voting was down 7 percent, but Independents were up 28 percent. Democrats were down 11 percent.
I’m sure they Eyores will be out moaning soon
It's a blog. Zero credibility. A ratty little blog.
Exactly. First day, it’s a Sunday and only one group does the “go to church then go bto the polls” stuff. Republicans are more absentee ballot types than early voting in person.
wait, what ? This is not the we’re all gunna die thread ?
THANKS for this! We are trusting, hoping that Mr Trump carries NV!
One thing, is there any way of following the voting on the Nevada ‘gun control’ proposition (financed by Bloomberg! whatever gives him the idea he should throw his money around trying to take away the Constitutionally-recognized liberties of Americans, especially in states outside his own? He runs a pretty good radio station but he’s sure misguided... and arrogant as Hell!))
Of more importance would be a comparison to 2012.
I assume votes are not being counted yet right, this is simply ballots returned and party affiliation?
On that assumption, not worried a bit... an engineer I work for went for an inspection yesterday and started talking to the 80 year old home owner... she said her family originates from NE, she came here from Pennsylvania, but her entire extended family is and has been registered democrats her whole life, there is 39 of them all voting Trump this year she told him.
Jon Ralston writes that blog, which explains the breathless hyperbole. He’s a total lefty.
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