Free Republic
Browse · Search
Bloggers & Personal
Topics · Post Article

The margin of error is 2.19%. Is this what Hillary had in mind?
1 posted on 10/25/2016 2:57:43 PM PDT by GilGil
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies ]


To: GilGil

That’s why Hillary is sending personal and money to Penn.


2 posted on 10/25/2016 2:59:06 PM PDT by conservativepoet
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: GilGil

The undecideds should break for the party out of power....Go Trump!!!


3 posted on 10/25/2016 2:59:19 PM PDT by my small voice (A biased media and an uneducated populace is the biggest thre at to our nation.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: GilGil

Trump has PA in the bag

Question is, will he take New York and New Jersey?

Trump should sweep this


4 posted on 10/25/2016 3:00:12 PM PDT by arl295
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: GilGil

Hillary, “just one second, let me look at my prompter so I know how to respond to that question”


5 posted on 10/25/2016 3:00:41 PM PDT by Rodm
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: GilGil
It's a real numbers game in Pa. There are 1 million more registered Dems. Philly and Pittsburg are the biggies for the Dems...

They have figured out a way to beat the Electoral college by paying attention to the numbers in certain districts.

7 posted on 10/25/2016 3:01:39 PM PDT by Sacajaweau
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: GilGil

What’s up in CO anybody got a bead on that?


8 posted on 10/25/2016 3:01:54 PM PDT by SaintDismas
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: GilGil

If you are a blue collar union man who is supporting Trump and someone calls and asks who you are voting for I bet he says Hillary. However when he does vote it will be for Trump.

This is one thing the polls will miss. No way will he say he is a Trump supporter in public. The union bosses will have his head.


9 posted on 10/25/2016 3:02:48 PM PDT by Parley Baer
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: GilGil

The headline has the date oct 22.. I’m I missing something here?


11 posted on 10/25/2016 3:04:14 PM PDT by RoseofTexas
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: GilGil

This is a big one to watch. Pennsylvania’s been fool’s good for the GOP for the last several cycles, but it’s trending red, and Trump’s message seems to be resonating with a lot of traditional white Democrats in the state. Ohio, Florida and Pennsylvania are enough to put Trump over the top in most scenarios.


12 posted on 10/25/2016 3:04:51 PM PDT by Behind the Blue Wall
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: GilGil

He needs to hit Bucks and Montgomery county hard. The middle of the state, and surprisingly large swaths of the West (formally D) are his.


13 posted on 10/25/2016 3:05:04 PM PDT by JonPreston
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: GilGil

And STILL the Hildabeast can’t get over the 45 percent mark..good news for Trump..no wonder Clinton supposedly pulled out of Florida and is sending everything and ANYTHING to PA..if she had this election in the bag she wouldn’t care what happened in PA


17 posted on 10/25/2016 3:05:52 PM PDT by Sarah Barracuda
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: GilGil

We can win in PA!
we just need to get Every good vote cast for sure,
contact all friends and relations that would vote for us...please

and
DT needs poll watchers to try to cut down on the large illegal and deceased D voting advantage ...especially in Philadelphia!!! Sign up and take the little training class and get thee (if you can) to Poll Watching!

thanks thanks We Can Win PA! There’s tremendous support for Mr Trump, and he’s making it crystal clear, he’s reaching out seriously to black Americans that he is their candidate too!


18 posted on 10/25/2016 3:08:07 PM PDT by faithhopecharity ("Politicians are not born. They're excreted." Marcus Tullius Cicero.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: GilGil
I am concerned he is peaking too early...
25 posted on 10/25/2016 3:12:07 PM PDT by Ken H (Best election ever!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: GilGil

Trump is leading in PA. If Ohio has swung +8 vs 2012 and NV has swumg +8, PA will do much the same and last election was -5.

Look at these internals:

F 54%
M 46%

R 42 D 48 I 10 - only 10% indy???

with these internals, and I didn’t see the college education skew, I think PA is Trump +3 right now.


26 posted on 10/25/2016 3:13:05 PM PDT by rigelkentaurus
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: GilGil

Holy cow, that poll shows 29% of African Americans support Trump... if that plays out on election day in PA... Hillary is toast....

Hillary has lost Erie and Harrisburg and is only up 2 in Pittsburgh... To contrast this, Obama had 56% of support in Pittsburgh in 2012... Hillary according to this poll has 45%. O had Erie by almost 58%.. Hillary is actually losing Erie by 9 points 50 to 41...

56 out of PHilly was enough for O, but he had leads in these other areas to help him... She doesn’t, shes well behind O in most the other areas... Trump is 10 points below Romney in Philly, but with 8% undecided there, I expect he’ll likely be close to even to Romney in that area on election day.. maybe a few points down, but not 20.

Hillary doesn’t have it... if this poll is right, the numbers aren’t there for her... She can’t lose Erie, Harrsiburg, and only be up 2 in Pitt, and even in Philly and expect to win... Trump is going to majorly overperform Romney across the state, and Hillary is at least looking at ~200k fewer votes just from a quick run at the big numbers.. easily another 100-200k less when the smaller areas are done.

The numbers are not there for her, if this poll is anywhere close to right.. Hillary is losing PA pretty solidly.

These numbers if accurate pretty much validate my belief... she is up big in Philly, but 56% support in the Philly region is NOT going to be enough for her to carry the state...


27 posted on 10/25/2016 3:13:33 PM PDT by HamiltonJay
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: GilGil

I’m sorry but I do not believe this poll. This sounds like a fraudulent poll aimed to get Trump to spend his time and resources there.

Should be concentrating on Ohio and Florida.


36 posted on 10/25/2016 3:23:06 PM PDT by zwerni (this isn't gonna be good for business)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: GilGil
By race:

Black: 29% Trump!!!
Hispanic: 30% Trump!!!

41 posted on 10/25/2016 3:28:53 PM PDT by Michael.SF. (She calls me Mr. Deplorable.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: GilGil

Just like the employment rate holding steady @5% or obamas positives at 55%, both numbers, if true, guarantee a win at the ballot box.


43 posted on 10/25/2016 3:32:18 PM PDT by InvisibleChurch (https://thepurginglutheran.wordpress.com)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: GilGil
OMG...the Trump Train is acceleration out of the plateau.....heading up to the shining city at the top of the mountain

....meanwhile the Cankles Caboose has slipped back and is descending into the fjord that it was always pining for.

53 posted on 10/25/2016 4:02:00 PM PDT by spokeshave (In the Thatch Weave,..Trump's Wing Man is Truth.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: GilGil

This question has probably been posed before: how does an “undecided voter” qualify as a “likely voter.”

Pollster asks “do you plan on voting in the upcoming presidential election?
Pollee responds “yes.”
Pollster asks “who do you plan on voting for?”
Pollee responds “I don’t know.”

Is that how it works?


55 posted on 10/25/2016 4:10:02 PM PDT by HotKat (Politicians are like diapers; they need to be changed often and for the same reason. Mark Twain)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

Free Republic
Browse · Search
Bloggers & Personal
Topics · Post Article


FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson