Posted on 06/09/2020 3:00:32 PM PDT by PJ-Comix
If you boldly make an incredibly embarrassing prediction that turns out to be horribly wrong, wouldn't you prefer not to make that same mistake again? Most normal people would avoid repeating that error. However, CNN's Chris Cillizza revisited his 2016 electoral prediction and renewed it for 2020.
Amazingly the two predictions have almost identical headlines. The 2016 Cillizza prediction appeared in the October 11, 2016 Washington Post in which he (and Aaron Blake) proclaimed that "The 2016 electoral map is rapidly slipping away from Donald Trump."
After that prediction flopped, instead of putting it to sleep forever, it looks like Cillizza merely recycled it for 2020 at CNN with virtually the same headline: "The electoral map is tilting badly against Donald Trump right now." In fact the two headlines are so similar as to be interchangeable: "The Electoral Map Is Badly/Rapidly Tilting/Slipping Away From Trump."
(Excerpt) Read more at newsbusters.org ...
I would say a Trump wipeout of Biden is almost guaranteed after the Democrats’ behavior this past week. Everyone now knows they are an active threat to the order and security of our country.
The riots, looting and the “defund the police” movement have sealed the victory for President Trump.
This "black lives matter" stuff is STRAIGHT out of Rat Party Headquarters and it's all about November.There can be no doubt about that.
On the flip side it may get even more working class White Democrats to vote for Trump! Biden has already said he wants to reform not disband police departments. That won’t sit well with a good many Black voters who want to see monumental changes to policing in the country. That may also hamper their enthusiasm of voting for Biden if they see it’s all talk and more of the same inaction by Democrat politicians. A lot of things are going to happen between now and November 3rd, but I say these riots hurt the Democrats more than they will admit to.
Blacks represented 13% of the actual voters in 2008 and 2012, and 12% in 2016. It was hardly a dramatic decline.
I predict the orange man will replace 4 supreme court jourists next term
Cillizza is worse than a broken clock, which at least shows correct time 2 times every day. Cillizza is always wrong.
What RATS do to their inner cities they’ll also do to our economy. Most people know this.
“ This “black lives matter” stuff is STRAIGHT out of Rat Party Headquarters and it’s all about November.There can be no doubt about that. “
Mega Ditto
‘In reality, President Trump is in an excellent position to positively crush Biden in November.’
please share your reasons for thinking so...
AMONG our leftist D friends, PDJT has never been so incredibly popular
why?
not as much for what he’s tried to do for USA, but because of the street gangsters breaking into innocent people’s houses and stores
and all the commie-D political hacks like mayors of Minneapolis, NYC, SF, LA, San Jose, etc kissing the criminals’ butts
Plus, when Pelousi and her cabal in Congress took the knee” the other days, our far-leftist friends said “F*** them all, we will NEVER EVER vote for them again!”
our leftist friends are still leftists, alas! but they won’t vote again for the current crowd of criminal-enablers and gangster-protecting D politicians.
one footnote, since Biden is almost invisible...they haven’t mentioned not voting for him. we think its because they just didn’t remember he exists that they didn’t swear off him
Just for giggles I looked at IA polls (there was an IA poll this week showing Biteme ahead). Lo and behold, Trump was trailing Cankles throughout June & early July in IA.
I also looked at national polls (about 167) Trump v Cankles since late 2015. Trump only led in just over 30.
The BIGGEST Trump advantage was 4 points in one poll.
Cankles was up 14, 14, 13, 12, 11, 10, and a slew of 9s and 8s.
I then looked at PA, OH, and FL.
In OH, the biggest lead any poll had for Trump was 4, meaning it was off by 4.9 points. Trump had a lead in most OH polls, but it was usually 2-3.
In PA, only ONE POLL in the last couple of months had Trump winning. Trafalgar, which didn’t do national polls, had Trump by a couple (margin was .7) so they were off by about a point and a half. NO OTHER POLL had Trump winning in the last month. Most had Cankles up by 3, meaning they were off by almost 4.
In FL, it was roughly even, though once again, every poll that had Trump winning was low (he won by 1.4%), whereas every poll that had Cankles winning was by a large margin. One had her up 14.
Conclusion: All polling organizations could not possibly all be so wrong in the same direction if it was mere incompetence. It was poll bias.
Just a reminder that the Trump 2020 Victory Cruise to the Caribbean will be embarking on December 6 (all cruises to begin sailing this month). And these riots are ensuring there will be a VICTORY cruise.
Yippee! Not sure if we can go yet, depending on the scheduling of a couple medical procedures.
All those you said and everybody with a brain knows he got the economy moving and will again. He kept campaign promises to build the wall. Hasn’t started any new wars. What is Biden gonna do pack his basement as Trump has 30,000+ rally’s day after day.
My only question is - how many dead weight GOPers can he drag across the line. Can he retake the house?
Everything you said is true.
No president has kept his promises like Trump has and against great fightback from Paul Ryan, GOPe, the deep state and what have you.
The House will be tough to take. Lets see how things turn out in the next four and a half months.
But Trump will beat Biden.
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