Posted on 10/11/2022 5:59:24 AM PDT by marktwain
This is a Youtube video expounding an analysis of the implications of the Ukraine war for Russia, out into the future.
The presenter/author, Torsten Heinrich, makes no claim about who will prevail in the current conflict.
He speaks in a rather careful manner, mentioning sources and listing potential contrary views.
He brings up many interesting points about the problems Russia faces going forward, such as alienation of ethnic minorities and the potential breaking of the unspoken social contract in Russia.
While time is a precious commodity, I found the 29:49 minute presentation well worth while.
(Excerpt) Read more at youtube.com ...
Screenshot of Youtube video
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He makes some interesting points I had not considered.
More end of Russia videos. Now I know it is going to be okay and well.
Russia is a relic of a time long past and if they hadn’t stolen nuclear secrets from us would have disintegrated ages ago.
But, the war means the end of Russia!
This is another example of Russian Derangement Syndrome retarding the mind. It makes one blind to reality just like Trump Derangement Syndrome does.
All of this delusional hatred and insanity must end because it is a danger to the citizens of this country,
Anyone believing this propaganda is believing out of pure hatred and not out of logic or reason.
Russia will soon be known as West China.
Update on Russian military operations in Ukraine for October 11, 2022
- Russian missile strikes have spanned 2 days, targeting crucial infrastructure;
- Power, water, and communication is suffering outages; - If strikes continue or outages made permanent, a Russian offensive may be underway;
- If strikes relent, Russia retaliated and is warning of further strikes;
- Ukraine is suffering from dwindling arms and ammunition; - It is not a matter of if Ukraine’s offensive ends and Russia’s begins, it’s a matter of when;
Russia is a relic of a time long past and if they hadn’t stolen nuclear secrets from us would have disintegrated ages ago.
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Of course this begs the question as why the Democratic Republic of the Congo couldn’t just “steal nuclear secrets” in order to prevent the threat of cultural disintegration. Anyway, you’re way too dismissive of Russia’s staying power. They are no where near as racially divided as the US is with a collection of woke idiots race-baiting 24/7.
It appears much of the infrastructure in the area has been destroyed. It will have to be rebuilt.
Russia is far from independence in manufactured products. They will have to rebuilt their advanced military equipment without western tech, or at much higher prices.
Russian profits from the sale of oil and petro-chemical products will be lower in the future, because of much higher shipping costs (if they sell to Asian markets).
They have just lost lots of skilled manpower leaving Russia because of the war.
Maybe Ukrainian Russians can make up for it? Not as certain as you are.
Your views appear very optimistic to me.
They and the subject peoples have been held together, mostly by force.
Rationalize your feelings all you want. How about trying to live in the present and face reality as it is now.
Russia might be the junior Nuclear Superpower but for many years, until recently, our Astronauts were hitching rides into space on their Soyuz spacecraft.
That isn't true outside of Mariupol.
Russia now possessed most of the Black Sea coastline and industry that is built off of it and thousands of acres of what was Ukrainian farmland.
I would say that Russia is MUCH more culturally cohesive than the USA. There is a baseline of common culture that is shared by most 'Rossyane' (Russian citizens, as opposed to Russian ethnically). Any nation/race/ethnic-specific culture exists in addition to the baseline culture.
That is 81% of 141 million, or 114 million Russian speakers, and 27 million non-Russian speakers.
That seems plenty of room for cultural dissonance.
Of course, if the "stans" gravitate away from Russian ties, that hurts Russia as well.
However, I would think that because the Russian language is the official language, and the entire country has mandatory education, I'd think it is more like 99% speak Russian at least as a second language.
You can go to most former Soviet republics (Armenia, Georgia for example) and just speak Russian as a matter of course and people will communicate with you.
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