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THE MYANMAR MILITARY IS FACING DEATH BY A THOUSAND CUTS
War on the Rocks ^ | 11/17/23 | LUCAS MYERS

Posted on 11/22/2023 1:20:36 PM PST by EnderWiggin1970

Events in Myanmar’s renewed civil war took a dramatic turn these past three weeks, reminding us not to forget about the world’s longest running conflict. Just prior to the break of dawn on Oct. 27, 2023, the Three Brotherhood Alliance of the Arakan Army, the Myanmar National Democratic Alliance Army, and the Ta’ang National Liberation Army launched a surprise assault — called Operation 1027 — on junta forces in northern Shan State. Within a couple of weeks, the three ethnic armed organizations have reportedly seized over 150 military outposts and several key towns astride a strategic road to the Chinese border, as well as highways crisscrossing Shan State. With operations continuing to expand, this marks a significant battlefield defeat for the increasingly overstretched military junta.

While the fog of war demands analytical caution, Operation 1027 carries important implications for the future of Myanmar. First, the Myanmar military is increasingly overstretched despite its airpower and artillery advantages. Second, the Three Brotherhood Alliance potentially aligning itself more openly with the pro-democracy movement — at least militarily — highlights the resistance’s determination and coalition-building efforts. Third, China’s turn toward the junta has proven a poor bet. Considered together, the Myanmar military is more vulnerable than at any time in the past half century. Now is the moment for Myanmar’s pro-democracy resistance to push hard and for their international supporters to crank up the pressure on the junta. The resistance should continue to build momentum with operations across the country, while international backers like the United States should increase the tempo of sanctions and redouble their diplomatic efforts to convince the junta that it cannot prevail.

(Excerpt) Read more at warontherocks.com ...


TOPICS:
KEYWORDS: burma; china; military; myanmar
If you want a clear-cut case of a national government behaving badly and needing to be overthrown, the military dictatorship of Myanmar (Burma) would be it. Hope they collapse soon, no thanks to Western governments that virtually ignored it and cries for help for decades.
1 posted on 11/22/2023 1:20:36 PM PST by EnderWiggin1970
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To: EnderWiggin1970

While I have no doubt that Myanmar is run poorly, I think this is just another front of on an undeclared world war.


2 posted on 11/22/2023 1:30:31 PM PST by wildcard_redneck (With the Federal DOJ illegally hounding President Trump he has become the 1st true black president)
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To: EnderWiggin1970

Need to send Rambo.


3 posted on 11/22/2023 1:44:35 PM PST by HYPOCRACY (This is the dystopian future we've been waiting for!)
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To: wildcard_redneck

Poorly? It’s as bad as North Korea. After that last big Typhoon cruised through the Myanmar govt would not allow any foreign organization or govt to send in relief supplies or workers. They kept the borders strictly closed, greatly increasing the death toll.


4 posted on 11/22/2023 2:15:12 PM PST by Seruzawa ("The Political left is the Garden of Eden of incompetence" - Marx the Smarter (Groucho))
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To: wildcard_redneck

“While I have no doubt that Myanmar is run poorly, I think this is just another front of on an undeclared world war.”

That’s my understanding, just another Neocon War.


5 posted on 11/22/2023 2:20:22 PM PST by BobL (Trump gets my vote, even if I have to write him in; Millions of others will do the same)
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To: HYPOCRACY
Actually, we already did.

Here's a friend of mine - the man whom the Rambo movie set in Burma was inspired by:

Planting Rice Under Fire

Here he is in the battle for Mosul, where he killed 6 ISIS while rescuing civilians: Rescuing Demoa

6 posted on 11/22/2023 2:54:08 PM PST by EnderWiggin1970
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To: BobL

No. The war in Burma has been running since 1948. And I would argue that’s a restart of the situation before the British conquered it in the 1820’s, putting an end to the habitual depredations of the most powerful tribe (the Bamar) in the river valley against the weaker hill tribes all around them. It’s just that the hill tribes gained the ability to better defend themselves after independence.


7 posted on 11/22/2023 2:56:37 PM PST by EnderWiggin1970
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To: EnderWiggin1970

God bless them. Thanks.


8 posted on 11/22/2023 3:27:26 PM PST by HYPOCRACY (This is the dystopian future we've been waiting for!)
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To: EnderWiggin1970

Burma used to be quite rich. The biggest exporter of rice, e.g.
Now it is total basket case, thanks to the leftist army forces controlling the government. .


9 posted on 11/22/2023 3:47:16 PM PST by AZJeep
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To: BobL
That’s my understanding, just another Neocon War.

Yep. Not the brutal military dictatorship Not the savage Burman oppression of the other forty odd ethnic groups. The people of Myanmar have no will of their own. Its all the machinations of those dastardly neocons.

/sarcasm

10 posted on 11/22/2023 4:17:51 PM PST by Pilsner
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