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Are we on the brink of a 1970s-style inflationary surge or facing the storm of a hard landing? Only time will tell.
Citizen Watch Report ^

Posted on 12/15/2023 9:39:44 AM PST by davikkm

In a deja vu moment, the Federal Reserve’s swift rate cuts raise unsettling parallels with the inflationary misstep of the 1970s. Back then, premature optimism led to soaring inflation after initial rate reductions. Today, historical cues point to rising unemployment during rate-cut cycles, contradicting the Fed’s sanguine predictions. The specter of a challenging economic future looms large, emphasizing the importance of cautious policy navigation.

(Excerpt) Read more at citizenwatchreport.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy
KEYWORDS: hardlanding; inflation

1 posted on 12/15/2023 9:39:44 AM PST by davikkm
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To: davikkm

Is this a trick question?


2 posted on 12/15/2023 9:41:03 AM PST by goodnesswins ( We pretend to vote and they pretend to count the votes.)
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To: davikkm

Probably too early. We’re still expecting inflation. You’ll cut the rates after people are no longer anticipating inflation.


3 posted on 12/15/2023 9:42:27 AM PST by MinorityRepublican
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To: MinorityRepublican

They’ll cut rates until Trump is back in the WH.


4 posted on 12/15/2023 9:48:12 AM PST by Tell It Right (1st Thessalonians 5:21 -- Put everything to the test, hold fast to that which is true.)
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To: davikkm

$34 Trillion in Fed.gov debt means, very simply, deflation is politically impossible. It will NEVER be allowed to happen

In a hard-money world, deflation would occur (or debt would have never got so high in the first place)

But the Federal Reserve runs a printing press, and they and Fed.gov will use it. They have no choice


5 posted on 12/15/2023 9:49:33 AM PST by PGR88
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To: davikkm

"And THAT is how you wreck a nation's economy."

6 posted on 12/15/2023 9:50:32 AM PST by Frank Drebin (And don't ever let me catch you guys in America!)
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To: davikkm

Watch the treasury bonds. Looks pretty bad.


7 posted on 12/15/2023 9:52:51 AM PST by reasonisfaith (What are the personal implications if the Resurrection of Christ is a true event in history?)
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To: reasonisfaith

Deficits 8% of GDP how does this not lead to inflation


8 posted on 12/15/2023 10:09:31 AM PST by genghis (Cathinkngact only re check ason go after e puthatn 5nu0 inbbiedComlpln)
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To: MinorityRepublican

The rate cut won’t do any good. The inflation is not driven by consumer spending, it’s driven by massive government printing. High interest rates are used to cool off an economy that’s getting too hot. So a repeat of high interest rates of the 70s and 80s won’t do a bit of good. Furthermore, back then we were the worlds creditor nation, now we are the biggest debtor in all of human history… So when the rates go up, the US government has a bad problem. On the other hand, if they don’t cut rates, the already frail economy will do even worse. Real estate is in the tank, car sales are plummeting , the only spending being done is out of fear that the money will be worth 25% less in another year or two. So basically, we’re screwed, they have to cut rates, and that only fuels further inflation. Because all of the inflation is coming from the government printing $1 trillion every hundred days or so.


9 posted on 12/15/2023 10:14:25 AM PST by DesertRhino (Dogs are called man's best friend. Moslems hate dogs. Add it up.)
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To: davikkm

Yes


10 posted on 12/15/2023 10:26:44 AM PST by Thud
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To: davikkm

One thing for certain with the election year upon us is the lying, obfuscation, distortion,distraction, etc. from Washington will be off the charts. We could find ourselves in a depression, major war, and waves of domestic terrorism, but reporting would all be adjusted and sanitized to a more palatable narrative.


11 posted on 12/15/2023 10:34:21 AM PST by Rlsau1
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To: davikkm

Don’t worry, everything will be fine, we won’t run out of money, they can and will just print more...


12 posted on 12/15/2023 10:40:53 AM PST by eyeamok
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To: davikkm

Time to bring out the old WIN buttons!(Whip Inflatin Now)


13 posted on 12/15/2023 10:42:27 AM PST by Ruy Dias de Bivar
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To: davikkm

right now the prices of needed items and services are still SKYROCKETING

everything.

FOOD especially.
restaurants including burger joints too
insurance
rent
car repairs
cough syrup
coffee
gasoline
electricity
gas
water
sewer service
garbage pickup service
taxes
almost everything online including amazon
entertainment
up up up up up


14 posted on 12/15/2023 11:05:01 AM PST by faithhopecharity (“Politicians are not born. They're excreted.” Marcus Tillius Cicero (106 to 43 BCE))
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To: davikkm
Are we on the brink of a 1970s-style inflationary surge or facing the storm of a hard landing? Only time will tell.

"More than any other time in history, mankind stands at a crossroad. One path leads to despair and utter hopelessness. The other, to total extinction. Let us hope that mankind chooses wisely." - Woodie Allen

Regards,

15 posted on 12/15/2023 11:07:04 AM PST by alexander_busek (Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence.)
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To: davikkm

Wonder how much money the feds are pumping in the the markets to keep it alive dead end street sign ahead.


16 posted on 12/15/2023 1:59:46 PM PST by Vaduz (....)
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