Posted on 08/15/2008 1:25:37 PM PDT by NautiNurse
The tropical system currently over Hispanola has been teasing weather watchers for days, as hurricane hunters were unable to locate a surface center of circulation. Meanwhile, the system has looked remarkably like a tropical depression for greater than 24 hours. Local Florida weather forecasters are urging Floridians to keep a close eye on this system.
Updates:
Satellite:
Visible Image Loop
Infrared Image Loop
Water Vapor Image Loop
RGB (Vis/IR combo) Image Loop
Funktop Image Loop
Caribbean Buoys
Western Atlantic Buoys
Florida Buoys
Radar
Puerto Rico
Guantanimo Bay Cuba
Key West
Bahamas
Miami
Florida Loop
| Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
| Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
| Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
| Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
| Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
Nonpareils—with rainbow colors.
Always have been Elle.
I wish I paid more attention to the local races but I tell everyone down here I am the national guy for the Keys not the local.
Looks like we will be in the thick of things Nauti! shite!
Hey TOL, put those shutters up gal,stay safe!
Fay is looking a bit ragged just now. Hope she meets Cuba mountains before she can get her act together again.
Yup, the hubby is getting ready!
Me too!
Thanks for the ping.
Keep up what ou are doing. You have been right-on in the past. I have been through all of the hurricanes that came through S. Fla. since Labor day 1935. Born in miamA 1629 sw 4St., by a doctor that came to the house.
All hurricanes are like 800lbs gorillas; they do what they will. Stay safe..
Euro Model is very interesting for me.....
It keeps TS Fay a TS back it makes an Atlantic landfall into the Jax Merto area’s coastline...
Thank you! Indeed, you have survived some of the worst storms Mother Nature has dished out over the past 7 decades.
Amazing!
‘Round, and ‘round, and ‘round she goes...where Fay makes landfall, nobody knows.
Tropical Storm Public Advisory
Statement as of 2:00 PM EDT on August 16, 2008
...Center of Fay moving westward between Haiti and Cuba...
a Hurricane Watch remains in effect for the Cuban provinces of
Camaguey...Ciego de Avila...and Sancti Spiritus. A Hurricane Watch
means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch
area...generally within 36 hours.
A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for the Cuban provinces
of Camaguey...Las Tunas...Holguin...Granma...Santiago de Cuba...and
guantanmo. A Tropical Storm Warning also remains in effect for the
Turks and Caicos Islands...the southeastern Bahamas...and the
entire coast of Haiti. A Tropical Storm Warning means that
tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area
within the next 24 hours.
A tropical storm watch remains in effect for the central
Bahamas...Jamaica...and the Cayman Islands. A tropical storm watch
means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch
area...generally within 36 hours.
Interests in western Cuba...the Florida Keys...and the Florida
Peninsula should monitor the progress of this system.
For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.
At 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Fay was
located near latitude 19.2 north...longitude 74.9 west or about
50 miles...80 km...south-southeast of Guantanamo Cuba and about
175 miles...280 km...west-northwest of Port au Prince Haiti.
Fay is moving toward the west near 16 mph...26 km/hr. A turn toward
the west-northwest is expected later today...followed by a turn
toward the northwest on Sunday. On this track...the center of Fay
will be near or over the southern coast of eastern and central Cuba
tonight and Sunday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph...75 km/hr...with higher
gusts. Strengthening is forecast during the next couple of
days...and Fay could be near hurricane strength as it approaches
central Cuba on Sunday. An Air Force Reserve hurricane hunter
aircraft is currently enroute to investigate Fay.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 105 miles...165 km
from the center.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb...29.74 inches.
Tides of 1 to 3 feet feet above normal can be expected in the
warning area in areas of onshore flow.
Fay is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 4 to 8
inches over Hispaniola...eastern and central Cuba...Jamaica...and
the northern Cayman Islands...with isolated maximum amounts of 15
inches. These rains could produce life-threatening flash floods
and mud slides.
Repeating the 200 PM EDT position...19.2 N...74.9 W. Movement
toward...west near 16 mph. Maximum sustained winds...45 mph.
Minimum central pressure...1007 mb.
The next advisory will be issued by the National
Hurricane Center at 500 PM EDT.
$$
Forecaster Beven
Beware Charlie II (Charlie’s wife Fay?)
Bump Dat...
Thanks for the ping. Have some friends in Crystal River, so am keeping a close watch.
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