Tropical Storm Fay

NOAA/NHC ^ | 15 August 2008 | NOAA/NHC

[NautiNurse]

The tropical system currently over Hispanola has been teasing weather watchers for days, as hurricane hunters were unable to locate a surface center of circulation. Meanwhile, the system has looked remarkably like a tropical depression for greater than 24 hours. Local Florida weather forecasters are urging Floridians to keep a close eye on this system.

Updates:

Atlantic Tropical Info

Satellite:

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Caribbean Buoys
Western Atlantic Buoys
Florida Buoys

Radar

Puerto Rico
Guantanimo Bay Cuba
Key West
Bahamas
Miami
Florida Loop

Storm Track Models

Category	Wind Speed	Barometric Pressure	Storm Surge	Damage Potential
Tropical Depression	< 39 mph < 34 kts			Minimal
Tropical Storm	39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts			Minimal
Hurricane 1 (Weak)	74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts	28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more	4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m	Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2 (Moderate)	96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts	28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb	6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m	Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3 (Strong)	111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts	27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb	9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m	Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4 (Very strong)	131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts	27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb	13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m	Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5 (Devastating)	Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts	Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb	Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m	Catastrophic building failures possible

[DeaconRed]

Once it hits the warm gulf LOOK OUT.
I have been dealing with hurricanes since hurricane Hugo. Yes I am a old wrinkley white haired guy.
Sometimes they are dead on with predictions and sometimes they are dead wrong. It is hard to predict what a spinnig top will do.

[Elle Bee]

they really work well I wish I had them here on the new house

and we've just now been hit with wind and fairly heavy rain here in Key West

.

[Elle Bee]

on the radar it looks like three storms circling amongst themselves

that strong band which brought the first of rain and wind has come and gone

.

[Elle Bee]

3 products issued by NWS for: Key West FL

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Hurricane Watch

TROPICAL STORM FAY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
633 AM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008

...HURRICANE WATCH ISSUED FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS...

.AT 5 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.3 WEST OR ABOUT 445 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF KEY WEST.

FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. A TURN TO THE
NORTHWEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 HOURS...WITH A TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST EXPECTED BY LATE
MONDAY. FAY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE VERY NEAR THE SOUTH COAST OF CUBA
TODAY...CROSS CENTRAL CUBA OVERNIGHT TONIGHT...AND EMERGE INTO THE
SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO OR THE FLORIDA STRAITS ON MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND FAY COULD BE
APPROACHING HURRICANE STRENGTH WHEN IT REACHES CENTRAL CUBA. ALTHOUGH
SOME WEAKENING IS LIKELY AS FAY CROSSES CUBA...FAY IS EXPECTED TO BE
NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH AS IT APPROACHES THE FLORIDA KEYS.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB OR 29.62 INCHES.

FLZ076>078-171300-
/O.CON.KKEY.HU.A.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MONROE UPPER KEYS-MONROE MIDDLE KEYS-MONROE LOWER KEYS-
633 AM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008

...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT DETAILS SPECIFIC PREPAREDNESS AND SAFETY ACTIONS
TO BE TAKEN IN THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY CONCERNING THE
EFFECTS OF TROPICAL STORM FAY.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA KEYS...FROM
OCEAN REEF TO THE DRY TORTUGAS. THIS INCLUDES ALL ADJACENT COASTAL
WATERS...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS...INCLUDING SUSTAINED WINDS OF 74 MPH OR
GREATER...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 36
HOURS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MONROE COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS PLAN TO BEGIN ISSUING
PROTECTIVE ACTIONS THIS MORNING. THIS IS LIKELY TO INCLUDE A
MANDATORY VISITOR EVACUATION FOR ALL THE KEYS...BEGINNING AT 800 AM
THIS MORNING. RESIDENTS IN LOW-LYING AREAS AND MOBILE HOMES ARE ALSO
LIKELY TO BE MANDATED TO SEEK SAFE SHELTER. AT THIS TIME...MONROE
COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS ARE NOT LIKELY TO ORDER A
GENERAL RESIDENT EVACUATION. KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT PLANS TO
CONTINUE OPERATIONS THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. HIGH-PROFILE
VEHICLES...SUCH AS RECREATIONAL VEHICLES AND TRUCKS...SHOULD BE OUT
OF THE FLORIDA KEYS PRIOR TO MIDDAY MONDAY. THE KEY WEST EMERGENCY
OPERATIONS CENTER RUMOR CONTROL HOTLINE IS OPERATIONAL AT
305-809-1108. THE CITY OF KEY WEST HAS CLOSED THE OLD TOWN GARAGE
PARK AND RIDE TO THE PUBLIC IN PREPARATION FROM TROPICAL STORM FAY.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

IT IS TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXACT LOCATIONS OF ANY SPECIFIC
STORM TIDES TO BE CAUSED BY TROPICAL STORM FAY. HOWEVER...STORM
TIDES OF 3 TO POSSIBLY 4 FEET ABOVE SEA LEVEL MAY OCCUR...MAINLY
FROM LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. AT THIS TIME...THE
STORM SURGE IS MOSTLY EXPECTED TO OCCUR FROM THE ATLANTIC SIDE.
THE FOLLOWING ARE THE EXPECTED TIMES OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES
THROUGHOUT THE KEYS...

AT KEY WEST HARBOR...
11:32 AM MONDAY...12:04 AM TUESDAY...12:16 PM MONDAY

IN MARATHON AT VACA CUT...
10:21 AM MONDAY...10:53 PM MONDAY...11:05 AM MONDAY

IN ISLAMORADA AT WHALE HARBOR CHANNEL...
10:38 AM MONDAY...10:57 PM MONDAY...11:21 AM TUESDAY

NEAR KEY LARGO AT ROCK HARBOR...
10;44 AM MONDAY...11:03 PM MONDAY...11:27 AM TUESDAY

...WINDS...
NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 MPH BY TONIGHT.
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...FROM 39 TO 73 MPH...ARE
EXPECTED TO REACH THE LOWER KEYS AROUND MIDDAY MONDAY...AND AFFECT
MOST OF THE KEYS MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY EVENING.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...

FOR KEY WEST...THERE IS A 55 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
39 MPH OR GREATER. THERE IS A 5 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
74 MPH OR GREATER.

FOR MARATHON...THERE IS A 56 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS
39 MPH OR GREATER. THERE IS A 4 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 74
MPH OR GREATER.

FOR MIAMI...THERE IS A 44 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 39 MPH
OR GREATER. THERE IS A 3 PERCENT CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS 74 MPH OR
GREATER.

...RAINFALL IMPACTS...

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FLORIDA
KEYS DURING THE PASSAGE OF FAY. THESE AMOUNTS WOULD LIKELY CAUSE
WIDESPREAD PONDING OF WATER...AND SOME FRESHWATER FLOODING OF LOW
LYING AREAS. THE HEAVIEST PERIODS OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR
MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT.

...TORNADOES...

THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED TORNADOES WITH THE PASSAGE OF
TROPICAL STORM FAY...FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.

...MARINE IMPACTS...
WINDS WILL BE INCREASING ACROSS THE FLORIDA STRAITS TONIGHT...
POSSIBLY REACHING SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS OF 20 TO 25 KNOTS
LATE.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND HIGH SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD FROM
ATLANTIC WATERS MONDAY MORNING...TO GULF AND FLORIDA BAY WATERS
MONDAY AFTERNOON. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS SHOULD AFFECT ALL KEYS
WATERS MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE
POSSIBLE LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. SECURE YOUR
VESSELS TODAY. ALL SMALL CRAFT ARE URGED TO REMAIN IN PORT BY LATE
TONIGHT.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF TROPICAL
STORM FAY TO THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED BY 900 AM...OR
SOONER IF NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.

$$

RIZZO/JACOBSON

---

Short Term Forecast

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
637 AM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008

FLZ076>078-GMZ031>033-052>054-072>075-171145-
MONROE UPPER KEYS-MONROE MIDDLE KEYS-MONROE LOWER KEYS-FLORIDA BAY-
GULF SIDE OF THE LOWER KEYS OUT 20 NM-
GULF WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT 20 NM-
CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE OUT 20 NM-
WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST OUT 20 NM-
OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
KEY WEST TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY TORTUGAS OUT 60 NM-
INCLUDING THE COMMUNITIES OF...KEY LARGO...MARATHON...KEY WEST
637 AM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008

.NOW...
CLOUDS AND SHOWERS HAVE DISSIPATED IN FLORIDA BAY. WE NOW DETECT THE
RAIN STRICTLY IN THE LOWER KEYS...AND OUT TOWARD THE WEST. THROUGH
730 AM...A PERIOD OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WILL BE LIKELY FROM BIG
PINE TO KEY WEST AND BEYOND TO COSGROVE SHOAL. OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING
STRIKES AND GUSTY WINDS WILL ACCOMPANY THE RAIN. THE SHOWERS WILL
MOVE TOWARD THE WEST OR SOUTHWEST.

$$

DFM

---

Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
612 AM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008

FLZ076>078-GMZ031>033-052>054-072>075-181015-
MONROE UPPER KEYS-MONROE MIDDLE KEYS-MONROE LOWER KEYS-
FLORIDA BAY-GULF SIDE OF THE LOWER KEYS OUT 20 NM-
GULF WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT 20 NM-
CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE OUT 20 NM-
WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST OUT 20 NM-
OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
KEY WEST TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY TORTUGAS OUT 60 NM-
612 AM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008

...HURRICANE WATCH ISSUED FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS AND
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE PRIMARY
HAZARDS WILL BE CLOUD TO SURFACE LIGHTNING STRIKES...AND LOCALLY
GUSTY WINDS.

WINDS WILL BE INCREASING ACROSS THE FLORIDA STRAITS TONIGHT...
POSSIBLY REACHING SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS LATE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY
A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA KEYS.
RESIDENTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST INFORMATION FROM
MONROE COUNTY OFFICIALS...THE KEY WEST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE...AND THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER. THIS OFFICE WILL BEGIN
ISSUING FREQUENT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENTS THIS MORNING...WHICH WILL
CONTAIN THE LATEST STORM AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION.

THE CURRENT TRACK AND INTENSITY FORECAST WILL BRING SUSTAINED
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS TO PARTS OF THE KEYS BY AROUND MIDDAY...
WITH WINDS OVER 50 KNOTS SPREADING ACROSS THE LOWER AND MIDDLE KEYS
LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON AND MONDAY EVENING. GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE
WILL BE POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION TO THE WINDS...WE WILL ALSO HAVE TO
DEAL WITH HEAVY RAINFALL...WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES
POSSIBLE ACROSS MUCH OF THE KEYS. ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE ANOTHER
CONCERN...AS WE SHOULD BE LOCATED WITHIN THE FAVORABLE RIGHT FRONT
QUADRANT OF FAY ON MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT. SPOTTERS
ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT STRONG WINDS...FLOODING OR OTHER SEVERE
WEATHER DURING THE PASSAGE OF TROPICAL STORM FAY.

$$

JACOBSON

.

[jsh3180]

I’m a General Contractor here in the Lower Keys for 32 years, Elle. There’s not a single sub-contractor who has worked for me in the last 5 years who will go anywhere near a Pritham Singh job. He’s gone from a notoriously slow pay operation to a “screw you, file a lien and try and get paid” operation. D.L. Porter, Inc. who does some of the larger projects down here for the Spottswoods, et al, is not much better.
Good luck to you in Key West, I’m just about done with preps here in Sugarloaf.

[Elle Bee]

we should have a beer one day .. I'm a developer ... but I'm tired of getting shaken down by the likes of the porcine code enforcement cabal

.

[NautiNurse]

Hurricane Watch issued for the Florida Keys from south of
Ocean Reef to Key West...including the Dry Tortugas and Florida
Bay...and along the Florida Mainland from Card Sound bridge
westward to Bonita Beach.

A tropical storm watch is in effect for the southeast coast of Florida
from Ocean Reef northward to Jupiter Inlet...and for Lake
Okeechobee.

On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here-->

[mewzilla]

Thanks for the thread and all the updates, NN! :)

[jsh3180]

Code enforcement is run amok in the County. Trying to raise revenue no doubt. If you are in K.W. mostly, you have not run into Lynne Tsouklas (sp), she’s the new County Code Enforcement person who checks contractor’s licensing and insurances. She’s been on my jobs 9 times in 11 weeks, checking my paperwork. Takes 45 minutes of my day every time, employees have to show their ID’s, she writes down everyones license tax #’s and so on and so forth. Even though she’s just been there a week before!! Knock on wood, I’m busy as ever, but most of my competition is hurting.

Only storm thing left to do is decide what to do with the boat. I’m leaning towards anchoring out in the middle of the canal and tying off all directions.

[NautiNurse]

Tropical Storm Public Advisory

Statement as of 8:00 am EDT on August 17, 2008

...Center of Fay near Cabo Cruz in southeastern Cuba......warnings
and watches extended westward in Cuba...

a Hurricane Watch is in effect for the Florida Keys from south of
Ocean Reef to Key West...including the Dry Tortugas and Florida
Bay...and along the Florida Mainland from Card Sound bridge
westward to Bonita Beach. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane
conditions are possible within the watch area...generally within 36
hours.

A tropical storm watch is in effect for the southeast coast of
Florida from Ocean Reef northward to Jupiter Inlet...and for Lake
Okeechobee. A tropical storm watch means that tropical storm
conditions are possible within the watch area...generally within
36 hours.

At 8 at EDT...1200 UTC...the government of Cuba has extended the
Hurricane Watch to the provinces of la Habana and ciudad la Habana.
A Hurricane Watch is now in effect for the Cuban provinces of la
Habana and ciudad la Habana eastward to Sancti Spiritus.

At 8 am EDT...1200 UTC...the government of Cuba has extended the
Tropical Storm Warning westward to include the provinces of
Cienfuegos...Villa Clara...Matanzas...la Habana...and ciudad la
Habana. A Tropical Storm Warning is now in effect for all of Cuba
from the provinces of la Habana and ciudad la habama eastward.

A Tropical Storm Warning also remains in effect for Cayman Brac and
Little Cayman.

A tropical storm watch remains in effect for the central
Bahamas...Jamaica...and the Cayman Islands.

Interests elsewhere in the Florida Peninsula should monitor the
progress of Fay.

For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.

At 800 am EDT...1200 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Fay was
located near latitude 20.0 north...longitude 78.0 west or about
100 miles...160 km...south of Camaguey Cuba and about 395 miles...
635 km...southeast of Key West Florida.

Fay is moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph...20 km/hr. A
turn to the northwest with a decrease in forward speed is expected
within the next 24 hours...with a turn to the north-northwest
expected by late Monday. Fay is expected to move very near the
South Coast of Cuba today...cross central Cuba overnight tonight...
and emerge into the southeastern Gulf of Mexico or the Florida
Straits on Monday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph...85 km/hr...with higher
gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours and
Fay could be approaching hurricane strength when it reaches central
Cuba. Although some weakening is likely as Fay crosses Cuba...Fay
is expected to be near hurricane strength as it approaches the
Florida Keys.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 105 miles...165 km
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb...29.62 inches.

Fay is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 4 to 8
inches over much of Cuba...Jamaica...and the northern Cayman
Islands...with isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches. These rains
could produce life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.
Rainfall accumulations of 1 to 3 inches are possible over Grand
Cayman and over the central and southeastern Bahamas. Rains will
gradually diminish over Haiti today.

Repeating the 800 am EDT position...20.0 N...78.0 W. Movement
toward...west-northwest near 13 mph. Maximum sustained winds...50
mph. Minimum central pressure...1003 mb.

The next advisory will be issued by the National
Hurricane Center at 1100 am EDT.

$$
Forecaster Beven/Brown

[Lucius Cornelius Sulla]

With a hurricane warning for part of the state of Florida in the next 24 hours, do you think that this thread should be upgraded to News, or even Front Page News?

[LadyPilgrim]

Thank you NN. You are to be commended on these updates...as usual. ;-))
This “Fay” girl is laid back, and she’s taking her time getting up to speed. Let’s just pray she dumps rain and nothing else.

Thank you again!!!

[NautiNurse]

The mods have done an excellent job to date of moving these threads to news when a storm is imminent. They typically post a comment to that effect shortly after it has been added it to the sidebar.

Whether this phenomenon is due to the mods powerful omnipresence, or a zillion request by Freeperss...I've always rather believed it was the former.

[Elle Bee]

I think this will just be a sloppy rain event and the farther north and east the better for you

all of the sandbaggers on the city and county payroll already have Monday off (with pay) but you know they won't be volunteering to fill sandbags.

Fired as a cop, fired from Code Enforcement, fired as a bus driver then re-hired to code enforcement ... Jeff Berman .. ham handed shakedown bagman for the department

makes the re-hire of the guy who was stealing the quarters from the parking meters look good

In all of my years down here (I first came down in '69) I've never seen the incompetence and corruption proceed with such blatant impunity.

My simple rule of thumb when I vote ... No Conchs No incumbents

.

[Lucius Cornelius Sulla]

It may be that they aren’t paying a lot of attention, unless they are down our way, this being Sunday AM and all. I think I’ll send them a note pointing out the timeline.

[PeteB570]

Thanks for the pings NN.

Me and the little one had a great time swimming off Holden Beach, NC yesterday. Maybe, maybe 2 foot waves breaking in about 2 feet of water. Great for play.

Everything is picked up and this NCer is ready for September - our busy month.

[NautiNurse]

The current track has us pretty much stuck. We're in a mandatory evac zone for Cat 1 with storm surge, but everything inland east of us is just as likely to take a direct hit from the eye.

To maintain options (and feel like we have some tiny bit of control with the situation), I booked a hotel in Brandon last night for the storm. Of course, the center of the track now goes directly over Brandon and up US-41/I-75.

Continuing to prepare, watch, and wait..., and hope it doesn't develop into another Charley.

[Lucius Cornelius Sulla]

I always thought that Conchs were inhabitants of Key West. From your posts you mean something else. So what is a Conch?

[rodguy911]

My neighbor (who has a 3-5 million dollar house) has those see though window that are hurricane proof but my budget probably won't even pay his taxes.

[WorkerbeeCitizen]

I’m beginning the process of getting ready making up new dock lines and getting spider webbed into my slip - I really hate this.

With the GFDL and CMS models putting Fay on top of me, I am expecting a Wilma type event here in Indian Harbor Beach.