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To: nwctwx; dawn53
reading between the lines, this is a pretty ominous discussion from the NHC tonight.

A hurricane at my door Tuesday night is ominous. If this track holds, there will be a whole lot of coastal folks needing to evacuate.

73 posted on 08/15/2008 8:21:25 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Plants are people too)
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To: Joe Brower
Public Information Statement

Statement as of 9:49 PM EDT on August 15, 2008


... All persons in west central and southwest Florida should
monitor the latest tropical weather information...

The low pressure area over Hispaniola has developed into Tropical
Storm Fay... which continues to move west.

Computer models suggest that Fay could pose a threat to southwest
and west central Florida early next week. However... there is a very
high level of uncertainty regarding the track and intensity of the
system as it moves away from Hispaniola and approaches Cuba over the
weekend. As a result... residents and visitors of west central and
southwest Florida are encouraged to keep a close watch on this
system throughout the upcoming weekend.

This is a good time for residents to go over their hurricane plans.
Visitors to Florida are encouraged to read up on initial
preparedness actions that may needed. The following are basic
suggested actions that should be taken at this time:

Check batteries for radios and flashlights... drinking water... canned
or dried food... first aid supplies and prescription medicine. Have a
sufficient supply of Cash as access to credit cards and automated
Cash machines may not be available without power. Check fuel levels
on automobiles... generators and chain saws.

Make initial plans to determine where you will likely be in case of
an approaching storm. Check whether you live in an evacuation zone.

For the latest information regarding Fay... please stay tuned to NOAA
Weather Radio... as well as information from local government
officials and media outlets. You can also monitor the latest
statements... as well as possible watches and warnings... from the
National Weather Service office in Ruskin on the web at
weather.Gov/tampabay. Information from the National Hurricane Center
can be found on weather.Gov by clicking on the hurricanes link.



74 posted on 08/15/2008 8:24:26 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Plants are people too)
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To: NautiNurse

0z early models kept going west, and the GFS seems to be coming in with a storm through the yucatan channel. NHC mentioned their track is now on eastern edge of model runs, but they wanted to stay somewhat consistent—especially without a real center fix.


78 posted on 08/15/2008 8:42:29 PM PDT by nwctwx
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