A hurricane at my door Tuesday night is ominous. If this track holds, there will be a whole lot of coastal folks needing to evacuate.
Public Information Statement | ||
Statement as of 9:49 PM EDT on August 15, 2008 ... All persons in west central and southwest Florida should monitor the latest tropical weather information... The low pressure area over Hispaniola has developed into Tropical Storm Fay... which continues to move west. Computer models suggest that Fay could pose a threat to southwest and west central Florida early next week. However... there is a very high level of uncertainty regarding the track and intensity of the system as it moves away from Hispaniola and approaches Cuba over the weekend. As a result... residents and visitors of west central and southwest Florida are encouraged to keep a close watch on this system throughout the upcoming weekend. This is a good time for residents to go over their hurricane plans. Visitors to Florida are encouraged to read up on initial preparedness actions that may needed. The following are basic suggested actions that should be taken at this time: Check batteries for radios and flashlights... drinking water... canned or dried food... first aid supplies and prescription medicine. Have a sufficient supply of Cash as access to credit cards and automated Cash machines may not be available without power. Check fuel levels on automobiles... generators and chain saws. Make initial plans to determine where you will likely be in case of an approaching storm. Check whether you live in an evacuation zone. For the latest information regarding Fay... please stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio... as well as information from local government officials and media outlets. You can also monitor the latest statements... as well as possible watches and warnings... from the National Weather Service office in Ruskin on the web at weather.Gov/tampabay. Information from the National Hurricane Center can be found on weather.Gov by clicking on the hurricanes link. |
0z early models kept going west, and the GFS seems to be coming in with a storm through the yucatan channel. NHC mentioned their track is now on eastern edge of model runs, but they wanted to stay somewhat consistent—especially without a real center fix.