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Among those who “always” vote in general elections, Obama leads by just a single point.
1 posted on 10/29/2008 6:42:13 AM PDT by avacado
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To: avacado

Let me guess...with those who ‘always’ vote, he’s also under 50% too.

If we can pull off turnout, we can win this election.


2 posted on 10/29/2008 6:43:50 AM PDT by perfect_rovian_storm (You MUST see this website: http://www.neverfindout.org/)
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To: avacado

McCain is definitely picking up the undecideds in a big way, which has been my gut. I have felt Obama had attracted all the voters he would attract a few weeks ago. The rest are simply not comfortable with the guy. the redistribution philosophy has put a face on the difference between the these two candidates, and has pulled a lot of voters away from Obama. Let’s hope it sticks. I’d like to see O fall below 50 in the Ras poll, but with the weighting problem, I suspect he already is.


3 posted on 10/29/2008 6:45:16 AM PDT by ilgipper
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To: avacado
Photobucket
5 posted on 10/29/2008 6:47:43 AM PDT by johnny7 ("Duck I says... ")
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To: avacado

This also proves the fault with Ras LV models. O was at 53 percent. Now he’s at 50. Not all that likely were they.


6 posted on 10/29/2008 6:48:03 AM PDT by DHarry
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To: avacado

This also proves the fault with Ras LV models. O was at 53 percent. Now he’s at 50. Not all that likely were they.


8 posted on 10/29/2008 6:48:40 AM PDT by DHarry
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To: avacado

The Empty suit, wind bag, Marxist, disgraceful excuse for a human being aka BO will honor Amerika tonight with his “wisdom” for half an hour. Any thoughts on how that might affect his numbers?

Perhaps McCain will have something news worthy to expose in order to take the wind out of the wind bag and avert the sheeples attention?!


10 posted on 10/29/2008 6:48:57 AM PDT by albie
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To: avacado

The 50% number concerns me.

Rasmussen has said on sunday the race is Obamas and nothing mccain can do will change that.

was Kerry or gore ever at 50% this close to election day?

(we also have early voting to think about)


12 posted on 10/29/2008 6:50:21 AM PDT by longtermmemmory (VOTE! http://www.senate.gov and http://www.house.gov)
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To: avacado
I still don't believe this is an accurate representation of what the turnout is going to be:

For polling data released during the week of October 26 to November 1, 2008, the partisan weighting targets used by Rasmussen Reports will be 40.0% Democratic, 32.8% Republican, and 27.2% unaffiliated.

But then, one could look at the brightside - it's weighted that much and he still only leads by 3. BTW - I've been Googling and having a hard time finding it. Does anyone know if there is a good source that shows turnout by party for previous elections?
15 posted on 10/29/2008 6:53:10 AM PDT by elc
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To: avacado

NOBAMA’s losing people and McCain’s gaining them. If you start losing people this late stage - you ain’t gonna get them back.

Things are going the way I was hoping for in the last 6 days of the campaign.


17 posted on 10/29/2008 6:54:08 AM PDT by LibFreeUSA
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To: avacado
Among those who “always” vote in general elections, Obama leads by just a single point.
Excellent!
27 posted on 10/29/2008 7:02:51 AM PDT by Red in Blue PA (Obama is not qualified for the FBI, but he is qualified for the Presidency????)
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To: avacado

Something is going on out there. Maybe most of this is the pollsters fixing their weighting to something more realistic. But there is also, I think, a realization that we are about to elect an inexperienced, anti-American commie to the highest office in the nation.

I think some people are reevaluating their support of this empty suit. There is a higher comfort level with McCain.


28 posted on 10/29/2008 7:04:30 AM PDT by B Knotts (Calvin Coolidge Republican)
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To: avacado

We have time. That election is still 900 years away.


30 posted on 10/29/2008 7:09:13 AM PDT by Buck W. (If you push something hard enough, it will fall over.)
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To: avacado

What is Rasmussens’ margin of error? I couldn’t find it on his site.


35 posted on 10/29/2008 7:33:23 AM PDT by tirednvirginia
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To: avacado

I know this is Rasmussen, and it has probably already been posted elsewhere already anyways but has anyone seen the most recent Zogby state reports?

http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews2.dbm?ID=1603

McCain winning IN by 10 points

M losing NM by only .6 (but theyr 8.3% undecided confuses me)— funny how the media has already written that state off as a “clear Obama win”

M losing VA by 3.6

M winning OH by 2.8

M losing Colorado by .3

M losing Flordai by 3.6 (I think this is an error though since other polls are showing him winning FL)

M winning MO by .3

M losing NC by 3.1

M losing NH by .3

M winning NV by 7.3 (another one almost written off by media)

The overall margain of error ranges from 4.6 (IN) to 2.8 (FL)

so overall, McCain is either winning in all the swing states or well within the margain of error

I am sick of the medias lies


36 posted on 10/29/2008 7:35:54 AM PDT by wrhssaxensemble
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To: avacado

..translation--McCain is ahead...


37 posted on 10/29/2008 7:37:16 AM PDT by WalterSkinner ( In Memory of My Father--WWII Vet and Patriot 1926-2007)
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To: avacado
This is the first time McCain has been within three points of Obama in more than a month

And that's despite the fact that Ras bumped the rat oversampling by a point over the weekend!

Good news indeed!

38 posted on 10/29/2008 8:12:49 AM PDT by rhinohunter
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To: avacado

bmflr


39 posted on 10/29/2008 8:28:36 AM PDT by Kevmo (I love that sound and please let that baby keep on crying. ~Sarah Palin)
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