Posted on 10/29/2008 6:42:13 AM PDT by avacado
Wednesday, October 29, 2008
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Wednesday shows Barack Obama attracting 50% of the vote nationwide while John McCain earns 47%. This is the first time McCain has been within three points of Obama in more than a month and the first time his support has topped 46% since September 24.
Among those who always vote in general elections, Obama leads by just a single point.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
Let me guess...with those who ‘always’ vote, he’s also under 50% too.
If we can pull off turnout, we can win this election.
McCain is definitely picking up the undecideds in a big way, which has been my gut. I have felt Obama had attracted all the voters he would attract a few weeks ago. The rest are simply not comfortable with the guy. the redistribution philosophy has put a face on the difference between the these two candidates, and has pulled a lot of voters away from Obama. Let’s hope it sticks. I’d like to see O fall below 50 in the Ras poll, but with the weighting problem, I suspect he already is.
If we’re all paying attention, then turnout should NOT be a problem. There is absolutely no excuse for not voting, especially this year.
This also proves the fault with Ras LV models. O was at 53 percent. Now he’s at 50. Not all that likely were they.
Put out the word in the 'hood that if they vote on Nov 5, their vote will count twice.
This also proves the fault with Ras LV models. O was at 53 percent. Now he’s at 50. Not all that likely were they.
“As for those who have not yet voted but are certain they will do so, the race is tied at 48%.”
That is great news...........
The Empty suit, wind bag, Marxist, disgraceful excuse for a human being aka BO will honor Amerika tonight with his “wisdom” for half an hour. Any thoughts on how that might affect his numbers?
Perhaps McCain will have something news worthy to expose in order to take the wind out of the wind bag and avert the sheeples attention?!
And Ras is polling over 7 points more ‘Rats than Republicans! The early voting trends don’t support the idea that ‘Rats will turn out in numbers that far above the GOP.
The 50% number concerns me.
Rasmussen has said on sunday the race is Obamas and nothing mccain can do will change that.
was Kerry or gore ever at 50% this close to election day?
(we also have early voting to think about)
“Id like to see O fall below 50 in the Ras poll, but with the weighting problem, I suspect he already is”.
...the weighting of dems is because they suspect higher turnout for dems? Or is it to make up for the “Bradley/Wilder” effect? Both?
Yep. Going with a modest DEM+3 party affiliation puts Rasmussen at a virtual dead heat. Would love to see the GOP shock everyone and approach the turnout in 2004 when they matched that of the DEMs.
Yeah well maybe something Obama did can change it. He attended a "jew bash" with Yassar Arafats flunky, Bill Ayers and Bernadine Dohrn among many other left wing loons. If McCain hits that hard that might be the final push he needs to win on Tuesday.
NOBAMA’s losing people and McCain’s gaining them. If you start losing people this late stage - you ain’t gonna get them back.
Things are going the way I was hoping for in the last 6 days of the campaign.
I agree, but he is also picking up Democrat voters and Indys. When McCain wins the media will be stunned beyond belief.
I saw an analysis on another site said Rass must have shifted his party ID. Looks like its only +3.50 Dems or so for Dems for yesterday. Thats the only way the numbers worked out when they looked at internals. Mr Rasmussen needs to explain what he is up to.
Keep an eye on ACORN in OH, PA, VA....Obama knows those states are HIS achilles heel.
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